Karacabey Belediyespor v Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor win at 48%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 28–25–47
3. 1′KICK-OFF Karacabey Belediyespor v Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
4. 28′Karacabey Belediyespor find the net on 28′. 1–0. 1–0 · 57–24–19
5. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Karacabey Belediyespor 1–0 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
6. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor win: 48% at kick-off, 19% now
7. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Karacabey Belediyespor win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor win 43%)
8. 29′We said Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 1–0 · 58–24–18
9. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 58–24–18
11. 42′We said Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 61–25–14
12. 45′HALF-TIME Karacabey Belediyespor 1–1 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
13. 46′SECOND HALF Karacabey Belediyespor 1–1 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
14. 49′A goal for Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor on 45′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 24–40–36
15. 49′We said Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 1–1 · 24–40–36
16. 49′⚽ GOAL · 45+4' Karacabey Belediyespor 1–1 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
17. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+4' Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor win: 48% at kick-off, 36% now
18. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Karacabey Belediyespor win 63%)
19. 53′Karacabey Belediyespor score on 53′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 65–24–10
20. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Karacabey Belediyespor 2–1 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
21. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor win: 48% at kick-off, 10% now
22. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Karacabey Belediyespor win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Draw 42%)
23. 54′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 66–24–10
24. 56′We said Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 67–24–9
25. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
26. 63′Karacabey Belediyespor find the net on 63′. 3–1. 3–1 · 93–6–1
27. 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Karacabey Belediyespor 3–1 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
28. 64′Karacabey Belediyespor ahead on 62′ through F. Kutuk. 3–1. 3–1 · 94–5–1
29. 65′We said Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 3–1 · 94–5–1
30. 65′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 94–5–1
31. FTFULL TIME Karacabey Belediyespor 3–1 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
32. FTKaracabey Belediyespor 3–1 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor · Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.