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Iğdır FK v Batman Petrolspor

Iğdır FK

2–1Full time

Batman Petrolspor

1. Lig · SAT 10 OCT · Aktepe Stadium

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30

Iğdır FK 2–1 Batman Petrolspor IĞDIR FK WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Iğdır FK win~~49%

~~The market said~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.391

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.463

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 26 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Iğdır FK win at 49%.
3′Much as we predicted: Iğdır FK was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–24–27
3′KICK-OFF Iğdır FK v Batman Petrolspor
13′🟨 YELLOW · 12' Gökcan Kaya · Iğdır FK
21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Iğdır FK 1–0 Batman Petrolspor · Giovanni Crociata
24′🟥 RED CARD · 23' Mücahit Albayrak · Batman Petrolspor
25′Giovanni Crociata scores for Iğdır FK on 20′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 74–17–9
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Iğdır FK win: 49% at kick-off, 74% now
37′⚽ GOAL · 35' Iğdır FK 2–0 Batman Petrolspor · Serdar Gürler
45′35′ and it is 2–0: Serdar Gürler on the scoresheet for Iğdır FK. 2–0 · 94–5–1
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Iğdır FK win: 49% at kick-off, 94% now
45′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Dogan Erdogan · Iğdır FK
45′⚽ GOAL · 47' Iğdır FK 2–1 Batman Petrolspor · Metehan Mert
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Iğdır FK 2–1 Batman Petrolspor · Metehan Mert
45′HALF-TIME Iğdır FK 2–1 Batman Petrolspor
49′Batman Petrolspor ahead on 45′ through Metehan Mert. 2–1. 2–1 · 77–18–6
49′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Iğdır FK · On: Leon Çalışkan · Off: Gökcan Kaya Corrected
49′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Dogan Erdogan · Iğdır FK
49′⚽ GOAL · 47' Iğdır FK 2–1 Batman Petrolspor · Metehan Mert (assist Buğra Çağıran)
49′SECOND HALF Iğdır FK 2–1 Batman Petrolspor
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Iğdır FK win: 49% at kick-off, 77% now
54′PENALTY · 50' Iğdır FK
75′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Giovanni Crociata · Iğdır FK
76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Iğdır FK · On: Moustapha Camara · Off: Serdar Gürler Corrected
76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Batman Petrolspor · On: Pedrinho · Off: Mamadou Cissokho Corrected
85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Iğdır FK · On: Devran Senyurt · Off: Serkan Asan Corrected
85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Iğdır FK · On: Leandro Bacuna · Off: Felix Ohene Afena-Gyan Corrected
90′🟨 YELLOW · 91' Oğuz Gürbulak · Batman Petrolspor
90′SUBSTITUTION · 91' Iğdır FK · On: Ozder Ozcan · Off: Arda Çolak Corrected
90′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Pedrinho · Batman Petrolspor
FTFULL TIME Iğdır FK 2–1 Batman Petrolspor
FTIğdır FK 2–1 Batman Petrolspor · Iğdır FK win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Iğdır FK win49%

