

Iğdır FK v Boluspor
Iğdır FK
Boluspor1. Lig · SUN 18 OCT · Aktepe Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Iğdır FK win at 57%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Iğdır FK was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 57–24–19
- 1′KICK-OFF Iğdır FK v Boluspor
- 8′🟨 YELLOW · 7' B. Göçmen · Boluspor
- 13′🟨 YELLOW · 12' Arda Çolak · Iğdır FK
- 13′🟨 YELLOW · 6' Arda Çolak · Iğdır FK
- 20′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Giovanni Crociata · Iğdır FK
- 23′SUBSTITUTION · 22' Iğdır FK · On: Alperen Selvi · Off: Loic Kouagba
- 30′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Canberk Ozdemir · Boluspor
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Iğdır FK win: 57% at kick-off, 47% now
- 41′🟨 YELLOW · 38' B. Göçmen · Boluspor
- 43′We said Iğdır FK at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 45%. 0–0 · 45–36–19
- 45′We said Iğdır FK at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–37–18
- 45′HALF-TIME Iğdır FK 0–0 Boluspor
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Iğdır FK · On: Ozder Ozcan · Off: Arda Çolak
- 46′SECOND HALF Iğdır FK 0–0 Boluspor
- 55′We said Iğdır FK at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–43–17
- 55′We expected about 2.8 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 39–43–17
- 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Iğdır FK win 39%)
- 57′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Boluspor · On: Furkan Metin · Off: Nurettin Korkmaz
- 58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Boluspor · On: Bertu Ozyurek · Off: Ege Özkayimoglu
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Iğdır FK win: 57% at kick-off, 37% now
- 63′We said Iğdır FK at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–50–15
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Iğdır FK · On: Leandro Bacuna · Off: Serdar Gürler
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Iğdır FK · On: Felix Ohene Afena-Gyan · Off: Moustapha Camara
- 69′We said Iğdır FK at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–57–14
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Iğdır FK win: 57% at kick-off, 27% now
- 73′We published Iğdır FK at 57%. Our model now makes it 88%. 1–0 · 88–11–1
- 73′Iğdır FK ahead on 73′ through Leandro Bacuna. 1–0. 1–0 · 88–11–1
- 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Iğdır FK 1–0 Boluspor
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Iğdır FK win: 57% at kick-off, 88% now
- 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Iğdır FK win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
- 74′Iğdır FK ahead on 72′ through Leandro Bacuna. 1–0. 1–0 · 88–11–1
- 77′We published Iğdır FK at 57%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
- 79′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Dogan Erdogan · Iğdır FK
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Boluspor · On: Abdulsamet Kırım · Off: Muhammed Mert
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Boluspor · On: Can Arda Yılmaz · Off: Ahmet Can Özdemir
- 85′We published Iğdır FK at 57%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Iğdır FK win: 57% at kick-off, 97% now
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Iğdır FK · On: Leon Çalışkan · Off: Gökcan Kaya
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Boluspor · On: Ali Uğurhan Uğurlu · Off: Zeki Dursun
- FTFULL TIME Iğdır FK 1–0 Boluspor
- FTIğdır FK 1–0 Boluspor · Iğdır FK win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Iğdır FK are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Iğdır FK 57%, draw 24%, Boluspor 19%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 52%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Iğdır FK win57%
Boluspor win19%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:30
RoundMatchday 11
VenueAktepe Stadium
RefereeOguzhan Gokcen
Match timeline
