

Keçiörengücü v Iğdır FK
Keçiörengücü
Iğdır FK1. Lig · WED 14 OCT · Aktepe Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Keçiörengücü win at 51%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Keçiörengücü v Iğdır FK
- 2′Much as we predicted: Keçiörengücü was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–24–25
- 21′🟨 YELLOW · 21' Francis Ezeh · Keçiörengücü
- 25′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Alim Öztürk · Iğdır FK
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Keçiörengücü win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
- 45′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Wellington Ferreira Nascimento · Keçiörengücü
- 45′HALF-TIME Keçiörengücü 0–0 Iğdır FK
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Keçiörengücü · On: Süleyman Lus · Off: Tuncer Duhan Aksu
- 46′SECOND HALF Keçiörengücü 0–0 Iğdır FK
- 47′🟨 YELLOW · 47' Moustapha Camara · Iğdır FK
- 48′We said Keçiörengücü at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–38–22
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Keçiörengücü win 37%)
- 55′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 36–43–21
- 59′We said Keçiörengücü at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–46–20
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Keçiörengücü win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
- 66′We said Keçiörengücü at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–53–18
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Iğdır FK · On: Felix Ohene Afena-Gyan · Off: Serdar Gürler
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Iğdır FK · On: Ozder Ozcan · Off: Arda Çolak
- 72′We said Keçiörengücü at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–61–15
- 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Süleyman Lus · Keçiörengücü
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Keçiörengücü · On: E. Develi · Off: Alcídio Raice
- 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Keçiörengücü win: 51% at kick-off, 20% now
- 77′We said Keçiörengücü at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–69–12
- 81′We said Keçiörengücü at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–76–9
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Keçiörengücü · On: Herculano·Nabian · Off: Odise Roshi
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Keçiörengücü · On: Moryke Fofana · Off: Francis Ezeh
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Iğdır FK · On: Leandro Bacuna · Off: Moustapha Camara
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Keçiörengücü win: 51% at kick-off, 10% now
- 86′We said Keçiörengücü at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–86–6
- 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' İbrahim Akdağ · Keçiörengücü
- FTFULL TIME Keçiörengücü 0–0 Iğdır FK
- FTKeçiörengücü 0–0 Iğdır FK · Keçiörengücü win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 17:28 · locked at kick-off
Keçiörengücü win51%
Iğdır FK win25%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 18:00
VenueAktepe Stadium
RefereeHakan Ulker
Match timeline
All events
KeçiörengücüMIN
Iğdır FKEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Keçiörengücü
4-2-3-1
Iğdır FK
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Keçiörengücü
Iğdır FK
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Keçiörengücü
4-2-3-1
1 M. Erdoğan
12 M. Keskin
3 Wellington Nascimento
4 A. Çelik
37 D. Aksu
8 I. Karaogul
14 İ. Akdağ
7 O. Roshi
20 Alcídio Raice
21 F. Ezeh
55 M. Diouf
Coach · O. Korkmaz
Substitutes
16 · Oğuzhan Ayaydın
45 · Herculano Nabian
9 · Ö. Demirel
6 · E. Develi
77 · M. Fofana
33 · S. Luş
10 · Jefferson
18 · E. Satılmış
19 · Enes Yilmaz
5 · O. Çalışkan
Iğdır FK
4-4-2
29 J. Szumski
39 H. Karabey
5 A. Öztürk
18 L. Kouagba
28 S. Gönül
7 M. Camara
21 D. Erdoğan
24 G. Crociata
17 S. Gürler
58 G. Kaya
9 A. Çolak
Coach · K. Kocak
Substitutes
19 · Ö. Özcan
4 · A. Öztürk
6 · D. Şenyurt
11 · Malik Yilmaz
44 · L. Caliskan
1 · T. Tepe
22 · A. Selvi
10 · L. Bacuna
61 · S. Asan
33 · F. Afena-Gyan
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Keçiörengücü
4-2-3-1
1 M. Erdoğan
12 M. Keskin
3 Wellington Nascimento
4 A. Çelik
37 D. Aksu
8 I. Karaogul
14 İ. Akdağ
7 O. Roshi
20 Alcídio Raice
21 F. Ezeh
55 M. Diouf
Coach · O. Korkmaz
Substitutes
16 · Oğuzhan Ayaydın
45 · Herculano Nabian
9 · Ö. Demirel
6 · E. Develi
77 · M. Fofana
33 · S. Luş
10 · Jefferson
18 · E. Satılmış
19 · Enes Yilmaz
5 · O. Çalışkan
Iğdır FK
4-4-2
29 J. Szumski
39 H. Karabey
5 A. Öztürk
18 L. Kouagba
28 S. Gönül
7 M. Camara
21 D. Erdoğan
24 G. Crociata
17 S. Gürler
58 G. Kaya
9 A. Çolak
Coach · K. Kocak
Substitutes
19 · Ö. Özcan
4 · A. Öztürk
6 · D. Şenyurt
11 · Malik Yilmaz
44 · L. Caliskan
1 · T. Tepe
22 · A. Selvi
10 · L. Bacuna
61 · S. Asan
33 · F. Afena-Gyan
We make Keçiörengücü a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 50%, 51% now. The market has not moved either.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keçiörengücü win | 51% | 44% | +7 |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | −2 |
| Iğdır FK win | 25% | 29% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 54% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 57% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 76% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 33% | 0 |
| Keçiörengücü or draw | 75% | 71% | +5 |
| Keçiörengücü clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Iğdır FK clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2024Form · last six in 1. Lig
KEÇIÖRENGÜCÜ
IĞDIR FK
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 9 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 9 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 9 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | Keçiörengücü | 9 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | Batman Petrolspor | 9 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Mardin 1969 | 9 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Antalyaspor | 9 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Sarıyer | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Bandırmaspor | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| 10 | Fatih Karagümrük | 9 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | Sivasspor | 10 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | Muğlaspor | 9 | 1 | 12 |
| 13 | Bodrum FK | 10 | 2 | 11 |
| 14 | Pendikspor | 10 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Manisa F.K. | 9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Esenler Erokspor | 9 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Ümraniyespor | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 10 | -10 | 7 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 9 | -13 | 5 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 9 | -18 | 1 |
The competition's standings.
Kayserispor
Bursaspor
Batman Petrolspor
Mardin 1969
Antalyaspor
Sarıyer
Bandırmaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Sivasspor
Muğlaspor
Bodrum FK
Pendikspor
Manisa F.K.
Esenler Erokspor
Ümraniyespor
Vanspor FK
İstanbulspor
Boluspor