Home › Football › 2. Lig › Adana Demirspor v Somaspor

Adana Demirspor v Somaspor

Adana Demirspor

3–0Full time

Somaspor

2. Lig · SUN 11 OCT · Yeni Adana Stadyumu

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Adana Demirspor 3–0 Somaspor ADANA DEMIRSPOR WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Adana Demirspor win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.476

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 22 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Adana Demirspor win at 44%.
1′Much as we predicted: Adana Demirspor was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–25–30
2′Much as we predicted: Adana Demirspor was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–25–30
22′5′ and it is 1–0: E. Demirtas on the scoresheet for Adana Demirspor. 1–0 · 71–19–10
23′5′ and it is 1–0: E. Demirtas on the scoresheet for Adana Demirspor. 1–0 · 71–19–10
44′We published Adana Demirspor at 44%. Our model now makes it 74%. 1–0 · 74–19–7
45′We published Adana Demirspor at 44%. Our model now makes it 74%. 1–0 · 74–19–7
51′Adana Demirspor find the net on 50′. 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Adana Demirspor win: 44% at kick-off, 74% now
63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Adana Demirspor win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
63′⚽ GOAL · 5' Adana Demirspor 2–0 Somaspor · E. Demirtas
63′⚽ GOAL · 50' Adana Demirspor 2–0 Somaspor · K. Kucuk (assist A. Bolat)
64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Adana Demirspor win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Adana Demirspor win: 44% at kick-off, 74% now
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Adana Demirspor win: 44% at kick-off, 74% now
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Adana Demirspor win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
66′⚽ GOAL · 5' Adana Demirspor 2–0 Somaspor · E. Demirtas
66′⚽ GOAL · 50' Adana Demirspor 2–0 Somaspor · K. Kucuk (assist A. Bolat)
66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Adana Demirspor win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Adana Demirspor win: 44% at kick-off, 74% now
67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Adana Demirspor win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Adana Demirspor win: 44% at kick-off, 74% now
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Adana Demirspor win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Adana Demirspor win: 44% at kick-off, 74% now
69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Adana Demirspor win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
70′Adana Demirspor ahead on 50′ through K. Kucuk. 2–0. 2–0 · 98–2–0
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Adana Demirspor win: 44% at kick-off, 74% now
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Adana Demirspor win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Adana Demirspor win: 44% at kick-off, 98% now
86′We published Adana Demirspor at 44%. Our model now makes it 100%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
90′⚽ GOAL · 92' Adana Demirspor 3–0 Somaspor
FTFULL TIME Adana Demirspor 3–0 Somaspor
FTAdana Demirspor 3–0 Somaspor · Adana Demirspor win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Adana Demirspor win44%

Draw26%

Somaspor win31%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 17:00

VenueYeni Adana Stadyumu

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Adana Demirspor

Somaspor

8Days since last match15

2Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
21	Somaspor	4	+1	7
30	Adana Demirspor	5	−6	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · adana demirspor winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Adana Demirspor a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Adana Demirspor win	44%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Somaspor win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Adana Demirspor or draw	69%	–	–
Adana Demirspor clean sheet	30%	–	–
Somaspor clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 7.4 7.7 4.9 2.1 1 9.5 11.8 6.9 2.9 2 7.4 8.5 5.1 2.2 3 3.8 4.4 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Adana Demirspor down, Somaspor across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 3,424 2. Lig matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

2. Lig matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.5% of games this season, across 92 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Adana Demirspor at home: 0.00 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 2). Somaspor away: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.53 goals for Adana Demirspor, 1.23 for Somaspor. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 2. Lig

ADANA DEMIRSPOR

WLDLL2–1 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 0–2

SOMASPOR

LLDWLW1–5 · 2–3 · 3–3 · 3–1 · 1–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Muş Sport Klübü	6	+9	16
2	Sakaryaspor	5	+9	15
3	Aliağa FAŞ	6	+4	15
4	Elazığspor	5	+8	10
5	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı	4	+7	10
6	Ankara Demirspor	6	+5	10
7	Çorluspor 1947	6	+5	10
8	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	6	+3	10
9	Adana 01 FK	5	+1	10
10	Isparta 32 Spor	6	+1	10
11	Yeni Orduspor	5	+6	9
12	Güzide Gebzespor	5	+3	9
13	24 Erzincanspor	5	+2	9
14	Şanlıurfaspor	6	+1	9
15	Menemen FK	6	−1	9
16	12 Bingölspor	6	0	8
17	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor	6	−1	8
18	Ankaragücü	5	+4	7
19	1461 Trabzon FK	5	+2	7
20	Erbaaspor	5	+1	7
21	Somaspor	4	+1	7
22	Karacabey Belediyespor	4	−1	7
23	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	6	+1	6
24	Ankaraspor	6	−4	6
25	Kastamonuspor	6	−10	6
26	Serik Spor	5	−3	5
27	Kırklarelispor	4	−2	4
28	Hatayspor	5	−2	4
29	Fethiyespor	5	−5	4
30	Adana Demirspor	5	−6	4
31	Kütahyaspor	6	−9	3
32	Sebat Gençlikspor	5	−4	2
33	İnegölspor	4	−5	1
34	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	6	−10	0
35	İskenderunspor	4	−10	0