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Home › Football › 2. Lig › Isparta 32 Spor v Elazığspor

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Isparta 32 Spor v Elazığspor

Isparta 32 Spor
3–4Full time
Elazığspor

2. Lig · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 19:48
Isparta 32 Spor 3–4 Elazığspor ELAZIĞSPOR WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Elazığspor win56%
The market said61%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.290
The market’s Brier score0.234

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 18 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Elazığspor win at 56%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Elazığspor 56% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 23–21–56
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Isparta 32 Spor v Elazığspor
  4. 20′Elazığspor find the net on 19′. 0–1. 0–1 · 8–15–77
  5. 20′We said Elazığspor at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 0–1 · 8–15–77
  6. 20′⚽ GOAL · 19' Isparta 32 Spor 0–1 Elazığspor
  7. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Elazığspor win: 56% at kick-off, 77% now
  8. 21′A goal for Elazığspor on 21′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 2–6–92
  9. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Isparta 32 Spor 0–2 Elazığspor
  10. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Elazığspor win: 56% at kick-off, 92% now
  11. 22′We said Elazığspor at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 0–2 · 2–6–92
  12. 38′Isparta 32 Spor score on 37′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 7–16–78
  13. 38′⚽ GOAL · 37' Isparta 32 Spor 1–2 Elazığspor
  14. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Elazığspor win: 56% at kick-off, 78% now
  15. 45′HALF-TIME Isparta 32 Spor 1–2 Elazığspor
  16. 46′SECOND HALF Isparta 32 Spor 1–2 Elazığspor
  17. 52′Elazığspor find the net on 52′. 1–3. 1–3 · 1–4–95
  18. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Isparta 32 Spor 1–3 Elazığspor
  19. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Elazığspor win: 56% at kick-off, 95% now
  20. 53′We said Elazığspor at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–3 · 1–4–95
  21. 53′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 1–4–95
  22. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Elazığspor win: 56% at kick-off, 96% now
  23. 57′A goal for Elazığspor on 56′ — 1–4. 1–4 · 0–1–99
  24. 57′5 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 1–4 · 0–1–99
  25. 57′⚽ GOAL · 56' Isparta 32 Spor 1–4 Elazığspor · S. Cam (assist E. Soy)
  26. 62′Isparta 32 Spor score on 61′ to make it 2–4. 2–4 · 0–3–96
  27. 62′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 2–4 · 0–3–96
  28. 62′⚽ GOAL · 61' Isparta 32 Spor 2–4 Elazığspor
  29. 69′Isparta 32 Spor find the net on 69′. 3–4. 3–4 · 2–14–83
  30. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Isparta 32 Spor 3–4 Elazığspor
  31. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Elazığspor win: 56% at kick-off, 83% now
  32. 70′We said Elazığspor at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 3–4 · 2–14–84
  33. 71′7 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–4 · 2–14–84
  34. 72′We said Elazığspor at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 3–4 · 2–14–85
  35. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Elazığspor win: 56% at kick-off, 96% now
  36. FTFULL TIME Isparta 32 Spor 3–4 Elazığspor
  37. FTIsparta 32 Spor 3–4 Elazığspor · Elazığspor win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Elazığspor are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Isparta 32 Spor 23%, draw 21%, Elazığspor 56%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Isparta 32 Spor v ElazığsporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Isparta 32 Spor win23%
Draw21%
Elazığspor win56%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00

Round2. Lig White Group · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Isparta 32 Spor

Elazığspor

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Lig

Last match: 17 Oct · 2. Lig

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · White Group

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Elazığspor7+1416
8Isparta 32 Spor7+111

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · elazığspor winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off
56% The market61%
Us56%
Market61%

We make Elazığspor a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 61%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–2.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Isparta 32 Spor v Elazığspor1.28 – 2.15
Form · last six in 2. Lig this season · since 12 SeptW3 D2 L1 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 11 v 168 v 3
The market · Elazığspor win61% · ours 56%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 16:13
Our probability · Elazığspor win The market, margin stripped

Published at 55%, 56% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 61% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Isparta 32 Spor win23%17%+6
Draw21%23%−2
Elazığspor win56%61%−5
Over 2.5 goals65%56%+9
Both teams to score62%54%+8
Over 1.5 goals84%77%+7
Over 3.5 goals44%35%+9
Isparta 32 Spor or draw44%39%+5
Isparta 32 Spor clean sheet13%––
Elazığspor clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.2%
0123450 4.1 7.2 7.4 5.2 2.9 1 4.4 9.2 8.9 6.2 3.4 2 2.9 5.6 5.6 3.9 2.2 3 2.4 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Isparta 32 Spor down, Elazığspor across0–5 goals a side shown (96.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Lig this season · since 12 Sept

ISPARTA 32 SPOR

LDWWWD0–2 · 3–3 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 3–2 · 2–2

ELAZIĞSPOR

WWDLWW2–0 · 5–0 · 0–0 · 2–3 · 3–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27 · White Group
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Muş Sport Klübü7+1119
2Aliağa FAŞ7+518
3Elazığspor7+1416
4Şanlıurfaspor8+515
5Güzide Gebzespor7+515
6Çorluspor 19477+613
7İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik7+413
8Isparta 32 Spor7+111
968 Aksaray Belediyespor7+39
10Menemen FK7−29
11Erbaaspor7−17
12Somaspor6−37
13Ankaraspor7−66
14Kastamonuspor7−104
15Sebat Gençlikspor6−52
16Arnavutköy Belediyespor8−150
17Hatayspor7−7–
18Adana Demirspor7−5–

The competition's standings before kick-off.