Aliağa FAŞ v 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Aliağa FAŞ68 Aksaray Belediyespor2. Lig · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Aliağa FAŞ win at 55%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Aliağa FAŞ v 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Aliağa FAŞ 55% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 54–23–22
- 17′Aliağa FAŞ find the net on 17′. 1–0. 1–0 · 78–15–8
- 17′We said Aliağa FAŞ at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–0 · 78–15–8
- 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Aliağa FAŞ 1–0 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
- 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Aliağa FAŞ win: 55% at kick-off, 78% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 1–0 · 78–15–7
- 45′HALF-TIME Aliağa FAŞ 1–0 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
- 46′SECOND HALF Aliağa FAŞ 1–0 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
- 49′We said Aliağa FAŞ at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–5
- 51′A goal for Aliağa FAŞ on 51′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 96–4–1
- 51′We said Aliağa FAŞ at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 2–0 · 96–4–1
- 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Aliağa FAŞ 2–0 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Aliağa FAŞ win: 55% at kick-off, 96% now
- 58′68 Aksaray Belediyespor score on 58′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 81–15–3
- 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Aliağa FAŞ 2–1 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Aliağa FAŞ win: 55% at kick-off, 81% now
- 59′3 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 82–15–3
- 69′We said Aliağa FAŞ at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Aliağa FAŞ win: 55% at kick-off, 85% now
- 79′We said Aliağa FAŞ at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Aliağa FAŞ win: 55% at kick-off, 95% now
- FTFULL TIME Aliağa FAŞ 2–1 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
- FTAliağa FAŞ 2–1 68 Aksaray Belediyespor · Aliağa FAŞ win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Aliağa FAŞ are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Aliağa FAŞ 55%, draw 23%, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 22%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Aliağa FAŞ win55%68 Aksaray Belediyespor win22%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00
Round2. Lig White Group · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Aliağa FAŞMIN68 Aksaray BelediyesporEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Aliağa FAŞ
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Lig
Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Lig
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27 · White GroupPositions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aliağa FAŞ | 7 | +5 | 18 |
| 9 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor | 7 | +3 | 9 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Aliağa FAŞ a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 15 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 56%, 55% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aliağa FAŞ win | 55% | 40% | +15 |
| Draw | 23% | 27% | −4 |
| 68 Aksaray Belediyespor win | 22% | 33% | −11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 55% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 60% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 77% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 35% | 0 |
| Aliağa FAŞ or draw | 78% | 67% | +11 |
| Aliağa FAŞ clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| 68 Aksaray Belediyespor clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 2. Lig this season · since 13 Sept
ALIAĞA FAŞ
68 AKSARAY BELEDIYESPOR
The table
2026/27 · White Group| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Muş Sport Klübü | 7 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 | Aliağa FAŞ | 7 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 |  Elazığspor | 7 | +14 | 16 |
| 4 |  Şanlıurfaspor | 8 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 |  Güzide Gebzespor | 7 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 |  Çorluspor 1947 | 7 | +6 | 13 |
| 7 |  İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Isparta 32 Spor | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor | 7 | +3 | 9 |
| 10 |  Menemen FK | 7 | −2 | 9 |
| 11 |  Erbaaspor | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Somaspor | 6 | −3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Ankaraspor | 7 | −6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Kastamonuspor | 7 | −10 | 4 |
| 15 |  Sebat Gençlikspor | 6 | −5 | 2 |
| 16 |  Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 8 | −15 | 0 |
| 17 |  Hatayspor | 7 | −7 | – |
| 18 |  Adana Demirspor | 7 | −5 | – |
The competition's standings before kick-off.