Muş Sport Klübü v Adana Demirspor prediction · 2. Lig

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Muş Sport KlübüDrawAdana Demirspor

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Muş Sport Klübü 67%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Muş Sport Klübü are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Muş Sport Klübü 67%, draw 19%, Adana Demirspor 14%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Muş Sport Klübü v Adana DemirsporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Muş Sport Klübü win67%

Draw19%

Adana Demirspor win14%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 16:00

Round2. Lig White Group · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Muş Sport Klübü

Adana Demirspor

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · 2. Lig

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Muş Sport Klübü	8	+10	19
18	Adana Demirspor	8	−6	–

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · muş sport klübü winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

67% The market–

Us67%

We make Muş Sport Klübü a 67% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Muş Sport Klübü v Adana Demirspor~~2.29 – 0.93

~~Form · last six in 2. Lig this season · since 19 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places~~3 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Muş Sport Klübü win	67%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Adana Demirspor win	14%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Muş Sport Klübü or draw	86%	–	–
Muş Sport Klübü clean sheet	40%	–	–
Adana Demirspor clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.3%

0123450 4.8 3.8 1 9.3 8.7 3.9 2 10.3 9.2 4.3 3 7.7 6.9 3.2 4 4.5 4.0 5 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Muş Sport Klübü down, Adana Demirspor across0–5 goals a side shown (96.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 3,466 2. Lig matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Lig matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.7% of games this season, across 134 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2022/23.

Home and away form

Muş Sport Klübü at home: 3.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Adana Demirspor away: 0.75 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

2.29 goals for Muş Sport Klübü, 0.93 for Adana Demirspor. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022/23

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Lig this season · since 19 Sept

MUŞ SPORT KLÜBÜ

WWWWWL3–1 · 3–2 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 4–2 · 2–3

ADANA DEMIRSPOR

DLLWLL1–1 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 0–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27 · White Group

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Aliağa FAŞ	8	+6	21
2	Elazığspor	8	+15	19
3	Muş Sport Klübü	8	+10	19
4	Güzide Gebzespor	8	+8	18
5	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	8	+5	16
6	Şanlıurfaspor	8	+5	15
7	Çorluspor 1947	8	+6	14
8	Isparta 32 Spor	8	0	11
9	Erbaaspor	8	+2	10
10	Menemen FK	8	−2	10
11	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	8	+2	9
12	Ankaraspor	8	−2	9
13	Somaspor	7	−6	7
14	Sebat Gençlikspor	7	−4	5
15	Kastamonuspor	8	−14	4
16	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	8	−15	–
17	Hatayspor	8	−10	–
18	Adana Demirspor	8	−6	–