Ankaragücü v 1461 Trabzon FK

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ankaragücü win at 53%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Ankaragücü was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–23–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Ankaragücü v 1461 Trabzon FK
4. 4′A goal for Ankaragücü on 4′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 75–15–10
5. 4′We published Ankaragücü at 53%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–15–10
6. 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Ankaragücü 1–0 1461 Trabzon FK
7. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' Ankaragücü win: 53% at kick-off, 75% now
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 76–16–8
9. 45′HALF-TIME Ankaragücü 1–0 1461 Trabzon FK
10. 46′SECOND HALF Ankaragücü 1–0 1461 Trabzon FK
11. 50′Ankaragücü score on 50′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
12. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Ankaragücü 2–0 1461 Trabzon FK
13. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Ankaragücü win: 53% at kick-off, 95% now
14. 51′We published Ankaragücü at 53%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
15. 70′1461 Trabzon FK find the net on 70′. 2–1. 2–1 · 84–14–2
16. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Ankaragücü 2–1 1461 Trabzon FK
17. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Ankaragücü win: 53% at kick-off, 84% now
18. 71′We published Ankaragücü at 53%. Our model now makes it 84%. 2–1 · 84–14–2
19. 72′We published Ankaragücü at 53%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
20. 80′We published Ankaragücü at 53%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
21. 81′A goal for 1461 Trabzon FK on 81′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 16–75–9
22. 81′We said Ankaragücü at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 2–2 · 16–75–9
23. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Ankaragücü 2–2 1461 Trabzon FK
24. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Ankaragücü win: 53% at kick-off, 16% now
25. 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Draw is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Ankaragücü win 90%)
26. 82′We said Ankaragücü at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–77–9
27. 83′4 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 13–80–8
28. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Ankaragücü win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
29. 86′We said Ankaragücü at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–85–6
30. 91′1461 Trabzon FK score on 90′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 0–5–95
31. 91′⚽ GOAL · 90' Ankaragücü 2–3 1461 Trabzon FK
32. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Ankaragücü win: 53% at kick-off, under 1% now
33. 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' 1461 Trabzon FK win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 90%)
34. 92′We said Ankaragücü at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 2–3 · 0–4–96
35. 93′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+3' 1461 Trabzon FK
36. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 95% (was 1461 Trabzon FK win 96%)
37. FTFULL TIME Ankaragücü 2–2 1461 Trabzon FK
38. FTAnkaragücü 2–2 1461 Trabzon FK · Ankaragücü win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.