Sebat Gençlikspor v Muş Sport Klübü

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Muş Sport Klübü win at 56%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Muş Sport Klübü was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 23–21–56
3. 1′KICK-OFF Sebat Gençlikspor v Muş Sport Klübü
4. 18′A goal for Sebat Gençlikspor on 18′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 47–23–29
5. 18′We said Muş Sport Klübü at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–0 · 47–23–29
6. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Sebat Gençlikspor 1–0 Muş Sport Klübü
7. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Muş Sport Klübü win: 56% at kick-off, 29% now
8. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Sebat Gençlikspor win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Muş Sport Klübü win 53%)
9. 19′V. Sonmezsoy scores for Sebat Gençlikspor on 17′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 48–23–29
10. 22′A red card for Muş Sport Klübü on 22′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–0 · 48–24–28
11. 22′🟥 RED CARD · 22' Muş Sport Klübü
12. 24′🟨 YELLOW · 21' E. Resmen · Muş Sport Klübü
13. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Muş Sport Klübü win: 56% at kick-off, 26% now
14. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 1–0 · 50–25–25
15. 32′We said Muş Sport Klübü at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 51–25–24
16. 33′Sebat Gençlikspor score on 32′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 76–15–9
17. 33′We said Muş Sport Klübü at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–0 · 76–15–9
18. 33′⚽ GOAL · 32' Sebat Gençlikspor 2–0 Muş Sport Klübü
19. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Muş Sport Klübü win: 56% at kick-off, 9% now
20. 37′Muş Sport Klübü find the net on 37′. 2–1. 2–1 · 52–25–22
21. 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Sebat Gençlikspor 2–1 Muş Sport Klübü
22. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Muş Sport Klübü win: 56% at kick-off, 22% now
23. 44′We said Muş Sport Klübü at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–1 · 55–26–19
24. 45′HALF-TIME Sebat Gençlikspor 2–1 Muş Sport Klübü
25. 46′SECOND HALF Sebat Gençlikspor 2–1 Muş Sport Klübü
26. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Muş Sport Klübü win: 56% at kick-off, 16% now
27. 54′A goal for Sebat Gençlikspor on 53′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 85–11–4
28. 54′We said Muş Sport Klübü at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 3–1 · 85–11–4
29. 54′⚽ GOAL · 53' Sebat Gençlikspor 3–1 Muş Sport Klübü
30. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Muş Sport Klübü win: 56% at kick-off, 4% now
31. 55′4 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 86–10–4
32. 63′Muş Sport Klübü score on 63′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 64–25–10
33. 63′We said Muş Sport Klübü at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 10%. 3–2 · 64–25–10
34. 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Sebat Gençlikspor 3–2 Muş Sport Klübü
35. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Muş Sport Klübü win: 56% at kick-off, 10% now
36. 64′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 65–25–10
37. 70′Red cards for both sides: Sebat Gençlikspor down to ten, Muş Sport Klübü to ten. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 3–2 · 70–23–7
38. 70′🟥 RED CARD · 69' Sebat Gençlikspor
39. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Muş Sport Klübü win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
40. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 68' B. Yamac · Sebat Gençlikspor
41. FTFULL TIME Sebat Gençlikspor 3–2 Muş Sport Klübü
42. FTSebat Gençlikspor 3–2 Muş Sport Klübü · Muş Sport Klübü win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.