Karadeniz Ereğli BSK v Yalova Yeşilovaspor prediction · 3. Lig

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:46

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK 0–0 Yalova Yeşilovaspor KARADENIZ EREĞLI BSK WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.809

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 6 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win at 48%.
1′Much as we predicted: Karadeniz Ereğli BSK was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–26–24
1′KICK-OFF Karadeniz Ereğli BSK v Yalova Yeşilovaspor
2′Much as we predicted: Karadeniz Ereğli BSK was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–27–24
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win: 48% at kick-off, 45% now
45′HALF-TIME Karadeniz Ereğli BSK 0–0 Yalova Yeşilovaspor
46′SECOND HALF Karadeniz Ereğli BSK 0–0 Yalova Yeşilovaspor
FTFULL TIME Karadeniz Ereğli BSK 0–0 Yalova Yeşilovaspor
FTKaradeniz Ereğli BSK 0–0 Yalova Yeşilovaspor · Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win48%

Draw28%

Yalova Yeşilovaspor win24%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK

Yalova Yeşilovaspor

8Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	5	+2	9
16	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	5	−7	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · karadeniz ereğli bsk winPublished 11 Oct 13:14

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Karadeniz Ereğli BSK a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win	48%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Yalova Yeşilovaspor win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	23%	–	–
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK or draw	76%	–	–
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK clean sheet	40%	–	–
Yalova Yeşilovaspor clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.8%

0123450 10.4 7.8 4.1 1 12.3 12.8 5.6 2 9.5 8.6 4.1 3 4.7 4.3 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Karadeniz Ereğli BSK down, Yalova Yeşilovaspor across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,346 3. Lig - Group 1 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Lig - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.0% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK at home: 1.00 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 2). Yalova Yeşilovaspor away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.48 goals for Karadeniz Ereğli BSK, 0.94 for Yalova Yeşilovaspor. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 1

KARADENIZ EREĞLI BSK

DWDWD1–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–0

YALOVA YEŞILOVASPOR

LLWDLL0–1 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 3–3 · 0–3 · 2–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Fatsa Belediyespor	5	+8	11
2	Kartal Bulvarspor	5	+6	10
3	Pazarspor	5	+6	10
4	Galata	5	+4	9
5	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	5	+2	9
6	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	5	+2	8
7	Orduspor 1967	5	+1	8
8	Amasyaspor 1968	5	+1	8
9	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor	5	+1	8
10	Düzcespor	5	+1	7
11	Karabük İdman Yurdu	5	−3	7
12	Beykoz Anadolu	5	0	5
13	Gölcükspor	5	−2	4
14	Silivrispor	5	−4	4
15	İnkılapspor	5	−5	4
16	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	5	−7	4
17	Zonguldak Kömürspor	5	−4	2
18	Beykoz İshaklıspor	5	−7	1