

Muğlaspor v İstanbulspor
Muğlaspor
İstanbulspor1. Lig · SAT 24 OCT · Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Muğlaspor win at 47%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Muğlaspor 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–25–28
- 1′KICK-OFF Muğlaspor v İstanbulspor
- 7′🟨 YELLOW · 6' İstanbulspor
- 10′We said Muğlaspor at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–0 · 72–16–11
- 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Muğlaspor 1–0 İstanbulspor
- 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Muğlaspor win: 47% at kick-off, 72% now
- 14′Daniel Avramovski scores for Muğlaspor on 8′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 72–17–11
- 19′🟨 YELLOW · 18' Bilal Ceylan · Muğlaspor
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 1–0 · 73–18–9
- 42′We said Muğlaspor at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–7
- 45′HALF-TIME Muğlaspor 3–0 İstanbulspor
- 45′SECOND HALF Muğlaspor 3–0 İstanbulspor
- 46′We said Muğlaspor at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 2–0 · 93–5–1
- 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Muğlaspor 2–0 İstanbulspor
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Muğlaspor win: 47% at kick-off, 93% now
- 47′45′: Ibrahim Sissoko on the scoresheet for Muğlaspor, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 47′İ. Furat scores for Muğlaspor on 45′. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Muğlaspor · On: Jurgen Çelhaka · Off: Buluthan Bulut
- 48′We said Muğlaspor at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 48′3 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 48′⚽ GOAL · 45+3' Muğlaspor 3–0 İstanbulspor · İ. Furat
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Muğlaspor win: 47% at kick-off, 99% now
- 50′48′: Mamady·Diarra on the scoresheet for Muğlaspor. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 51′We said Muğlaspor at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 51′⚽ GOAL · 48' Muğlaspor 4–0 İstanbulspor · Mamady·Diarra (assist Bilal Ceylan)
- 52′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 56′SUBSTITUTION · 55' İstanbulspor · On: Mustafa Sol · Off: Ali Akman
- 56′SUBSTITUTION · 55' İstanbulspor · On: Ilian Iliev · Off: Ömer Faruk Duymaz
- 60′5 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 5–0 · 100–0–0
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Muğlaspor 5–0 İstanbulspor
- 63′59′: İ. Furat on the scoresheet for Muğlaspor, making it 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Muğlaspor · On: Poyraz Yildirim · Off: Mamady·Diarra
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Muğlaspor · On: Korede Osundina · Off: Bilal Ceylan
- 65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Ilian Iliev · İstanbulspor
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' İstanbulspor · On: Michael Ologo · Off: Ozcan Sahan
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' İstanbulspor · On: Berk Ali Nizam · Off: Alieu Cham
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Muğlaspor · On: O. Sol · Off: İ. Furat
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Muğlaspor · On: B. Ekiz · Off: Ali Kaan Guneren
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90' İstanbulspor · On: Mario Krstovski · Off: Elvin Mendy
- FTFULL TIME Muğlaspor 5–0 İstanbulspor
- FTMuğlaspor 5–0 İstanbulspor · Muğlaspor win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Muğlaspor are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Muğlaspor 47%, draw 25%, İstanbulspor 28%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Muğlaspor win47%
İstanbulspor win28%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 12
VenueMugla Ataturk Stadyumu
RefereeBurak Olcar
Match timeline
All events
MuğlasporMIN
İstanbulsporEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Muğlaspor
