Beykoz Anadolu v Kartal Bulvarspor prediction · 3. Lig

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04

Beykoz Anadolu 1–1 Kartal Bulvarspor BEYKOZ ANADOLU WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Beykoz Anadolu win~~45%

~~The market said~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.815

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.802

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Beykoz Anadolu win at 45%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Beykoz Anadolu 45% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 44–27–29
1′KICK-OFF Beykoz Anadolu v Kartal Bulvarspor
8′Beykoz Anadolu score on 7′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 72–17–11
8′We said Beykoz Anadolu at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–0 · 72–17–11
8′⚽ GOAL · 7' Beykoz Anadolu 1–0 Kartal Bulvarspor
8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Beykoz Anadolu win: 45% at kick-off, 72% now
11′Kartal Bulvarspor find the net on 11′. 1–1. 1–1 · 43–29–28
11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Beykoz Anadolu 1–1 Kartal Bulvarspor
11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' Beykoz Anadolu win: 45% at kick-off, 43% now
45′HALF-TIME Beykoz Anadolu 1–1 Kartal Bulvarspor
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Beykoz Anadolu win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Beykoz Anadolu win 35%)
46′SECOND HALF Beykoz Anadolu 1–1 Kartal Bulvarspor
51′We said Beykoz Anadolu at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–43–24
54′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–1 · 32–45–23
57′Kartal Bulvarspor are down to ten from 57′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 31–47–22
57′🟥 RED CARD · 57' Kartal Bulvarspor
60′We said Beykoz Anadolu at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–50–21
67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Beykoz Anadolu win: 45% at kick-off, 25% now
68′We said Beykoz Anadolu at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–58–18
75′We said Beykoz Anadolu at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–67–14
79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Beykoz Anadolu win: 45% at kick-off, 15% now
80′We said Beykoz Anadolu at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–76–10
84′We said Beykoz Anadolu at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–7
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Beykoz Anadolu win: 45% at kick-off, 5% now
91′We said Beykoz Anadolu at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
FTFULL TIME Beykoz Anadolu 1–1 Kartal Bulvarspor
FTBeykoz Anadolu 1–1 Kartal Bulvarspor · Beykoz Anadolu win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Beykoz Anadolu are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Beykoz Anadolu 45%, draw 27%, Kartal Bulvarspor 29%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Beykoz Anadolu v Kartal BulvarsporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Beykoz Anadolu win45%

Draw27%

Kartal Bulvarspor win29%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00

Round3. Lig Group 1 · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Beykoz Anadolu

Kartal Bulvarspor

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Kartal Bulvarspor	6	+6	11
14	Beykoz Anadolu	6	−1	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · beykoz anadolu winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

45% The market44%

Us45%

~~Market~~44%

We make Beykoz Anadolu a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.5–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Beykoz Anadolu v Kartal Bulvarspor~~1.53 – 1.17

~~Form · 3. Lig - Group 1 this season · since 6 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 5 v 11~~14 v 4

~~The market · Beykoz Anadolu win~~44% · ours 45%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Beykoz Anadolu win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Beykoz Anadolu win	45%	44%	+1
Draw	27%	27%	0
Kartal Bulvarspor win	29%	29%	0
Over 2.5 goals	50%	49%	+1
Both teams to score	53%	53%	0
Over 1.5 goals	75%	72%	+3
Over 3.5 goals	29%	29%	0
Beykoz Anadolu or draw	71%	71%	0
Beykoz Anadolu clean sheet	32%	–	–
Kartal Bulvarspor clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%

0123450 8.1 7.3 4.7 1 9.6 12.5 6.8 2.7 2 7.8 8.7 5.0 2.0 3 4.0 4.5 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Beykoz Anadolu down, Kartal Bulvarspor across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,358 3. Lig - Group 1 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. Lig - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.9% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2022/23.

Home and away form

Beykoz Anadolu at home: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 3). Kartal Bulvarspor away: 2.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.53 goals for Beykoz Anadolu, 1.17 for Kartal Bulvarspor. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022/23

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · 3. Lig - Group 1 this season · since 6 Sept

BEYKOZ ANADOLU

LLDDWL0–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 0–1

KARTAL BULVARSPOR

WLDWWD5–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 4–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Fatsa Belediyespor	7	+10	17
2	Pazarspor	6	+7	13
3	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	7	+3	13
4	Kartal Bulvarspor	6	+6	11
5	Amasyaspor 1968	6	+2	11
6	Galata	7	+3	10
7	Karabük İdman Yurdu	6	+1	10
8	Orduspor 1967	7	0	9
9	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	6	+1	8
10	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor	6	−3	8
11	İnkılapspor	7	−4	8
12	Düzcespor	6	0	7
13	Gölcükspor	7	−2	6
14	Beykoz Anadolu	6	−1	5
15	Zonguldak Kömürspor	6	−3	5
16	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	6	−7	5
17	Silivrispor	6	−5	4
18	Beykoz İshaklıspor	6	−8	1