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Muş Sport Klübü v Kastamonuspor

Muş Sport Klübü

1–0Full time

Kastamonuspor

2. Lig · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:02

Muş Sport Klübü 1–0 Kastamonuspor MUŞ SPORT KLÜBÜ WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Muş Sport Klübü win~~72%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.118

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 26 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Muş Sport Klübü win at 72%.
2′Little has changed for our model: Muş Sport Klübü 72% before kick-off, 75% now. 0–0 · 75–15–10
7′Muş Sport Klübü find the net on 5′. 1–0. 1–0 · 89–7–3
16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 89% now
16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 75% now
17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 89% now
17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 75% now
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 89% now
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 75% now
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 89% now
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 75% now
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 75% now
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 89% now
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 89% now
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 75% now
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 75% now
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 89% now
23′Muş Sport Klübü ahead on 5′ through E. Asliyuksek. 1–0. 1–0 · 88–9–3
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 89% now
31′We said Muş Sport Klübü at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 1–0 · 88–9–3
45′We said Muş Sport Klübü at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 1–0 · 87–10–3
45′HALF-TIME Muş Sport Klübü 1–0 Kastamonuspor
46′SECOND HALF Muş Sport Klübü 1–0 Kastamonuspor
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 87% now
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 87% now
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 87% now
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 87% now
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 87% now
54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Muş Sport Klübü win: 72% at kick-off, 87% now
83′⚽ GOAL · 5' Muş Sport Klübü 1–0 Kastamonuspor · E. Asliyuksek (assist I. Yavuz)
86′⚽ GOAL · 5' Muş Sport Klübü 1–0 Kastamonuspor · E. Asliyuksek (assist I. Yavuz)
FTFULL TIME Muş Sport Klübü 1–0 Kastamonuspor
FTMuş Sport Klübü 1–0 Kastamonuspor · Muş Sport Klübü win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Muş Sport Klübü win72%

Draw16%

Kastamonuspor win12%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 17:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · muş sport klübü winPublished 10 Oct 17:01

72% The market–

Us72%

We make Muş Sport Klübü a 72% chance to win. The model expects 2.8–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Muş Sport Klübü win	72%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Kastamonuspor win	12%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Muş Sport Klübü or draw	88%	–	–
Muş Sport Klübü clean sheet	39%	–	–
Kastamonuspor clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 8.8%

0123450 3.3 2.7 1 6.9 7.1 3.4 2 8.8 8.2 4.1 3 7.6 7.0 3.4 4 5.3 4.8 2.3 5 3.3 2.8

under 2% 5% 12%+Muş Sport Klübü down, Kastamonuspor across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 3,416 2. Lig matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

2. Lig matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.0% of games this season, across 84 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Muş Sport Klübü at home: 3.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Kastamonuspor away: 0.50 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.79 goals for Muş Sport Klübü, 0.97 for Kastamonuspor. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 2. Lig

MUŞ SPORT KLÜBÜ

LDWWWW1–2 · 4–4 · 4–0 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 1–0

KASTAMONUSPOR

LLLWLW0–3 · 0–5 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 1–4 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sakaryaspor	5	+9	15
2	Muş Sport Klübü	5	+8	13
3	Aliağa FAŞ	5	+3	12
4	Elazığspor	5	+8	10
5	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı	4	+7	10
6	Çorluspor 1947	5	+6	10
7	Adana 01 FK	5	+1	10
8	Yeni Orduspor	5	+6	9
9	Güzide Gebzespor	5	+3	9
10	24 Erzincanspor	5	+2	9
11	Menemen FK	5	0	9
12	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor	5	0	8
13	Ankaragücü	5	+4	7
14	1461 Trabzon FK	5	+2	7
15	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	5	+2	7
16	Erbaaspor	5	+1	7
17	Ankara Demirspor	5	+1	7
18	Somaspor	4	+1	7
19	Isparta 32 Spor	5	0	7
20	Karacabey Belediyespor	4	−1	7
21	Şanlıurfaspor	5	0	6
22	Ankaraspor	5	−3	6
23	Kastamonuspor	5	−9	6
24	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	5	+1	5
25	12 Bingölspor	5	−1	5
26	Serik Spor	5	−3	5
27	Kırklarelispor	4	−2	4
28	Hatayspor	5	−2	4
29	Fethiyespor	5	−5	4
30	Adana Demirspor	5	−6	4
31	Kütahyaspor	5	−5	3
32	Sebat Gençlikspor	4	−4	1
33	İnegölspor	4	−5	1
34	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	5	−9	0
35	İskenderunspor	4	−10	0