4-2-3-1
İstanbulspor
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Muğlaspor
İstanbulspor
Last match: 19 Oct · 1. Lig
Last match: 18 Oct · 1. Lig
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Muğlaspor
4-2-3-1
17 E. Kılıçarslan
22 B. Ceylan
88 Yiğit Fidan
15 O. Nahırcı
3 A. Barak
23 A. Güneren
20 B. Bulut
11 M. Diarra
10 D. Avramovski
91 İ. Furat
27 I. Sissoko
Coach · Y. Koşukavak
Substitutes
21 · J. Çelhaka
53 · Alihan Kazmaz
35 · Batıhan Hanoğlu
30 · B. Ekiz
7 · D. Camaj
5 · O. Matur
13 · K. Osundina
48 · O. Sol
99 · Y. Uzunoglu
9 · P. Yıldırım
İstanbulspor
4-4-2
1 I. Dogan
20 Ö. Şahan
12 K. Sönmez
89 E. Uzunhan
3 Y. Özer
27 M. Fall
21 D. Aydın
15 E. Mendy
30 Alieu Cham
52 Ö. Duymaz
81 A. Akman
Coach · Olcay Demir
Substitutes
28 · A. Tutar
18 · Turan Tuncer
9 · M. Sol
5 · M. Ologo
11 · B. Nızam
77 · M. Krstovski
37 · Umut İslamoğlu
10 · I. Iliev
6 · I. Dayakli
4 · D. Sahin
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Muğlaspor
4-2-3-1
17 E. Kılıçarslan
22 B. Ceylan
88 Yiğit Fidan
15 O. Nahırcı
3 A. Barak
23 A. Güneren
20 B. Bulut
11 M. Diarra
10 D. Avramovski
91 İ. Furat
27 I. Sissoko
Coach · Y. Koşukavak
Substitutes
21 · J. Çelhaka
53 · Alihan Kazmaz
35 · Batıhan Hanoğlu
30 · B. Ekiz
7 · D. Camaj
5 · O. Matur
13 · K. Osundina
48 · O. Sol
99 · Y. Uzunoglu
9 · P. Yıldırım
İstanbulspor
4-4-2
1 I. Dogan
20 Ö. Şahan
12 K. Sönmez
89 E. Uzunhan
3 Y. Özer
27 M. Fall
21 D. Aydın
15 E. Mendy
30 Alieu Cham
52 Ö. Duymaz
81 A. Akman
Coach · Olcay Demir
Substitutes
28 · A. Tutar
18 · Turan Tuncer
9 · M. Sol
5 · M. Ologo
11 · B. Nızam
77 · M. Krstovski
37 · Umut İslamoğlu
10 · I. Iliev
6 · I. Dayakli
4 · D. Sahin
We make Muğlaspor a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.7–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 44%, 47% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muğlaspor win | 47% | 47% | 0 |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | −2 |
| İstanbulspor win | 28% | 26% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 49% | +7 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 53% | +5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 72% | +7 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 28% | +6 |
| Muğlaspor or draw | 72% | 74% | −2 |
| Muğlaspor clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| İstanbulspor clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2024/25No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 1. Lig this season · since 6 Sept
MUĞLASPOR
İSTANBULSPOR
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 11 | +17 | 26 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 11 | +13 | 25 |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Keçiörengücü | 11 | +10 | 20 |
| 5 | Batman Petrolspor | 11 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 | Mardin 1969 | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 | Antalyaspor | 11 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Sarıyer | 11 | −1 | 16 |
| 9 | Muğlaspor | 11 | −1 | 15 |
| 10 | Bandırmaspor | 11 | +8 | 14 |
| 11 | Bodrum FK | 11 | +3 | 14 |
| 12 | Sivasspor | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 | Fatih Karagümrük | 11 | −1 | 13 |
| 14 | Esenler Erokspor | 11 | −3 | 12 |
| 15 | Ümraniyespor | 10 | −1 | 10 |
| 16 | Manisa F.K. | 11 | −2 | 10 |
| 17 | Vanspor FK | 12 | −9 | 10 |
| 18 | Pendikspor | 11 | −9 | 10 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 11 | −17 | 5 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 11 | −22 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Kayserispor
Bursaspor
Iğdır FK
Keçiörengücü
Batman Petrolspor
Mardin 1969
Antalyaspor
Sarıyer
Bandırmaspor
Bodrum FK
Sivasspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Esenler Erokspor
Ümraniyespor
Manisa F.K.
Vanspor FK
Pendikspor
Boluspor