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Home › Football › 2. Lig › Arnavutköy Belediyespor v Şanlıurfaspor

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Arnavutköy Belediyespor v Şanlıurfaspor

Arnavutköy Belediyespor
0–2Full time
Şanlıurfaspor

2. Lig · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:04
Arnavutköy Belediyespor 0–2 Şanlıurfaspor ŞANLIURFASPOR WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Şanlıurfaspor win54%
The market said72%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.316
The market’s Brier score0.120

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 8 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Şanlıurfaspor win at 54%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Şanlıurfaspor 54% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 22–24–54
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Arnavutköy Belediyespor v Şanlıurfaspor
  4. 30′Şanlıurfaspor score on 30′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 6–15–78
  5. 30′We said Şanlıurfaspor at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 0–1 · 6–15–78
  6. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 6–15–78
  7. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Arnavutköy Belediyespor 0–1 Şanlıurfaspor
  8. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Şanlıurfaspor win: 54% at kick-off, 78% now
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Arnavutköy Belediyespor 0–1 Şanlıurfaspor
  10. 46′We said Şanlıurfaspor at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 5–16–80
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Arnavutköy Belediyespor 0–1 Şanlıurfaspor
  12. 55′Şanlıurfaspor find the net on 54′. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–3–96
  13. 55′We said Şanlıurfaspor at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 0–2 · 1–3–96
  14. 55′⚽ GOAL · 54' Arnavutköy Belediyespor 0–2 Şanlıurfaspor
  15. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Şanlıurfaspor win: 54% at kick-off, 96% now
  16. 81′We said Şanlıurfaspor at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  17. FTFULL TIME Arnavutköy Belediyespor 0–2 Şanlıurfaspor
  18. FTArnavutköy Belediyespor 0–2 Şanlıurfaspor · Şanlıurfaspor win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Şanlıurfaspor are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Arnavutköy Belediyespor 22%, draw 24%, Şanlıurfaspor 54%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Arnavutköy Belediyespor v ŞanlıurfasporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Arnavutköy Belediyespor win22%
Draw24%
Şanlıurfaspor win54%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 11:00

Round2. Lig White Group · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Arnavutköy Belediyespor

Şanlıurfaspor

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 2. Lig

Last match: 17 Oct · 2. Lig

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · White Group

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Şanlıurfaspor7+312
16Arnavutköy Belediyespor7−130

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · şanlıurfaspor winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
54% The market72%
Us54%
Market72%

We make Şanlıurfaspor a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 72%. We are 18 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–1.8.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Arnavutköy Belediyespor v Şanlıurfaspor1.04 – 1.80
Form · last six in 2. Lig this season · since 12 SeptW0 D0 L6 · W2 D3 L1
Table places · points 0 v 1216 v 7
The market · Şanlıurfaspor win72% · ours 54%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65%70%75% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 10:48
Our probability · Şanlıurfaspor win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 72% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Arnavutköy Belediyespor win22%10%+12
Draw24%18%+6
Şanlıurfaspor win54%72%−18
Over 2.5 goals53%59%−6
Both teams to score52%47%+5
Over 1.5 goals77%80%−3
Over 3.5 goals32%39%−7
Arnavutköy Belediyespor or draw46%28%+18
Arnavutköy Belediyespor clean sheet18%––
Şanlıurfaspor clean sheet36%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.9%
0123450 6.7 10.4 9.2 5.6 2.7 1 6.1 10.9 9.1 5.4 2.6 2 3.4 5.6 4.7 2.8 3 2.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Arnavutköy Belediyespor down, Şanlıurfaspor across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsARN 0–6 SAN · SAN 1–1 ARN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Lig this season · since 12 Sept

ARNAVUTKÖY BELEDIYESPOR

LLLLLL0–1 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 2–3 · 0–3

ŞANLIURFASPOR

DDLDWW3–3 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 4–2

The table

2026/27 · White Group
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Muş Sport Klübü7+1119
2Aliağa FAŞ7+518
3Elazığspor7+1416
4Güzide Gebzespor7+515
5Çorluspor 19477+613
6İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik7+413
7Şanlıurfaspor7+312
8Isparta 32 Spor7+111
968 Aksaray Belediyespor7+39
10Menemen FK7−29
11Erbaaspor7−17
12Somaspor6−37
13Ankaraspor7−66
14Kastamonuspor7−104
15Sebat Gençlikspor6−52
16Arnavutköy Belediyespor7−130
17Hatayspor7−7–
18Adana Demirspor7−5–

The competition's standings before kick-off.