

Serik Spor v Kütahyaspor
Serik Spor
Kütahyaspor2. Lig · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Serik Spor win at 58%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Serik Spor was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 58–21–21
- 1′KICK-OFF Serik Spor v Kütahyaspor
- 38′Kütahyaspor score on 38′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 23–26–51
- 38′We said Serik Spor at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–1 · 23–26–51
- 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Serik Spor 0–1 Kütahyaspor
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Serik Spor win: 58% at kick-off, 23% now
- 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Kütahyaspor win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Serik Spor win 49%)
- 40′37′: M. Yigit on the scoresheet for Kütahyaspor, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 22–26–52
- 45′HALF-TIME Serik Spor 0–1 Kütahyaspor
- 46′SECOND HALF Serik Spor 0–1 Kütahyaspor
- 47′We said Serik Spor at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–27–54
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+4' Serik Spor win: 58% at kick-off, 18% now
- 57′We said Serik Spor at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–27–59
- 66′We said Serik Spor at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–66
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Serik Spor win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
- 76′We said Serik Spor at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
- 81′Kütahyaspor find the net on 80′. 0–2. 0–2 · 0–2–98
- 81′⚽ GOAL · 80' Serik Spor 0–2 Kütahyaspor
- 82′Kütahyaspor ahead on 79′ through M. Yigit. 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–98
- FTFULL TIME Serik Spor 0–2 Kütahyaspor
- FTSerik Spor 0–2 Kütahyaspor · Serik Spor win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Serik Spor are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Serik Spor 58%, draw 21%, Kütahyaspor 21%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Serik Spor win58%
Kütahyaspor win21%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:30
Round2. Lig Red Group · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Serik SporMIN
KütahyasporEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Serik Spor
Kütahyaspor
Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Lig
Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Lig
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Serik Spor a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are 19 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 60%, 58% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serik Spor win | 58% | 39% | +19 |
| Draw | 21% | 27% | −6 |
| Kütahyaspor win | 21% | 34% | −13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 57% | +8 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 61% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 79% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 36% | +8 |
| Serik Spor or draw | 79% | 66% | +13 |
| Serik Spor clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
| Kütahyaspor clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 2. Lig this season · since 13 Sept
SERIK SPOR
KÜTAHYASPOR
The table
2026/27 · Red Group| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sakaryaspor | 7 | +10 | 19 |
| 2 | Adana 01 FK | 7 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 | Yeni Orduspor | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 | Ankara Demirspor | 7 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | 24 Erzincanspor | 6 | +4 | 12 |
| 6 | 1461 Trabzon FK | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 8 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 Bingölspor | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Ankaragücü | 6 | +4 | 8 |
| 11 | Karacabey Belediyespor | 6 | −5 | 8 |
| 12 | Fethiyespor | 7 | −6 | 5 |
| 13 | Serik Spor | 7 | −7 | 5 |
| 14 | İnegölspor | 6 | −5 | 4 |
| 15 | Kırklarelispor | 6 | −5 | 4 |
| 16 | Kütahyaspor | 7 | −9 | 4 |
| 17 | İskenderunspor | 6 | −12 | – |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Sakaryaspor
Adana 01 FK
Yeni Orduspor
Ankara Demirspor
24 Erzincanspor
1461 Trabzon FK
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
12 Bingölspor
Ankaragücü
Karacabey Belediyespor
Fethiyespor
İnegölspor
Kırklarelispor
İskenderunspor