Gölcükspor v Zonguldak Kömürspor

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Gölcükspor win at 40%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Gölcükspor 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–29–31
3. 1′KICK-OFF Gölcükspor v Zonguldak Kömürspor
4. 37′A goal for Zonguldak Kömürspor on 36′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 11–23–66
5. 37′We said Gölcükspor at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 11%. 0–1 · 11–23–66
6. 37′⚽ GOAL · 36' Gölcükspor 0–1 Zonguldak Kömürspor
7. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Gölcükspor win: 40% at kick-off, 11% now
8. 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Zonguldak Kömürspor win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Gölcükspor win 36%)
9. 38′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 11–23–66
10. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Gölcükspor win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
11. 44′We said Gölcükspor at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–68
12. 45′HALF-TIME Gölcükspor 0–1 Zonguldak Kömürspor
13. 46′SECOND HALF Gölcükspor 0–1 Zonguldak Kömürspor
14. 64′We said Gölcükspor at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
15. 72′Gölcükspor score on 72′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 19–65–16
16. 72′We said Gölcükspor at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–65–16
17. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Gölcükspor 1–1 Zonguldak Kömürspor
18. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Gölcükspor win: 40% at kick-off, 19% now
19. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Zonguldak Kömürspor win 81%)
20. 77′71′: O. Yuksel on the scoresheet for Gölcükspor, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 15–73–12
21. 79′Gölcükspor find the net on 79′. 2–1. 2–1 · 89–10–1
22. 79′We said Gölcükspor at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 2–1 · 89–10–1
23. 79′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 89–10–1
24. 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Gölcükspor 2–1 Zonguldak Kömürspor
25. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Gölcükspor win: 40% at kick-off, 89% now
26. 79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' Gölcükspor win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 76%)
27. 80′We said Gölcükspor at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
28. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Gölcükspor win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
29. 82′A goal for Zonguldak Kömürspor on 81′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 10–82–8
30. 82′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 10–82–8
31. 82′⚽ GOAL · 81' Gölcükspor 2–2 Zonguldak Kömürspor
32. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Gölcükspor win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
33. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Draw is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Gölcükspor win 91%)
34. FTFULL TIME Gölcükspor 2–2 Zonguldak Kömürspor
35. FTGölcükspor 2–2 Zonguldak Kömürspor · Gölcükspor win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.