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Amasyaspor 1968 v Silivrispor

Amasyaspor 1968

2–1Full time

Silivrispor

3. Lig - Group 1 · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:05

Amasyaspor 1968 2–1 Silivrispor AMASYASPOR 1968 WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Amasyaspor 1968 win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.517

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 22 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Amasyaspor 1968 win at 41%.
1′Much as we predicted: Amasyaspor 1968 was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–28–29
2′Much as we predicted: Amasyaspor 1968 was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–29–29
23′11′ and it is 0–1: H. Vardar on the scoresheet for Silivrispor. 0–1 · 14–24–62
24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Silivrispor win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Amasyaspor 1968 win 14%)
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Amasyaspor 1968 win: 41% at kick-off, 42% now
24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Amasyaspor 1968 win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Silivrispor win 29%)
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Amasyaspor 1968 win: 41% at kick-off, 14% now
25′11′ and it is 0–1: H. Vardar on the scoresheet for Silivrispor. 0–1 · 14–24–62
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Amasyaspor 1968 win: 41% at kick-off, 14% now
25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Silivrispor win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Amasyaspor 1968 win 14%)
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Amasyaspor 1968 win: 41% at kick-off, 42% now
25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Amasyaspor 1968 win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Silivrispor win 29%)
44′⚽ GOAL · 11' Amasyaspor 1968 0–1 Silivrispor · H. Vardar (assist B. Senturk)
45′We said Amasyaspor 1968 at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Amasyaspor 1968 win: 41% at kick-off, 9% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Amasyaspor 1968 win: 41% at kick-off, 14% now
45′HALF-TIME Amasyaspor 1968 0–1 Silivrispor
46′SECOND HALF Amasyaspor 1968 0–1 Silivrispor
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Amasyaspor 1968 win: 41% at kick-off, 9% now
47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Silivrispor win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Amasyaspor 1968 win 9%)
47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Amasyaspor 1968 1–1 Silivrispor
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Amasyaspor 1968 win: 41% at kick-off, 9% now
48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Silivrispor win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Amasyaspor 1968 win 9%)
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Amasyaspor 1968 win: 41% at kick-off, 9% now
49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Silivrispor win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Amasyaspor 1968 win 9%)
59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Amasyaspor 1968 2–1 Silivrispor
FTFULL TIME Amasyaspor 1968 2–1 Silivrispor
FTAmasyaspor 1968 2–1 Silivrispor · Amasyaspor 1968 win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Amasyaspor 1968 win41%

Draw30%

Silivrispor win29%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 12:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Amasyaspor 1968

Silivrispor

8Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Amasyaspor 1968	5	+1	8
14	Silivrispor	5	−4	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · amasyaspor 1968 winPublished 11 Oct 12:33

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Amasyaspor 1968 a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Amasyaspor 1968 win	41%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Silivrispor win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	66%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Amasyaspor 1968 or draw	71%	–	–
Amasyaspor 1968 clean sheet	38%	–	–
Silivrispor clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.2%

0123450 12.2 9.7 5.3 1 12.3 13.2 6.2 2.2 2 8.2 7.7 3.9 3 3.6 3.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Amasyaspor 1968 down, Silivrispor across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,346 3. Lig - Group 1 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Lig - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.0% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Amasyaspor 1968 at home: 1.33 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Silivrispor away: 0.67 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.26 goals for Amasyaspor 1968, 1.00 for Silivrispor. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 1

AMASYASPOR 1968

LWDDLW1–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 2–1

SILIVRISPOR

WWLLLD2–0 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Fatsa Belediyespor	5	+8	11
2	Kartal Bulvarspor	5	+6	10
3	Pazarspor	5	+6	10
4	Galata	5	+4	9
5	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	5	+2	9
6	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	5	+2	8
7	Orduspor 1967	5	+1	8
8	Amasyaspor 1968	5	+1	8
9	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor	5	+1	8
10	Düzcespor	5	+1	7
11	Karabük İdman Yurdu	5	−3	7
12	Beykoz Anadolu	5	0	5
13	Gölcükspor	5	−2	4
14	Silivrispor	5	−4	4
15	İnkılapspor	5	−5	4
16	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	5	−7	4
17	Zonguldak Kömürspor	5	−4	2
18	Beykoz İshaklıspor	5	−7	1