

Güzide Gebzespor v Somaspor
Güzide Gebzespor
Somaspor2. Lig · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Güzide Gebzespor win at 59%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Güzide Gebzespor 59% before kick-off, 59% now. 0–0 · 59–23–18
- 1′KICK-OFF Güzide Gebzespor v Somaspor
- 7′A goal for Güzide Gebzespor on 7′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 82–12–6
- 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Güzide Gebzespor 1–0 Somaspor
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Güzide Gebzespor win: 59% at kick-off, 82% now
- 8′We said Güzide Gebzespor at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 1–0 · 82–12–6
- 26′Somaspor score on 26′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 53–29–18
- 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Güzide Gebzespor 1–1 Somaspor
- 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Güzide Gebzespor win: 59% at kick-off, 53% now
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Güzide Gebzespor win: 59% at kick-off, 49% now
- 42′We said Güzide Gebzespor at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 47%. 1–1 · 47–35–18
- 45′HALF-TIME Güzide Gebzespor 1–1 Somaspor
- 46′SECOND HALF Güzide Gebzespor 1–1 Somaspor
- 48′We said Güzide Gebzespor at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–39–17
- 52′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–1 · 42–41–17
- 57′We said Güzide Gebzespor at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–45–16
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Güzide Gebzespor win: 59% at kick-off, 39% now
- 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Güzide Gebzespor win 42%)
- 58′Güzide Gebzespor find the net on 57′. 2–1. 2–1 · 84–13–2
- 58′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 84–13–2
- 58′⚽ GOAL · 57' Güzide Gebzespor 2–1 Somaspor
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Güzide Gebzespor win: 59% at kick-off, 84% now
- 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Güzide Gebzespor win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 45%)
- 59′We said Güzide Gebzespor at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
- 68′A goal for Güzide Gebzespor on 68′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 68′We said Güzide Gebzespor at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Güzide Gebzespor 3–1 Somaspor
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Güzide Gebzespor win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
- 69′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 79′We said Güzide Gebzespor at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 87′Güzide Gebzespor score on 86′ to make it 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 87′5 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 87′⚽ GOAL · 86' Güzide Gebzespor 4–1 Somaspor
- FTFULL TIME Güzide Gebzespor 4–1 Somaspor
- FTGüzide Gebzespor 4–1 Somaspor · Güzide Gebzespor win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Güzide Gebzespor are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Güzide Gebzespor 59%, draw 23%, Somaspor 18%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Güzide Gebzespor win59%
Somaspor win18%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00
Round2. Lig White Group · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Güzide GebzesporMIN
SomasporEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Güzide Gebzespor
Somaspor
Last match: 17 Oct · 2. Lig
Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Lig
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Güzide Gebzespor a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 61%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.9–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 61% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Güzide Gebzespor win | 59% | 61% | −2 |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 0 |
| Somaspor win | 18% | 16% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 55% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 52% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 77% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 35% | −4 |
| Güzide Gebzespor or draw | 82% | 84% | −2 |
| Güzide Gebzespor clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
| Somaspor clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 2. Lig this season · since 6 Sept
GÜZIDE GEBZESPOR
SOMASPOR
The table
2026/27 · White Group| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Muş Sport Klübü | 7 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 | Aliağa FAŞ | 7 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 | Elazığspor | 7 | +14 | 16 |
| 4 | Güzide Gebzespor | 7 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 | Çorluspor 1947 | 7 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Şanlıurfaspor | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Isparta 32 Spor | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor | 7 | +3 | 9 |
| 10 | Menemen FK | 7 | −2 | 9 |
| 11 | Erbaaspor | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 12 | Somaspor | 6 | −3 | 7 |
| 13 | Ankaraspor | 7 | −6 | 6 |
| 14 | Kastamonuspor | 7 | −10 | 4 |
| 15 | Sebat Gençlikspor | 6 | −5 | 2 |
| 16 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 7 | −13 | 0 |
| 17 | Hatayspor | 7 | −7 | – |
| 18 | Adana Demirspor | 7 | −5 | – |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Muş Sport Klübü
Aliağa FAŞ
Elazığspor
Çorluspor 1947
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
Şanlıurfaspor
Isparta 32 Spor
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Menemen FK
Erbaaspor
Ankaraspor
Kastamonuspor
Sebat Gençlikspor
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
Hatayspor
Adana Demirspor