Draw25%

Batman Petrolspor win26%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

Venue · Aktepe Stadium

Referee · Guner, Ibrahim

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Iğdır FK

4-3-3

29 J. Szumski

61 S. Asan

5 A. Ozturk

18 L. Kouagba

28 S. Gonul

58 G. Kaya

21 D. Erdogan

24 G. Crociata

33 F. Afena-Gyan

9 A. Colak

17 S. Gurler

Coach · Kenan Kocak

Substitutes

1 · T. Tepe

2 · B. Mogultay

22 · A. Selvi

6 · D. Senyurt

4 · A. Ozturk

10 · L. Bacuna

44 · L. Caliskan

7 · M. Camara

11 · M. Yilmaz

19 · O. Ozcan

Batman Petrolspor

4-1-4-1

25 C. Akbaba

11 O. Imeri

4 M. Mert

21 Matheus Doria

53 M. Albayrak

34 M. Cissokho

77 Benny

6 Jo Jin-ho

26 B. Cagiran

7 M. Biron

79 G. Altiparmak

Coach · Selcuk Sahin

Substitutes

13 · B. Tetik

46 · D. Bozardic

3 · K. Subasi

27 · O. Artan

17 · G. Karadeniz

8 · O. Gurbulak

5 · E. Aydogan

15 · David Kaiki

10 · Pedrinho

18 · K. Topdemir

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Iğdır FK

4-3-3

29 J. Szumski

61 S. Asan

5 A. Ozturk

18 L. Kouagba

28 S. Gonul

58 G. Kaya

21 D. Erdogan

24 G. Crociata

33 F. Afena-Gyan

9 A. Colak

17 S. Gurler

Coach · Kenan Kocak

Substitutes

1 · T. Tepe

2 · B. Mogultay

22 · A. Selvi

6 · D. Senyurt

4 · A. Ozturk

10 · L. Bacuna

44 · L. Caliskan

7 · M. Camara

11 · M. Yilmaz

19 · O. Ozcan

Batman Petrolspor

4-1-4-1

25 C. Akbaba

11 O. Imeri

4 M. Mert

21 Matheus Doria

53 M. Albayrak

34 M. Cissokho

77 Benny

6 Jo Jin-ho

26 B. Cagiran

7 M. Biron

79 G. Altiparmak

Coach · Selcuk Sahin

Substitutes

13 · B. Tetik

46 · D. Bozardic

3 · K. Subasi

27 · O. Artan

17 · G. Karadeniz

8 · O. Gurbulak

5 · E. Aydogan

15 · David Kaiki

10 · Pedrinho

18 · K. Topdemir

Our number · iğdır fk winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

49% The market44%

Us49%

~~Market~~44%

We make Iğdır FK a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.2.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Iğdır FK win	49%	44%	+5
Draw	25%	27%	−2
Batman Petrolspor win	26%	29%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	57%	54%	+3
Both teams to score	58%	56%	+2
Over 1.5 goals	80%	77%	+3
Over 3.5 goals	35%	33%	+2
Iğdır FK or draw	74%	71%	+2
Iğdır FK clean sheet	30%	–	–
Batman Petrolspor clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%

0123450 6.1 5.7 3.9 1 8.3 11.3 6.5 2.7 2 7.7 9.1 5.6 2.3 3 4.6 5.4 3.3 4 2.1 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Iğdır FK down, Batman Petrolspor across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number7 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,829 1. Lig matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Lig matches have gone over 2.5 in 45.2% of games this season, across 84 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Iğdır FK at home: 1.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Batman Petrolspor away: 1.50 scored, 1.75 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.77 goals for Iğdır FK, 1.23 for Batman Petrolspor. Most likely score 1–1.

Line-ups

Confirmed 10 Oct 13:40. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 1. Lig

IĞDIR FK

LWWWWD0–1 · 1–0 · 4–2 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–2

BATMAN PETROLSPOR

WWWWLL2–1 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 4–3 · 0–4 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kayserispor	8	+12	19
2	Bursaspor	8	+9	19
3	Keçiörengücü	9	+9	16
4	Iğdır FK	8	+5	16
5	Batman Petrolspor	8	+2	16
6	Sarıyer	9	+2	15
7	Bandırmaspor	9	+9	13
8	Mardin 1969	8	+4	12
9	Antalyaspor	8	+1	12
10	Fatih Karagümrük	8	+1	12
11	Sivasspor	9	+1	11
12	Muğlaspor	8	+1	11
13	Pendikspor	9	−6	10
14	Manisa F.K.	8	0	9
15	Bodrum FK	9	−1	8
16	Ümraniyespor	9	−3	7
17	Vanspor FK	9	−11	6
18	Esenler Erokspor	8	−6	5
19	İstanbulspor	8	−12	5
20	Boluspor	8	−17	1