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24 Erzincanspor v Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı

24 Erzincanspor

3–1Full time

Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı

2. Lig · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56

24 Erzincanspor 3–1 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı BEYOĞLU YENI ÇARŞI WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı win~~38%

~~The market said~~31%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.645

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.508

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 18 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı win at 38%.
1′Much as we predicted: Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 35–27–39
1′KICK-OFF 24 Erzincanspor v Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
2′Much as we predicted: Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 35–27–38
25′⚽ GOAL · 24' 24 Erzincanspor 1–0 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
40′A. Cicek scores for 24 Erzincanspor on 24′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 67–23–10
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı win: 38% at kick-off, 10% now
40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' 24 Erzincanspor win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı win 10%)
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı win: 38% at kick-off, 36% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı win: 38% at kick-off, 36% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı win: 38% at kick-off, 10% now
42′A. Cicek scores for 24 Erzincanspor on 24′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 68–22–10
45′HALF-TIME 24 Erzincanspor 1–0 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı win: 38% at kick-off, 10% now
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' 24 Erzincanspor win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı win 10%)
46′SECOND HALF 24 Erzincanspor 1–0 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
47′⚽ GOAL · 24' 24 Erzincanspor 1–0 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı · A. Cicek (assist A. Sivri)
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' 24 Erzincanspor 1–1 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
54′⚽ GOAL · 53' 24 Erzincanspor 1–1 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' 24 Erzincanspor 2–1 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' 24 Erzincanspor 3–1 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' 24 Erzincanspor 3–1 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı · M. Capar
FTFULL TIME 24 Erzincanspor 3–1 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
FT24 Erzincanspor 3–1 Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı · Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

24 Erzincanspor win35%

Draw27%

Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı win38%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

24 Erzincanspor

Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı

7Days since last match15

2Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı	4	+7	10
13	24 Erzincanspor	5	+2	9

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · beyoğlu yeni çarşı winPublished 11 Oct 14:09

38% The market31%

Us38%

~~Market~~31%

We make Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 31%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.3.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
24 Erzincanspor win	35%	42%	−7
Draw	27%	28%	−1
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı win	38%	31%	+8
Over 2.5 goals	48%	51%	−3
Both teams to score	52%	56%	−4
Over 1.5 goals	73%	74%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	27%	30%	−3
24 Erzincanspor or draw	62%	69%	−8
24 Erzincanspor clean sheet	27%	–	–
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%

0123450 8.6 9.7 6.7 3.0 1 9.2 12.4 7.9 3.6 2 5.9 7.5 4.9 2.2 3 2.6 3.2 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+24 Erzincanspor down, Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 3,424 2. Lig matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

2. Lig matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.5% of games this season, across 92 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

24 Erzincanspor at home: 2.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı away: 1.33 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.26 goals for 24 Erzincanspor, 1.34 for Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~BEY 2–0 ERZ · ERZ 2–2 BEY

Form · last six in 2. Lig

24 ERZINCANSPOR

LDDWDW0–2 · 3–3 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 3–2

BEYOĞLU YENI ÇARŞI

DWDWWW1–1 · 3–1 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 5–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Muş Sport Klübü	6	+9	16
2	Sakaryaspor	5	+9	15
3	Aliağa FAŞ	6	+4	15
4	Elazığspor	5	+8	10
5	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı	4	+7	10
6	Ankara Demirspor	6	+5	10
7	Çorluspor 1947	6	+5	10
8	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	6	+3	10
9	Adana 01 FK	5	+1	10
10	Isparta 32 Spor	6	+1	10
11	Yeni Orduspor	5	+6	9
12	Güzide Gebzespor	5	+3	9
13	24 Erzincanspor	5	+2	9
14	Şanlıurfaspor	6	+1	9
15	Menemen FK	6	−1	9
16	12 Bingölspor	6	0	8
17	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor	6	−1	8
18	Ankaragücü	5	+4	7
19	1461 Trabzon FK	5	+2	7
20	Erbaaspor	5	+1	7
21	Somaspor	4	+1	7
22	Karacabey Belediyespor	4	−1	7
23	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	6	+1	6
24	Ankaraspor	6	−4	6
25	Kastamonuspor	6	−10	6
26	Serik Spor	5	−3	5
27	Kırklarelispor	4	−2	4
28	Hatayspor	5	−2	4
29	Fethiyespor	5	−5	4
30	Adana Demirspor	5	−6	4
31	Kütahyaspor	6	−9	3
32	Sebat Gençlikspor	5	−4	2
33	İnegölspor	4	−5	1
34	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	6	−10	0
35	İskenderunspor	4	−10	0