

Somaspor v Aliağa FAŞ
Somaspor
Aliağa FAŞ2. Lig · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Aliağa FAŞ win at 59%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Aliağa FAŞ 59% before kick-off, 59% now. 0–0 · 20–21–59
- 1′KICK-OFF Somaspor v Aliağa FAŞ
- 10′A goal for Aliağa FAŞ on 9′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 8–13–79
- 10′We said Aliağa FAŞ at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 0–1 · 8–13–79
- 10′⚽ GOAL · 9' Somaspor 0–1 Aliağa FAŞ
- 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Aliağa FAŞ win: 59% at kick-off, 79% now
- 19′Aliağa FAŞ score on 19′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 2–5–93
- 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Somaspor 0–2 Aliağa FAŞ
- 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Aliağa FAŞ win: 59% at kick-off, 93% now
- 20′We said Aliağa FAŞ at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 0–2 · 2–5–93
- 23′Somaspor find the net on 23′. 1–2. 1–2 · 7–14–79
- 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Somaspor 1–2 Aliağa FAŞ
- 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Aliağa FAŞ win: 59% at kick-off, 79% now
- 38′We said Aliağa FAŞ at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–2 · 6–15–80
- 45′HALF-TIME Somaspor 1–2 Aliağa FAŞ
- 46′SECOND HALF Somaspor 1–2 Aliağa FAŞ
- 69′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 1–2 · 2–13–84
- 71′We said Aliağa FAŞ at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–2 · 2–13–85
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Aliağa FAŞ win: 59% at kick-off, 89% now
- 88′We said Aliağa FAŞ at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
- 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Aliağa FAŞ win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
- FTFULL TIME Somaspor 1–2 Aliağa FAŞ
- FTSomaspor 1–2 Aliağa FAŞ · Aliağa FAŞ win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Aliağa FAŞ are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Somaspor 20%, draw 21%, Aliağa FAŞ 59%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 60%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Somaspor win20%
Aliağa FAŞ win59%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 17:00
Round2. Lig White Group · matchday 7
Match timeline
All events
SomasporMIN
Aliağa FAŞEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Somaspor
Aliağa FAŞ
Last match: 11 Oct · 2. Lig
Last match: 10 Oct · 2. Lig
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Aliağa FAŞ a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–2.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Somaspor win | 20% | 14% | +6 |
| Draw | 21% | 20% | +1 |
| Aliağa FAŞ win | 59% | 66% | −7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 62% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 55% | +5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 82% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 42% | +1 |
| Somaspor or draw | 41% | 34% | +7 |
| Somaspor clean sheet | 12% | – | – |
| Aliağa FAŞ clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · 2. Lig this season · since 6 Sept
SOMASPOR
ALIAĞA FAŞ
The table
2026/27 · White Group| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elazığspor | 7 | +14 | 16 |
| 2 | Muş Sport Klübü | 6 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 | Güzide Gebzespor | 7 | +5 | 15 |
| 4 | Aliağa FAŞ | 6 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 | Çorluspor 1947 | 7 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Şanlıurfaspor | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Isparta 32 Spor | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor | 7 | +3 | 9 |
| 10 | Menemen FK | 7 | −2 | 9 |
| 11 | Erbaaspor | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 12 | Somaspor | 5 | −2 | 7 |
| 13 | Ankaraspor | 6 | −4 | 6 |
| 14 | Kastamonuspor | 7 | −10 | 4 |
| 15 | Sebat Gençlikspor | 6 | −5 | 2 |
| 16 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 7 | −13 | 0 |
| 17 | Hatayspor | 7 | −7 | – |
| 18 | Adana Demirspor | 7 | −5 | – |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Elazığspor
Muş Sport Klübü
Güzide Gebzespor
Çorluspor 1947
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
Şanlıurfaspor
Isparta 32 Spor
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Menemen FK
Erbaaspor
Ankaraspor
Kastamonuspor
Sebat Gençlikspor
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
Hatayspor
Adana Demirspor