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Home › Football › 2. Lig › Adana Demirspor v İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik

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Adana Demirspor v İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik

Adana Demirspor
0–1Full time
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik

2. Lig · SAT 24 OCT · Yeni Adana Stadyumu

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33
Adana Demirspor 0–1 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik İNEGÖL KAFKAS GENÇLIK WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik win38%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.573

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik win at 38%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 35–27–38
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Adana Demirspor v İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
  4. 32′İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik score on 32′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 11–21–68
  5. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Adana Demirspor 0–1 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
  6. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
  7. 33′We published İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik at 38%. Our model now makes it 69%. 0–1 · 11–21–69
  8. 33′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 11–21–69
  9. 39′We published İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik at 38%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 9–21–70
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Adana Demirspor 0–1 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Adana Demirspor 0–1 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
  12. 57′We published İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik at 38%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 6–20–75
  13. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik win: 38% at kick-off, 78% now
  14. 68′We published İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik at 38%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
  15. 76′We published İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik at 38%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 2–13–85
  16. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik win: 38% at kick-off, 88% now
  17. 82′We published İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik at 38%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
  18. 88′We published İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik at 38%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
  19. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik win: 38% at kick-off, 98% now
  20. FTFULL TIME Adana Demirspor 0–1 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
  21. FTAdana Demirspor 0–1 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik · İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Adana Demirspor 35%, draw 26%, İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 38%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Adana Demirspor v İnegöl Kafkas GençlikBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Adana Demirspor win35%
Draw26%
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik win38%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

Round2. Lig White Group · matchday 8

VenueYeni Adana Stadyumu

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Adana Demirspor

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Lig

Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Lig

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · White Group

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik7+413
18Adana Demirspor7−5–

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · i̇negöl kafkas gençlik winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off
38% The market–
Us38%

We make İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Adana Demirspor v İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik1.30 – 1.37
Form · last six in 2. Lig this season · since 12 SeptW1 D1 L4 · W3 D1 L2
Table places18 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 13:39
Our probability · İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik win

Published at 36%, 38% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Adana Demirspor win35%––
Draw26%––
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik win38%––
Over 2.5 goals49%––
Both teams to score53%––
Over 1.5 goals74%––
Over 3.5 goals28%––
Adana Demirspor or draw62%––
Adana Demirspor clean sheet27%––
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.2%
0123450 8.0 9.4 6.5 3.1 1 8.9 12.2 8.0 3.7 2 5.9 7.6 5.1 2.4 3 2.6 3.4 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Adana Demirspor down, İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Lig this season · since 12 Sept

ADANA DEMIRSPOR

LDLLWL0–2 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 0–2

İNEGÖL KAFKAS GENÇLIK

LDWLWW1–3 · 1–1 · 4–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27 · White Group
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Muş Sport Klübü7+1119
2Aliağa FAŞ7+518
3Elazığspor7+1416
4Güzide Gebzespor7+515
5Çorluspor 19477+613
6İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik7+413
7Şanlıurfaspor7+312
8Isparta 32 Spor7+111
968 Aksaray Belediyespor7+39
10Menemen FK7−29
11Erbaaspor7−17
12Somaspor6−37
13Ankaraspor7−66
14Kastamonuspor7−104
15Sebat Gençlikspor6−52
16Arnavutköy Belediyespor7−130
17Hatayspor7−7–
18Adana Demirspor7−5–

The competition's standings before kick-off.