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Kayserispor v Batman Petrolspor

Kayserispor
2–2Full time
Batman Petrolspor

1. Lig · SUN 18 OCT · RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadium

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43
Kayserispor 2–2 Batman Petrolspor KAYSERISPOR WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Kayserispor win61%
The market said55%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.038
The market’s Brier score0.920

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay21 notes · 31 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kayserispor win at 61%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Kayserispor 61% before kick-off, 61% now. 0–0 · 61–21–18
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Kayserispor v Batman Petrolspor
  4. 3′A goal for Batman Petrolspor on 2′. 0–0 · 61–21–18
  5. 3′We said Kayserispor at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–1 · 39–22–39
  6. 3′⚽ GOAL · 2' Kayserispor 0–1 Batman Petrolspor
  7. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Kayserispor win: 61% at kick-off, 39% now
  8. 10′THE CALL SWINGS · 10' Batman Petrolspor win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Kayserispor win 36%)
  9. 10′🟨 YELLOW · 10' Bernardo Sousa · Batman Petrolspor
  10. 16′We said Kayserispor at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–24–42
  11. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Kayserispor win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
  12. 28′We said Kayserispor at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–25–45
  13. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 0–1 · 29–26–46
  14. 39′We said Kayserispor at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–27–49
  15. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Kayserispor win: 61% at kick-off, 21% now
  16. 45′HALF-TIME Kayserispor 0–1 Batman Petrolspor
  17. 45′SECOND HALF Kayserispor 0–1 Batman Petrolspor
  18. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Batman Petrolspor · On: Yasir Subaşı · Off: Buğra Çağıran
  19. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Kayserispor · On: Florent Hasani · Off: Ensar Kemaloglu
  20. 49′We said Kayserispor at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–28–53
  21. 53′8 shots for Kayserispor, 3 the other way, and they still trail 0–1. 0–1 · 17–28–55
  22. 58′We said Kayserispor at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–27–58
  23. 59′Kayserispor have had 13 attempts to 3 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 14–27–59
  24. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Kayserispor · On: Murat Cem Akpinar · Off: Mert Göckan
  25. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Kayserispor win: 61% at kick-off, 11% now
  26. 67′We said Kayserispor at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–26–65
  27. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Kayserispor 1–1 Batman Petrolspor
  28. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Kayserispor win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
  29. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Batman Petrolspor win 14%)
  30. 72′Florent Hasani scores for Kayserispor on 71′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 30–56–14
  31. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Batman Petrolspor · On: Pedrinho · Off: Omurcan Artan
  32. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Kayserispor win: 61% at kick-off, 21% now
  33. 80′16 shots for Kayserispor, 4 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 20–71–9
  34. 84′Florent Hasani scores for Kayserispor on 82′. 1–1 · 13–81–6
  35. 84′We said Kayserispor at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–1 · 94–6–0
  36. 84′⚽ GOAL · 82' Kayserispor 2–1 Batman Petrolspor · Florent Hasani
  37. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Kayserispor win: 61% at kick-off, 94% now
  38. 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Kayserispor win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 6%)
  39. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Kayserispor · On: Oğulcan Çağlayan · Off: Benhur Keser
  40. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Kayserispor · On: Kayra Cihan · Off: Mehmet Murat Uçar
  41. 86′We said Kayserispor at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
  42. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Batman Petrolspor · On: Oğuz Gürbulak · Off: Mamadou Cissokho
  43. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Batman Petrolspor · On: David Kaiki Flores da Silva · Off: Bernardo Sousa
  44. 89′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 8–88–4
  45. 89′Batman Petrolspor level it on 88′ through Yasir Subaşı. 2–2. 2–2 · 8–88–4
  46. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Kayserispor 2–2 Batman Petrolspor
  47. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Kayserispor win: 61% at kick-off, 8% now
  48. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Draw is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Kayserispor win 8%)
  49. 92′Batman Petrolspor level it on 87′ through Yasir Subaşı. 2–2. 2–2 · 5–93–2
  50. 93′We said Kayserispor at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–95–2
  51. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Jin-ho Jo · Batman Petrolspor
  52. 97′SUBSTITUTION · 90+6' Batman Petrolspor · On: Emirhan Aydogan · Off: Jin-ho Jo
  53. FTFULL TIME Kayserispor 2–2 Batman Petrolspor
  54. FTKayserispor 2–2 Batman Petrolspor · Kayserispor win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kayserispor are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kayserispor 61%, draw 21%, Batman Petrolspor 18%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Kayserispor v Batman PetrolsporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Kayserispor win61%
Draw21%
Batman Petrolspor win18%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 11

