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Çorluspor 1947 v Şanlıurfaspor

Çorluspor 1947

2–3Full time

Şanlıurfaspor

2. Lig · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:06

Çorluspor 1947 2–3 Şanlıurfaspor ÇORLUSPOR 1947 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Çorluspor 1947 win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.675

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 16 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Çorluspor 1947 win at 42%.
1′Much as we predicted: Çorluspor 1947 was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–24–34
1′KICK-OFF Çorluspor 1947 v Şanlıurfaspor
29′PENALTY MISSED · 29' Şanlıurfaspor
34′⚽ GOAL · 31' Çorluspor 1947 0–1 Şanlıurfaspor · H. Yener (assist O. Aydin)
42′H. Yener scores for Şanlıurfaspor on 31′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 12–23–65
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Çorluspor 1947 win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Şanlıurfaspor win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Çorluspor 1947 win 12%)
45′We said Çorluspor 1947 at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 11%. 0–1 · 11–23–66
45′HALF-TIME Çorluspor 1947 0–1 Şanlıurfaspor
46′SECOND HALF Çorluspor 1947 0–1 Şanlıurfaspor
52′PENALTY MISSED · 29' H. Yener · Şanlıurfaspor
52′⚽ GOAL · 31' Çorluspor 1947 0–1 Şanlıurfaspor · H. Yener (assist O. Aydin)
57′57′ and it is 0–2: Şanlıurfaspor have scored. 0–2 · 1–6–92
57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Çorluspor 1947 0–2 Şanlıurfaspor
57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Çorluspor 1947 win: 42% at kick-off, 1% now
65′⚽ GOAL · 64' Çorluspor 1947 1–2 Şanlıurfaspor
76′⚽ GOAL · 72' Çorluspor 1947 1–3 Şanlıurfaspor · A. Karademir
80′80′ and it is 1–3: A. H. Tuncer on the scoresheet for Çorluspor 1947. 1–3 · 0–1–99
80′🟥 RED CARD · 78' Şanlıurfaspor
83′⚽ GOAL · 80' Çorluspor 1947 2–3 Şanlıurfaspor · A. H. Tuncer
FTFULL TIME Çorluspor 1947 2–3 Şanlıurfaspor
FTÇorluspor 1947 2–3 Şanlıurfaspor · Çorluspor 1947 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Çorluspor 1947 win42%

Draw25%

Şanlıurfaspor win34%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · çorluspor 1947 winPublished 10 Oct 13:47

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Çorluspor 1947 a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Çorluspor 1947 win	42%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Şanlıurfaspor win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Çorluspor 1947 or draw	66%	–	–
Çorluspor 1947 clean sheet	26%	–	–
Şanlıurfaspor clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 6.1 7.0 5.0 2.4 1 7.9 11.2 7.4 3.5 2 6.4 8.4 5.7 2.7 3 3.4 4.5 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Çorluspor 1947 down, Şanlıurfaspor across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 3,416 2. Lig matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

2. Lig matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.0% of games this season, across 84 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Çorluspor 1947 at home: 0.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 2). Şanlıurfaspor away: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.59 goals for Çorluspor 1947, 1.40 for Şanlıurfaspor. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 2. Lig

ÇORLUSPOR 1947

WDWLW5–0 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 3–2

ŞANLIURFASPOR

DWDDLD1–1 · 1–0 · 3–3 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sakaryaspor	5	+9	15
2	Muş Sport Klübü	5	+8	13
3	Aliağa FAŞ	5	+3	12
4	Elazığspor	5	+8	10
5	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı	4	+7	10
6	Çorluspor 1947	5	+6	10
7	Adana 01 FK	5	+1	10
8	Yeni Orduspor	5	+6	9
9	Güzide Gebzespor	5	+3	9
10	24 Erzincanspor	5	+2	9
11	Menemen FK	5	0	9
12	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor	5	0	8
13	Ankaragücü	5	+4	7
14	1461 Trabzon FK	5	+2	7
15	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	5	+2	7
16	Erbaaspor	5	+1	7
17	Ankara Demirspor	5	+1	7
18	Somaspor	4	+1	7
19	Isparta 32 Spor	5	0	7
20	Karacabey Belediyespor	4	−1	7
21	Şanlıurfaspor	5	0	6
22	Ankaraspor	5	−3	6
23	Kastamonuspor	5	−9	6
24	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	5	+1	5
25	12 Bingölspor	5	−1	5
26	Serik Spor	5	−3	5
27	Kırklarelispor	4	−2	4
28	Hatayspor	5	−2	4
29	Fethiyespor	5	−5	4
30	Adana Demirspor	5	−6	4
31	Kütahyaspor	5	−5	3
32	Sebat Gençlikspor	4	−4	1
33	İnegölspor	4	−5	1
34	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	5	−9	0
35	İskenderunspor	4	−10	0