All events
Iğdır FKMIN
BolusporEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Iğdır FK
4-4-2
Boluspor
4-1-4-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Iğdır FK
Boluspor
Last match: 14 Oct · 1. Lig
Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Lig
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Iğdır FK
4-4-2
29 J. Szumski
39 H. Karabey
5 A. Öztürk
18 L. Kouagba
28 S. Gönül
7 M. Camara
21 D. Erdoğan
24 G. Crociata
17 S. Gürler
58 G. Kaya
9 A. Çolak
Coach · K. Kocak
Substitutes
61 · S. Asan
10 · L. Bacuna
22 · A. Selvi
1 · T. Tepe
11 · Malik Yilmaz
99 · Douglas Tanque
44 · L. Caliskan
19 · Ö. Özcan
6 · D. Şenyurt
33 · F. Afena-Gyan
Boluspor
4-1-4-1
1 A. Tafas
64 Ahmet Ozdemir
50 B. Göçmen
3 K. Cuesta
54 C. Özdemir
8 T. Artuç
77 N. Korkmaz
23 Z. Dursun
21 M. Mert
35 E. Özkayımoğlu
9 R. Rivas
Coach · Mustapha Yatabaré
Substitutes
19 · J. Diaz
2 · F. Metin
14 · A. Kırım
22 · Arda Tuğra Saygı
27 · Ali Uğurhan Uğurlu
32 · E. Yunuszadə
6 · C. Yilmaz
25 · M. Özkan
67 · B. Özyürek
88 · Y. Can Esendemir
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Iğdır FK
4-4-2
29 J. Szumski
39 H. Karabey
5 A. Öztürk
18 L. Kouagba
28 S. Gönül
7 M. Camara
21 D. Erdoğan
24 G. Crociata
17 S. Gürler
58 G. Kaya
9 A. Çolak
Coach · K. Kocak
Substitutes
61 · S. Asan
10 · L. Bacuna
22 · A. Selvi
1 · T. Tepe
11 · Malik Yilmaz
99 · Douglas Tanque
44 · L. Caliskan
19 · Ö. Özcan
6 · D. Şenyurt
33 · F. Afena-Gyan
Boluspor
4-1-4-1
1 A. Tafas
64 Ahmet Ozdemir
50 B. Göçmen
3 K. Cuesta
54 C. Özdemir
8 T. Artuç
77 N. Korkmaz
23 Z. Dursun
21 M. Mert
35 E. Özkayımoğlu
9 R. Rivas
Coach · Mustapha Yatabaré
Substitutes
19 · J. Diaz
2 · F. Metin
14 · A. Kırım
22 · Arda Tuğra Saygı
27 · Ali Uğurhan Uğurlu
32 · E. Yunuszadə
6 · C. Yilmaz
25 · M. Özkan
67 · B. Özyürek
88 · Y. Can Esendemir
We make Iğdır FK a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 79%. We are 22 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 79% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iğdır FK win | 57% | 79% | −22 |
| Draw | 24% | 14% | +10 |
| Boluspor win | 19% | 7% | +12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 62% | −9 |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 43% | +9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 81% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 41% | −10 |
| Iğdır FK or draw | 81% | 93% | −12 |
| Iğdır FK clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Boluspor clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 1. Lig this season · since 28 Aug
IĞDIR FK
BOLUSPOR
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 10 | +17 | 25 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 10 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 10 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 10 | +3 | 19 |
| 5 | Mardin 1969 | 10 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Keçiörengücü | 10 | +9 | 17 |
| 7 | Sarıyer | 11 | −1 | 16 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 10 | −2 | 15 |
| 9 | Bandırmaspor | 11 | +8 | 14 |
| 10 | Bodrum FK | 11 | +3 | 14 |
| 11 | Sivasspor | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 12 | Fatih Karagümrük | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Muğlaspor | 10 | −2 | 12 |
| 14 | Manisa F.K. | 10 | −1 | 10 |
| 15 | Pendikspor | 10 | −7 | 10 |
| 16 | Esenler Erokspor | 10 | −5 | 9 |
| 17 | Ümraniyespor | 9 | −3 | 7 |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 10 | −10 | 7 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 10 | −15 | 5 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 9 | −18 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Kayserispor
Bursaspor
Batman Petrolspor
Mardin 1969
Keçiörengücü
Sarıyer
Antalyaspor
Bandırmaspor
Bodrum FK
Sivasspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Muğlaspor
Manisa F.K.
Pendikspor
Esenler Erokspor
Ümraniyespor
Vanspor FK
İstanbulspor