Ankaraspor v Kastamonuspor
AnkarasporKastamonuspor2. Lig · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Ankaraspor win at 52%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Ankaraspor was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–24–25
- 1′KICK-OFF Ankaraspor v Kastamonuspor
- 2′A goal for Ankaraspor on 2′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 75–15–10
- 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Ankaraspor 1–0 Kastamonuspor
- 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Ankaraspor win: 52% at kick-off, 75% now
- 3′We published Ankaraspor at 52%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–15–10
- 5′Ankaraspor score on 5′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 90–7–3
- 5′We published Ankaraspor at 52%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–0 · 90–7–3
- 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Ankaraspor 2–0 Kastamonuspor
- 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Ankaraspor win: 52% at kick-off, 90% now
- 19′Ankaraspor find the net on 19′. 3–0. 3–0 · 98–2–1
- 19′We published Ankaraspor at 52%. Our model now makes it 98%. 3–0 · 98–2–1
- 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Ankaraspor 3–0 Kastamonuspor
- 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Ankaraspor win: 52% at kick-off, 98% now
- 24′A goal for Kastamonuspor on 24′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 92–6–2
- 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Ankaraspor 3–1 Kastamonuspor
- 25′E. Acikgoz scores for Kastamonuspor on 25′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 92–6–2
- 30′4 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 92–6–2
- 45′HALF-TIME Ankaraspor 3–1 Kastamonuspor
- 46′SECOND HALF Ankaraspor 3–1 Kastamonuspor
- 66′Ankaraspor score on 66′ to make it 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Ankaraspor 4–1 Kastamonuspor
- 67′We published Ankaraspor at 52%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 67′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 91′Ankaraspor find the net on 90′. 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 91′6 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 91′⚽ GOAL · 90' Ankaraspor 5–1 Kastamonuspor
- FTFULL TIME Ankaraspor 5–1 Kastamonuspor
- FTAnkaraspor 5–1 Kastamonuspor · Ankaraspor win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Ankaraspor are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Ankaraspor 52%, draw 23%, Kastamonuspor 25%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Ankaraspor win52%Kastamonuspor win25%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:30
Round2. Lig White Group · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
AnkarasporMINKastamonusporEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Ankaraspor
Kastamonuspor
Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Lig
Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Lig
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27 · White GroupPositions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ankaraspor | 7 | −6 | 6 |
| 14 | Kastamonuspor | 7 | −10 | 4 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Ankaraspor a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ankaraspor win | 52% | 54% | −2 |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| Kastamonuspor win | 25% | 21% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 57% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 56% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 78% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 35% | 0 |
| Ankaraspor or draw | 75% | 79% | −4 |
| Ankaraspor clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Kastamonuspor clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 2. Lig this season · since 13 Sept
ANKARASPOR
KASTAMONUSPOR
The table
2026/27 · White Group| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Muş Sport Klübü | 7 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |  Aliağa FAŞ | 7 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 |  Elazığspor | 7 | +14 | 16 |
| 4 |  Güzide Gebzespor | 7 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 |  Çorluspor 1947 | 7 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 |  İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Şanlıurfaspor | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Isparta 32 Spor | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  68 Aksaray Belediyespor | 7 | +3 | 9 |
| 10 |  Menemen FK | 7 | −2 | 9 |
| 11 |  Erbaaspor | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Somaspor | 6 | −3 | 7 |
| 13 | Ankaraspor | 7 | −6 | 6 |
| 14 | Kastamonuspor | 7 | −10 | 4 |
| 15 |  Sebat Gençlikspor | 6 | −5 | 2 |
| 16 |  Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 7 | −13 | 0 |
| 17 |  Hatayspor | 7 | −7 | – |
| 18 |  Adana Demirspor | 7 | −5 | – |
The competition's standings before kick-off.