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Beykoz İshaklıspor v İnkılapspor

Beykoz İshaklıspor

2–3Full time

İnkılapspor

3. Lig - Group 1 · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04

Beykoz İshaklıspor 2–3 İnkılapspor BEYKOZ İSHAKLISPOR WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Beykoz İshaklıspor win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.801

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 29 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Beykoz İshaklıspor win at 42%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Beykoz İshaklıspor 42% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–29–28
4′Little has changed for our model: Beykoz İshaklıspor 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–30–28
22′İnkılapspor ahead on 7′ through S. Ekinci. 0–1. 0–1 · 14–25–61
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Beykoz İshaklıspor win: 42% at kick-off, 14% now
23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' İnkılapspor win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Beykoz İshaklıspor win 14%)
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Beykoz İshaklıspor win: 42% at kick-off, 42% now
23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Beykoz İshaklıspor win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was İnkılapspor win 28%)
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Beykoz İshaklıspor win: 42% at kick-off, 14% now
24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' İnkılapspor win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Beykoz İshaklıspor win 14%)
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Beykoz İshaklıspor win: 42% at kick-off, 42% now
24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Beykoz İshaklıspor win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was İnkılapspor win 28%)
25′İnkılapspor ahead on 7′ through S. Ekinci. 0–1. 0–1 · 14–25–62
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Beykoz İshaklıspor win: 42% at kick-off, 14% now
25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' İnkılapspor win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Beykoz İshaklıspor win 14%)
26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Beykoz İshaklıspor 1–1 İnkılapspor
27′🟥 RED CARD · 27' Beykoz İshaklıspor
36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Beykoz İshaklıspor 1–2 İnkılapspor
43′36′ and it is 1–2: İnkılapspor have scored. 1–2 · 9–24–67
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Beykoz İshaklıspor win: 42% at kick-off, 9% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Beykoz İshaklıspor win: 42% at kick-off, 14% now
44′36′ and it is 1–2: İnkılapspor have scored. 1–2 · 9–24–67
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Beykoz İshaklıspor win: 42% at kick-off, 14% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Beykoz İshaklıspor win: 42% at kick-off, 9% now
45′HALF-TIME Beykoz İshaklıspor 1–2 İnkılapspor
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Beykoz İshaklıspor win: 42% at kick-off, 9% now
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' İnkılapspor win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Beykoz İshaklıspor win 9%)
46′SECOND HALF Beykoz İshaklıspor 1–2 İnkılapspor
49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Beykoz İshaklıspor 2–2 İnkılapspor
80′⚽ GOAL · 7' Beykoz İshaklıspor 2–2 İnkılapspor · S. Ekinci
80′⚽ GOAL · 26' Beykoz İshaklıspor 2–2 İnkılapspor · K. Hamza (assist U. Kurt)
80′🟥 RED CARD · 27' A. O. Eseller · Beykoz İshaklıspor
80′⚽ GOAL · 36' Beykoz İshaklıspor 2–2 İnkılapspor · S. Ekinci (assist M. Dogan)
80′⚽ GOAL · 47' Beykoz İshaklıspor 2–2 İnkılapspor · K. Hamza
88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Beykoz İshaklıspor 2–3 İnkılapspor
FTFULL TIME Beykoz İshaklıspor 2–3 İnkılapspor
FTBeykoz İshaklıspor 2–3 İnkılapspor · Beykoz İshaklıspor win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Beykoz İshaklıspor win42%

Draw31%

İnkılapspor win27%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Beykoz İshaklıspor

İnkılapspor

8Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	İnkılapspor	5	−5	4
18	Beykoz İshaklıspor	5	−7	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · beykoz i̇shaklıspor winPublished 11 Oct 13:43

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Beykoz İshaklıspor a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Beykoz İshaklıspor win	42%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
İnkılapspor win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Beykoz İshaklıspor or draw	73%	–	–
Beykoz İshaklıspor clean sheet	40%	–	–
İnkılapspor clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.6%

0123450 13.2 10.0 5.0 1 13.4 13.6 5.9 2 8.6 7.7 3.6 3 3.6 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Beykoz İshaklıspor down, İnkılapspor across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,346 3. Lig - Group 1 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Lig - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.0% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Beykoz İshaklıspor at home: 0.83 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). İnkılapspor away: 0.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.22 goals for Beykoz İshaklıspor, 0.92 for İnkılapspor. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~INK 2–2 BEY · BEY 1–1 INK

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 1

BEYKOZ İSHAKLISPOR

WLLLDL2–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–3 · 0–0 · 0–2

İNKILAPSPOR

WWLLDL1–0 · 3–2 · 1–4 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Fatsa Belediyespor	5	+8	11
2	Kartal Bulvarspor	5	+6	10
3	Pazarspor	5	+6	10
4	Galata	5	+4	9
5	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	5	+2	9
6	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	5	+2	8
7	Orduspor 1967	5	+1	8
8	Amasyaspor 1968	5	+1	8
9	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor	5	+1	8
10	Düzcespor	5	+1	7
11	Karabük İdman Yurdu	5	−3	7
12	Beykoz Anadolu	5	0	5
13	Gölcükspor	5	−2	4
14	Silivrispor	5	−4	4
15	İnkılapspor	5	−5	4
16	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	5	−7	4
17	Zonguldak Kömürspor	5	−4	2
18	Beykoz İshaklıspor	5	−7	1