Kütahyaspor v 12 Bingölspor prediction · 2. Lig

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04

Kütahyaspor 2–2 12 Bingölspor 12 BINGÖLSPOR WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said 12 Bingölspor win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.840

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 19 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said 12 Bingölspor win at 42%.
1′Little has changed for our model: 12 Bingölspor 42% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 33–25–41
1′KICK-OFF Kütahyaspor v 12 Bingölspor
6′Kütahyaspor score on 6′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 59–21–20
6′We said 12 Bingölspor at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 1–0 · 59–21–20
6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Kütahyaspor 1–0 12 Bingölspor
6′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 6' 12 Bingölspor win: 42% at kick-off, 20% now
6′THE CALL SWINGS · 6' Kütahyaspor win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was 12 Bingölspor win 20%)
8′5′: B. Yilmaz on the scoresheet for Kütahyaspor, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 59–21–20
9′We said 12 Bingölspor at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 59–21–19
31′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 63–23–15
32′We said 12 Bingölspor at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 63–23–14
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' 12 Bingölspor win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
41′12 Bingölspor find the net on 40′. 1–1. 1–1 · 29–36–35
41′⚽ GOAL · 40' Kütahyaspor 1–1 12 Bingölspor
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' 12 Bingölspor win: 42% at kick-off, 35% now
45′HALF-TIME Kütahyaspor 1–2 12 Bingölspor
46′A goal for 12 Bingölspor on 45′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 8–20–72
46′We said 12 Bingölspor at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–2 · 8–20–72
46′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 8–20–72
46′⚽ GOAL · 45' Kütahyaspor 1–2 12 Bingölspor
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+1' 12 Bingölspor win: 42% at kick-off, 72% now
46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' 12 Bingölspor win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Kütahyaspor win 8%)
46′SECOND HALF Kütahyaspor 1–2 12 Bingölspor
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' 12 Bingölspor win: 42% at kick-off, 33% now
55′We said 12 Bingölspor at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–2 · 6–19–75
57′Kütahyaspor score on 57′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 25–46–29
57′We said 12 Bingölspor at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 25–46–29
57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Kütahyaspor 2–2 12 Bingölspor
57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' 12 Bingölspor win: 42% at kick-off, 29% now
57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was 12 Bingölspor win 29%)
58′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 24–46–29
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' 12 Bingölspor win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' 12 Bingölspor win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
84′We said 12 Bingölspor at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 8–84–9
FTFULL TIME Kütahyaspor 2–2 12 Bingölspor
FTKütahyaspor 2–2 12 Bingölspor · 12 Bingölspor win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

12 Bingölspor are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kütahyaspor 33%, draw 25%, 12 Bingölspor 42%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Kütahyaspor v 12 BingölsporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Kütahyaspor win33%

Draw25%

12 Bingölspor win42%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00

Round2. Lig Red Group · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kütahyaspor

12 Bingölspor

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · 2. Lig

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	12 Bingölspor	6	0	8
16	Kütahyaspor	6	−9	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · 12 bingölspor winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make 12 Bingölspor a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kütahyaspor v 12 Bingölspor~~1.33 – 1.52

~~Form · 2. Lig this season · since 6 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 3 v 8~~16 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kütahyaspor win	33%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
12 Bingölspor win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Kütahyaspor or draw	58%	–	–
Kütahyaspor clean sheet	23%	–	–
12 Bingölspor clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 6.8 8.7 6.7 3.5 1 7.6 11.6 8.3 4.3 2 5.2 7.3 5.4 2.8 3 2.4 3.3 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kütahyaspor down, 12 Bingölspor across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 3,438 2. Lig matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Lig matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.4% of games this season, across 106 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Kütahyaspor at home: 1.33 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 3). 12 Bingölspor away: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.33 goals for Kütahyaspor, 1.52 for 12 Bingölspor. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · 2. Lig this season · since 6 Sept

KÜTAHYASPOR

WLLLLL4–1 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 0–4 · 1–5

12 BINGÖLSPOR

DWDLLW2–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27 · Red Group

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sakaryaspor	6	+9	16
2	Adana 01 FK	6	+2	13
3	Yeni Orduspor	6	+7	12
4	24 Erzincanspor	6	+4	12
5	1461 Trabzon FK	7	+3	11
6	Ankara Demirspor	6	+5	10
7	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı	5	+5	10
8	Ankaragücü	6	+4	8
9	12 Bingölspor	6	0	8
10	Karacabey Belediyespor	5	−1	8
11	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor	6	−1	8
12	Serik Spor	6	−4	5
13	Fethiyespor	7	−6	5
14	Kırklarelispor	5	−3	4
15	İnegölspor	6	−5	4
16	Kütahyaspor	6	−9	3
17	İskenderunspor	5	−10	–