

Arnavutköy Belediyespor v Şanlıurfaspor
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
Şanlıurfaspor2. Lig · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Şanlıurfaspor win at 54%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Şanlıurfaspor 54% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 22–24–54
- 1′KICK-OFF Arnavutköy Belediyespor v Şanlıurfaspor
- 30′Şanlıurfaspor score on 30′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 6–15–78
- 30′We said Şanlıurfaspor at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 0–1 · 6–15–78
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 6–15–78
- 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Arnavutköy Belediyespor 0–1 Şanlıurfaspor
- 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Şanlıurfaspor win: 54% at kick-off, 78% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Arnavutköy Belediyespor 0–1 Şanlıurfaspor
- 46′We said Şanlıurfaspor at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 5–16–80
- 46′SECOND HALF Arnavutköy Belediyespor 0–1 Şanlıurfaspor
- 55′Şanlıurfaspor find the net on 54′. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–3–96
- 55′We said Şanlıurfaspor at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 0–2 · 1–3–96
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 54' Arnavutköy Belediyespor 0–2 Şanlıurfaspor
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Şanlıurfaspor win: 54% at kick-off, 96% now
- 81′We said Şanlıurfaspor at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Arnavutköy Belediyespor 0–2 Şanlıurfaspor
- FTArnavutköy Belediyespor 0–2 Şanlıurfaspor · Şanlıurfaspor win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Şanlıurfaspor are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Arnavutköy Belediyespor 22%, draw 24%, Şanlıurfaspor 54%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 52%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Arnavutköy Belediyespor win22%
Şanlıurfaspor win54%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 11:00
Round2. Lig White Group · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Arnavutköy BelediyesporMIN
ŞanlıurfasporEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
Şanlıurfaspor
Last match: 17 Oct · 2. Lig
Last match: 17 Oct · 2. Lig
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Şanlıurfaspor a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 72%. We are 18 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–1.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 72% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arnavutköy Belediyespor win | 22% | 10% | +12 |
| Draw | 24% | 18% | +6 |
| Şanlıurfaspor win | 54% | 72% | −18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 59% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 47% | +5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 80% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 39% | −7 |
| Arnavutköy Belediyespor or draw | 46% | 28% | +18 |
| Arnavutköy Belediyespor clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
| Şanlıurfaspor clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 2. Lig this season · since 12 Sept
ARNAVUTKÖY BELEDIYESPOR
ŞANLIURFASPOR
The table
2026/27 · White Group| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Muş Sport Klübü | 7 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 | Aliağa FAŞ | 7 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 | Elazığspor | 7 | +14 | 16 |
| 4 | Güzide Gebzespor | 7 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 | Çorluspor 1947 | 7 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Şanlıurfaspor | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Isparta 32 Spor | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor | 7 | +3 | 9 |
| 10 | Menemen FK | 7 | −2 | 9 |
| 11 | Erbaaspor | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 12 | Somaspor | 6 | −3 | 7 |
| 13 | Ankaraspor | 7 | −6 | 6 |
| 14 | Kastamonuspor | 7 | −10 | 4 |
| 15 | Sebat Gençlikspor | 6 | −5 | 2 |
| 16 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 7 | −13 | 0 |
| 17 | Hatayspor | 7 | −7 | – |
| 18 | Adana Demirspor | 7 | −5 | – |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Muş Sport Klübü
Aliağa FAŞ
Elazığspor
Güzide Gebzespor
Çorluspor 1947
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
Isparta 32 Spor
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Menemen FK
Erbaaspor
Somaspor
Ankaraspor
Kastamonuspor
Sebat Gençlikspor
Hatayspor
Adana Demirspor