

Sivasspor v Sarıyer
Sivasspor
Sarıyer1. Lig · SAT 17 OCT · Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Sivasspor win at 43%.
- 2′Sarıyer score on 1′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 20–23–57
- 2′We said Sivasspor at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–23–57
- 2′KICK-OFF Sivasspor v Sarıyer
- 5′We said Sivasspor at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–23–58
- 27′We said Sivasspor at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–24–62
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 0–1 · 14–24–62
- 31′Little has changed for our model: Sivasspor 43% before kick-off, 38% now. 1–1 · 38–37–26
- 31′Sivasspor level it on 30′ through Rey Manaj. 1–1. 1–1 · 38–37–26
- 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Sivasspor 1–1 Sarıyer
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Sivasspor win: 43% at kick-off, 38% now
- 33′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Işık Kaan Arslan · Sarıyer
- 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Sarıyer win 25%)
- 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45+3' Hasan Emre Yesilyurt · Sarıyer
- 45′HALF-TIME Sivasspor 1–1 Sarıyer
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Sivasspor win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Sivasspor · On: Cihat Celik · Off: Salih Kavrazlı
- 46′SECOND HALF Sivasspor 1–1 Sarıyer
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Sarıyer · On: Joseph Attamah · Off: Caner Osmanpaşa
- 50′Sivasspor level it on 30′ through Rey Manaj. 1–1. 1–1 · 32–46–22
- 50′Little has changed for our model: Sivasspor 43% before kick-off, 32% now. 1–1 · 32–46–22
- 51′We said Sivasspor at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 31–46–22
- 56′We said Sivasspor at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–50–21
- 58′Emeka Eze scores for Sarıyer on 56′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 6–22–72
- 58′We said Sivasspor at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 1–2 · 6–22–72
- 58′3 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 6–22–72
- 58′⚽ GOAL · 56' Sivasspor 1–2 Sarıyer · Emeka Eze
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Sivasspor win: 43% at kick-off, 6% now
- 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Sarıyer win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 22%)
- 62′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 1–1 · 26–55–19
- 62′GOAL DISALLOWED · 62' Sarıyer
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Sivasspor win: 43% at kick-off, 26% now
- 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Sarıyer win 19%)
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Sivasspor · On: Charilaos Charisis · Off: Ebrima Ceesay
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Sivasspor · On: Burak Kapacak · Off: Oguzhan Aksoy
- 65′We said Sivasspor at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–58–18
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Sarıyer · On: Tunahan Ergul · Off: André Poko
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Sarıyer · On: Eren Karadağ · Off: Dogan Can Davas
- 72′We said Sivasspor at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–66–14
- 78′We said Sivasspor at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–75–11
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Sivasspor win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
- 80′We said Sivasspor at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 1–2 · 1–11–88
- 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Sivasspor 1–2 Sarıyer
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Sivasspor win: 43% at kick-off, 1% now
- 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Sarıyer win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
- 81′Emeka Eze scores for Sarıyer on 80′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 1–11–89
- 81′GOAL DISALLOWED · 81' Sarıyer
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Sivasspor win: 43% at kick-off, 11% now
- 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Draw is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Sarıyer win 8%)
- 83′Sarıyer have had 15 attempts to 10 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 9–84–7
- 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Yusuf Kefkir · Sivasspor
- 84′Emeka Eze scores for Sarıyer on 79′. 1–1 · 8–86–6
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Sivasspor · On: Clinton Duodu · Off: Turan Tuzlacik
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Sarıyer · On: Erdi Dikmen · Off: Barış Alıcı
