Fatsa Belediyespor v Beykoz Anadolu prediction · 3. Lig

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:05

Fatsa Belediyespor 1–0 Beykoz Anadolu FATSA BELEDIYESPOR WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Fatsa Belediyespor win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.322

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 13 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Fatsa Belediyespor win at 54%.
1′Much as we predicted: Fatsa Belediyespor was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–26–19
1′KICK-OFF Fatsa Belediyespor v Beykoz Anadolu
2′Much as we predicted: Fatsa Belediyespor was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–26–19
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Fatsa Belediyespor win: 54% at kick-off, 42% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Fatsa Belediyespor win: 54% at kick-off, 50% now
44′We said Fatsa Belediyespor at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 42%. 0–0 · 42–41–17
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Fatsa Belediyespor win: 54% at kick-off, 42% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Fatsa Belediyespor win: 54% at kick-off, 50% now
45′We said Fatsa Belediyespor at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 42%. 0–0 · 42–41–17
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Fatsa Belediyespor win: 54% at kick-off, 42% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Fatsa Belediyespor win: 54% at kick-off, 50% now
45′⚽ GOAL · 48' Fatsa Belediyespor 1–0 Beykoz Anadolu
45′HALF-TIME Fatsa Belediyespor 1–0 Beykoz Anadolu
46′SECOND HALF Fatsa Belediyespor 1–0 Beykoz Anadolu
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Fatsa Belediyespor win: 54% at kick-off, 42% now
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Fatsa Belediyespor win: 54% at kick-off, 42% now
FTFULL TIME Fatsa Belediyespor 1–0 Beykoz Anadolu
FTFatsa Belediyespor 1–0 Beykoz Anadolu · Fatsa Belediyespor win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Fatsa Belediyespor win54%

Draw27%

Beykoz Anadolu win19%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 12:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Fatsa Belediyespor

Beykoz Anadolu

8Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Fatsa Belediyespor	5	+8	11
12	Beykoz Anadolu	5	0	5

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fatsa belediyespor winPublished 11 Oct 12:33

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Fatsa Belediyespor a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Fatsa Belediyespor win	54%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Beykoz Anadolu win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	41%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Fatsa Belediyespor or draw	81%	–	–
Fatsa Belediyespor clean sheet	47%	–	–
Beykoz Anadolu clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.1%

0123450 11.5 7.1 3.2 1 14.1 11.8 4.5 2 11.1 8.2 3.3 3 6.0 4.3 4 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Fatsa Belediyespor down, Beykoz Anadolu across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,346 3. Lig - Group 1 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Lig - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.0% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Fatsa Belediyespor at home: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Beykoz Anadolu away: 0.00 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.57 goals for Fatsa Belediyespor, 0.78 for Beykoz Anadolu. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 1

FATSA BELEDIYESPOR

LDDWWW0–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 3–0

BEYKOZ ANADOLU

LLDDW0–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Fatsa Belediyespor	5	+8	11
2	Kartal Bulvarspor	5	+6	10
3	Pazarspor	5	+6	10
4	Galata	5	+4	9
5	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	5	+2	9
6	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	5	+2	8
7	Orduspor 1967	5	+1	8
8	Amasyaspor 1968	5	+1	8
9	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor	5	+1	8
10	Düzcespor	5	+1	7
11	Karabük İdman Yurdu	5	−3	7
12	Beykoz Anadolu	5	0	5
13	Gölcükspor	5	−2	4
14	Silivrispor	5	−4	4
15	İnkılapspor	5	−5	4
16	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	5	−7	4
17	Zonguldak Kömürspor	5	−4	2
18	Beykoz İshaklıspor	5	−7	1