

Muş Sport Klübü v Ankaraspor
Muş Sport Klübü
Ankaraspor2. Lig · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Muş Sport Klübü win at 62%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Muş Sport Klübü 62% before kick-off, 62% now. 0–0 · 62–20–18
- 1′KICK-OFF Muş Sport Klübü v Ankaraspor
- 4′Ankaraspor score on 4′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 39–22–38
- 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Muş Sport Klübü 0–1 Ankaraspor
- 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 4' Muş Sport Klübü win: 62% at kick-off, 39% now
- 5′We said Muş Sport Klübü at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–1 · 39–23–39
- 15′THE CALL SWINGS · 15' Ankaraspor win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Muş Sport Klübü win 35%)
- 17′We said Muş Sport Klübü at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–24–41
- 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Muş Sport Klübü win: 62% at kick-off, 32% now
- 29′We said Muş Sport Klübü at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–26–45
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 0–1 · 29–26–45
- 40′We said Muş Sport Klübü at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–27–48
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Muş Sport Klübü win: 62% at kick-off, 22% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Muş Sport Klübü 1–2 Ankaraspor
- 46′Ankaraspor find the net on 45′. 0–2. 0–2 · 7–14–79
- 46′We said Muş Sport Klübü at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 0–2 · 7–14–79
- 46′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Muş Sport Klübü 0–2 Ankaraspor
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Muş Sport Klübü win: 62% at kick-off, 7% now
- 46′SECOND HALF Muş Sport Klübü 1–2 Ankaraspor
- 47′A goal for Muş Sport Klübü on 45′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 21–28–52
- 47′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Muş Sport Klübü 1–2 Ankaraspor
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+2' Muş Sport Klübü win: 62% at kick-off, 21% now
- 49′We said Muş Sport Klübü at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–2 · 19–28–53
- 58′We said Muş Sport Klübü at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–28–58
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Muş Sport Klübü win: 62% at kick-off, 12% now
- 77′We said Muş Sport Klübü at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–20–76
- 78′Muş Sport Klübü score on 77′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 23–67–10
- 78′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 23–67–10
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 77' Muş Sport Klübü 2–2 Ankaraspor
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Muş Sport Klübü win: 62% at kick-off, 23% now
- 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Draw is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Ankaraspor win 10%)
- 81′Muş Sport Klübü find the net on 81′. 3–2. 3–2 · 92–8–0
- 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Muş Sport Klübü 3–2 Ankaraspor
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Muş Sport Klübü win: 62% at kick-off, 92% now
- 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Muş Sport Klübü win is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Draw 8%)
- 82′We said Muş Sport Klübü at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 3–2 · 92–7–0
- 82′5 goals already, more than the 3.3 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 92–7–0
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Muş Sport Klübü win: 62% at kick-off, 92% now
- 87′We said Muş Sport Klübü at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
- 91′Ankaraspor are down to ten from 90′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 3–2 · 97–3–0
- 91′🟥 RED CARD · 90+1' Ankaraspor
- 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90' M. Tuncer · Ankaraspor
- 97′A goal for Muş Sport Klübü on 90′ — 4–2. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 97′⚽ GOAL · 90+7' Muş Sport Klübü 4–2 Ankaraspor
- FTFULL TIME Muş Sport Klübü 4–2 Ankaraspor
- FTMuş Sport Klübü 4–2 Ankaraspor · Muş Sport Klübü win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Muş Sport Klübü are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Muş Sport Klübü 62%, draw 20%, Ankaraspor 18%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Muş Sport Klübü win62%
Ankaraspor win18%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 17:00
Round2. Lig White Group · matchday 7
Match timeline
All events
Muş Sport KlübüMIN
AnkarasporEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Muş Sport Klübü
Ankaraspor
Last match: 10 Oct · 2. Lig
Last match: 10 Oct · 2. Lig
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Muş Sport Klübü a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 2.2–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 64% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muş Sport Klübü win | 62% | 64% | −2 |
| Draw | 20% | 21% | −1 |
| Ankaraspor win | 18% | 15% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 58% | +5 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 53% | +4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 79% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 38% | +4 |
| Muş Sport Klübü or draw | 82% | 85% | −3 |
| Muş Sport Klübü clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
| Ankaraspor clean sheet | 12% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2022/23No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · 2. Lig this season · since 6 Sept
MUŞ SPORT KLÜBÜ
ANKARASPOR
The table
2026/27 · White Group| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elazığspor | 7 | +14 | 16 |
| 2 | Muş Sport Klübü | 6 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 | Güzide Gebzespor | 7 | +5 | 15 |
| 4 | Aliağa FAŞ | 6 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 | Çorluspor 1947 | 7 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Şanlıurfaspor | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Isparta 32 Spor | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor | 7 | +3 | 9 |
| 10 | Menemen FK | 7 | −2 | 9 |
| 11 | Erbaaspor | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 12 | Somaspor | 5 | −2 | 7 |
| 13 | Ankaraspor | 6 | −4 | 6 |
| 14 | Kastamonuspor | 7 | −10 | 4 |
| 15 | Sebat Gençlikspor | 6 | −5 | 2 |
| 16 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 7 | −13 | 0 |
| 17 | Hatayspor | 7 | −7 | – |
| 18 | Adana Demirspor | 7 | −5 | – |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Elazığspor
Güzide Gebzespor
Aliağa FAŞ
Çorluspor 1947
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
Şanlıurfaspor
Isparta 32 Spor
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Menemen FK
Erbaaspor
Somaspor
Kastamonuspor
Sebat Gençlikspor
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
Hatayspor
Adana Demirspor