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Sarıyer · On: Mamadou Thiam · Off: Hasan Emre Yesilyurt
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Sivasspor win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
- 97′18 shots for Sarıyer, 13 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 1–97–1
- 97′🟨 YELLOW · 90+7' Erdi Dikmen · Sarıyer
- FTFULL TIME Sivasspor 1–1 Sarıyer
- FTSivasspor 1–1 Sarıyer · Sivasspor win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassSivasspor are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Sivasspor 43%, draw 29%, Sarıyer 28%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 47%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Sivasspor win43%
Sarıyer win28%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 11
VenueYeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu
RefereeCaliskan, Emre Kaan
Match timeline
All events
SivassporMIN
SarıyerEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Sivasspor
4-2-3-1
Sarıyer
4-1-4-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Sivasspor
Sarıyer
Last match: 13 Oct · 1. Lig
Last match: 13 Oct · 1. Lig
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Sivasspor
4-2-3-1
16 Arda Erdusun
26 M. Yıldırım
4 M. Çelik
34 T. Tuzlacik
77 Y. Kefkir
66 Oguzhan Aksoy
20 M. Mohammed
30 E. Ceesay
28 S. Kavrazlı
27 V. Ethemi
9 R. Manaj
Coach · Ismet Taşdemir
Substitutes
90 · M. Albayrak
1 · G. Bakırbaş
91 · Osman Başkuyu
8 · C. Charisis
99 · Yilmaz Cin
17 · C. Duodu
19 · E. Gökay
11 · B. Kapacak
43 · Eymen Yurdcu
23 · C. Çelik
Sarıyer
4-1-4-1
13 I. Šehić
23 Ü. Ergün
24 K. Arslan
88 C. Osmanpaşa
5 E. Korkmazoğlu
28 H. Yeşilyurt
7 B. Alici
53 A. Biyogo Poko
17 D. Davas
10 E. Karaca
90 E. Eze
Coach · B. Bölükbaşı
Substitutes
27 · M. Yücel
19 · Yagiz Sen
4 · E. Dikmen
3 · J. Attamah
1 · F. Akyüz
14 · T. Ergül
41 · F. Gedik
11 · E. Karadağ
9 · B. Kör
93 · M. Thiam
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Sivasspor
4-2-3-1
16 Arda Erdusun
26 M. Yıldırım
4 M. Çelik
34 T. Tuzlacik
77 Y. Kefkir
66 Oguzhan Aksoy
20 M. Mohammed
30 E. Ceesay
28 S. Kavrazlı
27 V. Ethemi
9 R. Manaj
Coach · Ismet Taşdemir
Substitutes
90 · M. Albayrak
1 · G. Bakırbaş
91 · Osman Başkuyu
8 · C. Charisis
99 · Yilmaz Cin
17 · C. Duodu
19 · E. Gökay
11 · B. Kapacak
43 · Eymen Yurdcu
23 · C. Çelik
Sarıyer
4-1-4-1
13 I. Šehić
23 Ü. Ergün
24 K. Arslan
88 C. Osmanpaşa
5 E. Korkmazoğlu
28 H. Yeşilyurt
7 B. Alici
53 A. Biyogo Poko
17 D. Davas
10 E. Karaca
90 E. Eze
Coach · B. Bölükbaşı
Substitutes
27 · M. Yücel
19 · Yagiz Sen
4 · E. Dikmen
3 · J. Attamah
1 · F. Akyüz
14 · T. Ergül
41 · F. Gedik
11 · E. Karadağ
9 · B. Kör
93 · M. Thiam
We make Sivasspor a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 41%, 43% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 43% | 39% | +4 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | +1 |
| Sarıyer win | 28% | 32% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 49% | −8 |
| Both teams to score | 47% | 54% | −7 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 72% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 28% | −7 |
| Sivasspor or draw | 72% | 68% | +4 |
| Sivasspor clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
| Sarıyer clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 1. Lig this season · since 1 Sept
SIVASSPOR
SARIYER
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 10 | +17 | 25 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 10 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 10 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 10 | +3 | 19 |
| 5 | Mardin 1969 | 10 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Keçiörengücü | 10 | +9 | 17 |
| 7 | Sarıyer | 10 | −1 | 15 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 10 | −2 | 15 |
| 9 | Bandırmaspor | 10 | +9 | 14 |
| 10 | Fatih Karagümrük | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Sivasspor | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 | Muğlaspor | 10 | −2 | 12 |
| 13 | Bodrum FK | 10 | +2 | 11 |
| 14 | Manisa F.K. | 10 | −1 | 10 |
| 15 | Pendikspor | 10 | −7 | 10 |
| 16 | Esenler Erokspor | 10 | −5 | 9 |
| 17 | Ümraniyespor | 9 | −3 | 7 |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 10 | −10 | 7 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 10 | −15 | 5 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 9 | −18 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Kayserispor
Bursaspor
Iğdır FK
Batman Petrolspor
Mardin 1969
Keçiörengücü
Antalyaspor
Bandırmaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Muğlaspor
Bodrum FK
Manisa F.K.
Pendikspor
Esenler Erokspor
Ümraniyespor
Vanspor FK
İstanbulspor
Boluspor