Serik Spor v Adana 01 FK prediction · 2. Lig

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 14:34

Serik Spor 0–1 Adana 01 FK SERIK SPOR WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Serik Spor win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.593

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 5 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Serik Spor win at 39%.
1′Much as we predicted: Serik Spor was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–24–38
1′KICK-OFF Serik Spor v Adana 01 FK
2′Much as we predicted: Serik Spor was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–24–38
45′HALF-TIME Serik Spor 0–0 Adana 01 FK
46′SECOND HALF Serik Spor 0–0 Adana 01 FK
82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Serik Spor 0–1 Adana 01 FK
FTFULL TIME Serik Spor 0–1 Adana 01 FK
FTSerik Spor 0–1 Adana 01 FK · Serik Spor win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Serik Spor win39%

Draw24%

Adana 01 FK win38%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 12:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Serik Spor

Adana 01 FK

8Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Adana 01 FK	5	+1	10
26	Serik Spor	5	−3	5

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · serik spor winPublished 11 Oct 12:12

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Serik Spor a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Serik Spor win	39%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Adana 01 FK win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Serik Spor or draw	62%	–	–
Serik Spor clean sheet	22%	–	–
Adana 01 FK clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.5%

0123450 5.2 6.6 5.2 2.8 1 6.7 10.5 7.7 4.1 2 5.4 7.8 5.9 3.1 3 2.9 4.2 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Serik Spor down, Adana 01 FK across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 3,424 2. Lig matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

2. Lig matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.5% of games this season, across 92 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Serik Spor at home: 3.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Adana 01 FK away: 1.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.61 goals for Serik Spor, 1.60 for Adana 01 FK. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 2. Lig

SERIK SPOR

WDWDLL6–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–4

ADANA 01 FK

LDLWWW1–2 · 3–3 · 0–2 · 3–2 · 4–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Muş Sport Klübü	6	+9	16
2	Sakaryaspor	5	+9	15
3	Aliağa FAŞ	6	+4	15
4	Elazığspor	5	+8	10
5	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı	4	+7	10
6	Ankara Demirspor	6	+5	10
7	Çorluspor 1947	6	+5	10
8	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	6	+3	10
9	Adana 01 FK	5	+1	10
10	Isparta 32 Spor	6	+1	10
11	Yeni Orduspor	5	+6	9
12	Güzide Gebzespor	5	+3	9
13	24 Erzincanspor	5	+2	9
14	Şanlıurfaspor	6	+1	9
15	Menemen FK	6	−1	9
16	12 Bingölspor	6	0	8
17	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor	6	−1	8
18	Ankaragücü	5	+4	7
19	1461 Trabzon FK	5	+2	7
20	Erbaaspor	5	+1	7
21	Somaspor	4	+1	7
22	Karacabey Belediyespor	4	−1	7
23	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	6	+1	6
24	Ankaraspor	6	−4	6
25	Kastamonuspor	6	−10	6
26	Serik Spor	5	−3	5
27	Kırklarelispor	4	−2	4
28	Hatayspor	5	−2	4
29	Fethiyespor	5	−5	4
30	Adana Demirspor	5	−6	4
31	Kütahyaspor	6	−9	3
32	Sebat Gençlikspor	5	−4	2
33	İnegölspor	4	−5	1
34	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	6	−10	0
35	İskenderunspor	4	−10	0