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Yeni Orduspor v Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı

Yeni Orduspor
5–4Full time
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı

2. Lig · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08
Yeni Orduspor 5–4 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı YENI ORDUSPOR WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Yeni Orduspor win41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.517

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay24 notes · 20 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Yeni Orduspor win at 41%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Yeni Orduspor was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–27–31
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Yeni Orduspor v Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
  4. 7′Yeni Orduspor score on 6′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 69–19–13
  5. 7′We published Yeni Orduspor at 41%. Our model now makes it 69%. 1–0 · 69–19–13
  6. 7′⚽ GOAL · 6' Yeni Orduspor 1–0 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
  7. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Yeni Orduspor win: 41% at kick-off, 69% now
  8. 10′Yeni Orduspor find the net on 10′. 2–0. 2–0 · 88–8–4
  9. 10′We published Yeni Orduspor at 41%. Our model now makes it 88%. 2–0 · 88–8–4
  10. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Yeni Orduspor 2–0 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
  11. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Yeni Orduspor win: 41% at kick-off, 88% now
  12. 13′A goal for Yeni Orduspor on 12′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 96–3–1
  13. 13′We published Yeni Orduspor at 41%. Our model now makes it 96%. 3–0 · 96–3–1
  14. 13′⚽ GOAL · 12' Yeni Orduspor 3–0 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
  15. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Yeni Orduspor win: 41% at kick-off, 96% now
  16. 30′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 98–2–0
  17. 41′Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı score on 41′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 93–6–2
  18. 41′We published Yeni Orduspor at 41%. Our model now makes it 93%. 3–1 · 93–6–2
  19. 41′4 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 93–6–2
  20. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Yeni Orduspor 3–1 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
  21. 43′Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı find the net on 43′. 3–2. 3–2 · 73–20–7
  22. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Yeni Orduspor 3–2 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
  23. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Yeni Orduspor win: 41% at kick-off, 73% now
  24. 44′We published Yeni Orduspor at 41%. Our model now makes it 74%. 3–2 · 74–20–7
  25. 44′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 74–20–7
  26. 45′A goal for Yeni Orduspor on 45′ — 4–2. 4–2 · 93–5–1
  27. 45′6 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 4–2 · 93–5–1
  28. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Yeni Orduspor 4–2 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
  29. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Yeni Orduspor win: 41% at kick-off, 93% now
  30. 45′HALF-TIME Yeni Orduspor 4–2 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
  31. 46′SECOND HALF Yeni Orduspor 4–2 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
  32. 54′Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı score on 54′ to make it 4–3. 4–3 · 76–19–5
  33. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Yeni Orduspor 4–3 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
  34. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Yeni Orduspor win: 41% at kick-off, 76% now
  35. 55′We published Yeni Orduspor at 41%. Our model now makes it 76%. 4–3 · 76–19–5
  36. 55′That is 7, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 4–3 · 76–19–5
  37. 61′Yeni Orduspor find the net on 61′. 5–3. 5–3 · 96–3–1
  38. 61′8 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 5–3 · 96–3–1
  39. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Yeni Orduspor 5–3 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
  40. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Yeni Orduspor win: 41% at kick-off, 96% now
  41. 79′A goal for Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı on 78′ — 5–4. 5–4 · 89–10–1
  42. 79′That is 9, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 5–4 · 89–10–1
  43. 79′⚽ GOAL · 78' Yeni Orduspor 5–4 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
  44. 84′An own goal by Yeni Orduspor's I. Guner on 79′ — 5–4. 5–4 · 93–6–0
  45. FTFULL TIME Yeni Orduspor 5–4 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
  46. FTYeni Orduspor 5–4 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı · Yeni Orduspor win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Yeni Orduspor are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Yeni Orduspor 41%, draw 27%, Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı 32%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Yeni Orduspor v Beyoğlu Yeni ÇarşıBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Yeni Orduspor win41%
Draw27%
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı win32%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

Round2. Lig Red Group · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Yeni Orduspor

Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Lig

Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Lig

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · Red Group

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Yeni Orduspor7+915
8Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı6+410

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · yeni orduspor winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off
41% The market–
Us41%

We make Yeni Orduspor a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Yeni Orduspor v Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı1.37 – 1.15
Form · last six in 2. Lig this season · since 6 SeptW4 D0 L2 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 15 v 103 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 14:30
Our probability · Yeni Orduspor win

Published at 38%, 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Yeni Orduspor win41%––
Draw27%––
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı win32%––
Over 2.5 goals46%––
Both teams to score50%––
Over 1.5 goals71%––
Over 3.5 goals25%––
Yeni Orduspor or draw68%––
Yeni Orduspor clean sheet33%––
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%
0123450 9.1 9.1 5.4 2.2 1 10.8 12.4 6.9 2.7 2 7.5 8.2 4.6 3 3.5 3.8 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Yeni Orduspor down, Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting0.50
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsBEY 1–0 YEN · YEN 0–0 BEY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Lig this season · since 6 Sept

YENI ORDUSPOR

WLLWWW1–0 · 2–3 · 0–1 · 4–0 · 2–1 · 2–0

BEYOĞLU YENI ÇARŞI

DWWWLL0–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 5–0 · 1–3 · 1–2

The table

2026/27 · Red Group
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Sakaryaspor7+1019
2Adana 01 FK7+616
3Yeni Orduspor7+915
4Ankara Demirspor7+713
524 Erzincanspor6+412
61461 Trabzon FK7+311
7 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor7+211
8Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı6+410
912 Bingölspor709
10Ankaragücü6+48
11Karacabey Belediyespor6−58
12Fethiyespor7−65
13Serik Spor7−75
14İnegölspor6−54
15Kırklarelispor6−54
16Kütahyaspor7−94
17İskenderunspor6−12–

The competition's standings before kick-off.