Mardin 1969 v Manisa F.K.
Mardin 1969Manisa F.K.1. Lig · MON 26 OCT · 21 Kasım Stadium
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Mardin 1969 are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Mardin 1969 49%, draw 26%, Manisa F.K. 26%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Mardin 1969 win49%Manisa F.K. win26%Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 12
Venue21 Kasım Stadium
RefereeHakan Ulker
Match timeline
All events
Mardin 1969MINManisa F.K.Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Mardin 1969
Manisa F.K.
Last match: 19 Oct · 1. Lig
Last match: 19 Oct · 1. Lig
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mardin 1969 | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 16 | Manisa F.K. | 11 | −2 | 10 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Mardin 1969 a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mardin 1969 win | 49% | 53% | −4 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | +1 |
| Manisa F.K. win | 26% | 22% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 52% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 54% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 75% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 31% | 0 |
| Mardin 1969 or draw | 74% | 78% | −4 |
| Mardin 1969 clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
| Manisa F.K. clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 1. Lig this season · since 7 Sept
MARDIN 1969
MANISA F.K.
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kayserispor | 11 | +17 | 26 |
| 2 |  Iğdır FK | 12 | +8 | 26 |
| 3 |  Bursaspor | 11 | +13 | 25 |
| 4 |  Keçiörengücü | 11 | +10 | 20 |
| 5 |  Batman Petrolspor | 11 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 |  Muğlaspor | 12 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 | Mardin 1969 | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 8 |  Antalyaspor | 11 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 |  Fatih Karagümrük | 12 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Sarıyer | 12 | −3 | 16 |
| 11 |  Bandırmaspor | 12 | +7 | 14 |
| 12 |  Bodrum FK | 11 | +3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Ümraniyespor | 11 | +3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Sivasspor | 12 | −3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Esenler Erokspor | 11 | −3 | 12 |
| 16 | Manisa F.K. | 11 | −2 | 10 |
| 17 |  Vanspor FK | 12 | −9 | 10 |
| 18 |  Pendikspor | 11 | −9 | 10 |
| 19 |  İstanbulspor | 12 | −22 | 5 |
| 20 |  Boluspor | 11 | −22 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.