VenueRHG Enertürk Enerji Stadium

RefereeAsen Albayrak

Line-ups

Kayserispor

4-2-3-1

Batman Petrolspor

5-4-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kayserispor

Batman Petrolspor

4Days since last match4

Last match: 14 Oct · 1. Lig

Last match: 14 Oct · 1. Lig

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Kayserispor10+1725
4Batman Petrolspor10+319

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Kayserispor

4-2-3-1

35 G. Değirmenci

7 M. Uçar

4 S. Güler

3 J. Tabidze

17 M. Göçkan

8 S. Kurt

11 E. Kemaloğlu

10 B. Keser

61 G. Sağlam

97 T. Seferi

27 D. Moreno

Coach · A. Gerin

Substitutes

18 · F. Özer

88 · M. Dulca

5 · K. Cihan

20 · J. Brenet

6 · C. Akpınar

16 · Deniz Eren Donmezer

9 · F. Hasani

38 · Ataol Karapinar

99 · T. Sarıarslan

71 · O. Çağlayan

Batman Petrolspor

5-4-1

13 B. Tetik

72 P. Yaldır

27 Ö. Artan

4 M. Mert

21 Dória

77 Benny

7 M. Biron

34 M. Cissokho

6 Jo Jin-Ho

26 B. Çağıran

79 G. Altıparmak

Coach · Selçuk Şahin

Substitutes

5 · E. Aydoğan

46 · Devran Bozardic

15 · David

8 · O. Gürbulak

11 · O. Imeri

17 · G. Karadeniz

10 · Pedrinho

3 · Y. Subaşı

18 · Karan Topdemir

25 · Ç. Akbaba

Our number · kayserispor winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 15 Oct 05:00 · locked at kick-off
61% The market55%
Us61%
Market55%

We make Kayserispor a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.3–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Kayserispor v Batman Petrolspor2.26 – 1.14
Form · last six in 1. Lig this season · since 2 SeptW5 D1 L0 · W3 D0 L3
Table places · points 25 v 191 v 4
The market · Kayserispor win55% · ours 61%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65% 12 OCT 04:0618 OCT 13:52
Our probability · Kayserispor win The market, margin stripped

Published at 58%, 61% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Kayserispor win61%55%+6
Draw21%24%−3
Batman Petrolspor win18%20%−2
Over 2.5 goals65%54%+11
Both teams to score60%54%+6
Over 1.5 goals85%77%+8
Over 3.5 goals44%33%+11
Kayserispor or draw82%80%+2
Kayserispor clean sheet33%––
Batman Petrolspor clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.2%
0123450 4.4 3.6 2.3 1 7.3 9.1 4.9 2 8.4 9.2 5.2 2.0 3 6.2 6.8 3.9 4 3.6 3.9 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Kayserispor down, Batman Petrolspor across0–5 goals a side shown (96.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Lig this season · since 2 Sept

KAYSERISPOR

DWWWWW1–1 · 3–0 · 4–0 · 1–0 · 3–2 · 4–0

BATMAN PETROLSPOR

WWLLLW2–0 · 4–3 · 0–4 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 4–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Kayserispor10+1725
2Bursaspor10+1122
3Iğdır FK10+620
4Batman Petrolspor10+319
5Mardin 196910+618
6Keçiörengücü10+917
7Sarıyer11−116
8Antalyaspor10−215
9Bandırmaspor11+814
10Bodrum FK11+314
11Sivasspor11+113
12Fatih Karagümrük10013
13Muğlaspor10−212
14Manisa F.K.10−110
15Pendikspor10−710
16Esenler Erokspor10−59
17Ümraniyespor9−37
18Vanspor FK10−107
19İstanbulspor10−155
20Boluspor9−181

The competition's standings before kick-off.