Manisa F.K. v Batman Petrolspor prediction · 1. Lig

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Manisa F.K.DrawBatman Petrolspor

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Manisa F.K. 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Manisa F.K. are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Manisa F.K. 42%, draw 23%, Batman Petrolspor 35%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Manisa F.K. v Batman PetrolsporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Manisa F.K. win42%

Draw23%

Batman Petrolspor win35%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 13

VenueMumin Ozkasap Stadyumu

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Manisa F.K.

Batman Petrolspor

12Days since last match13

Last match: 19 Oct · 1. Lig

Last match: 18 Oct · 1. Lig

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Batman Petrolspor	11	+3	20
16	Manisa F.K.	11	−2	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · manisa f.k. winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Manisa F.K. a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Manisa F.K. v Batman Petrolspor~~1.85 – 1.68

~~Form · last six in 1. Lig this season · since 6 Sept~~W0 D2 L4 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 10 v 20~~16 v 5

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Manisa F.K. win	42%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Batman Petrolspor win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Manisa F.K. or draw	65%	–	–
Manisa F.K. clean sheet	20%	–	–
Batman Petrolspor clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%

0123450 3.9 4.6 4.2 2.4 1 5.1 9.6 7.3 4.1 2 5.1 8.1 6.6 3.7 3 3.1 5.0 4.1 2.3 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Manisa F.K. down, Batman Petrolspor across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,859 1. Lig matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Lig matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.2% of games this season, across 114 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Manisa F.K. at home: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Batman Petrolspor away: 1.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.85 goals for Manisa F.K., 1.68 for Batman Petrolspor. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Lig this season · since 6 Sept

MANISA F.K.

LDLLDL1–2 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 3–4

BATMAN PETROLSPOR

WLLLWD4–3 · 0–4 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 4–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kayserispor	11	+17	26
2	Iğdır FK	12	+8	26
3	Bursaspor	11	+13	25
4	Keçiörengücü	11	+10	20
5	Batman Petrolspor	11	+3	20
6	Muğlaspor	12	+4	18
7	Mardin 1969	11	+4	18
8	Antalyaspor	11	0	18
9	Fatih Karagümrük	12	+1	16
10	Sarıyer	12	−3	16
11	Bandırmaspor	12	+7	14
12	Bodrum FK	11	+3	14
13	Ümraniyespor	11	+3	13
14	Sivasspor	12	−3	13
15	Esenler Erokspor	11	−3	12
16	Manisa F.K.	11	−2	10
17	Vanspor FK	12	−9	10
18	Pendikspor	11	−9	10
19	İstanbulspor	12	−22	5
20	Boluspor	11	−22	1