Esenler Erokspor v Mardin 1969

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Esenler Erokspor win at 45%.
2. 2′Little has changed for our model: Esenler Erokspor 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–29–26
3. 2′KICK-OFF Esenler Erokspor v Mardin 1969
4. 7′We said Esenler Erokspor at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–17–9
5. 7′6′: Mikail Okyar on the scoresheet for Esenler Erokspor, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 74–17–9
6. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Esenler Erokspor 1–0 Mardin 1969
7. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Esenler Erokspor win: 45% at kick-off, 74% now
8. 14′We said Esenler Erokspor at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–17–8
9. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Esenler Erokspor win: 45% at kick-off, 75% now
10. 28′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Burak Coban · Esenler Erokspor
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 1–0 · 76–18–7
12. 35′Mardin 1969 level it on 34′ through Nafican Yardimci. 1–1. 1–1 · 38–38–24
13. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Esenler Erokspor 1–1 Mardin 1969
14. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Esenler Erokspor win: 45% at kick-off, 38% now
15. 39′3 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 77–18–6
16. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Esenler Erokspor 2–1 Mardin 1969
17. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Esenler Erokspor win: 45% at kick-off, 77% now
18. 41′An own goal by Mardin 1969's Eray Korkmaz on 39′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 77–18–5
19. 45′HALF-TIME Esenler Erokspor 2–1 Mardin 1969
20. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Mardin 1969 · On: Mallik Wilks · Off: Muammer Denizhan Taskan
21. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Mardin 1969 · On: Emre Taşdemir · Off: Đorđe Denić
22. 46′SECOND HALF Esenler Erokspor 2–1 Mardin 1969
23. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Esenler Erokspor · On: Yusuf Erdoğan · Off: Burak Coban
24. 51′We said Esenler Erokspor at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 32%. 2–2 · 32–47–21
25. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Esenler Erokspor 2–2 Mardin 1969
26. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Esenler Erokspor win: 45% at kick-off, 32% now
27. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Esenler Erokspor win 79%)
28. 52′51′: Mallik Wilks on the scoresheet for Mardin 1969, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 32–47–21
29. 52′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 32–47–21
30. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Mame Mor Faye · Esenler Erokspor
31. 58′We said Esenler Erokspor at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–52–19
32. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Esenler Erokspor · On: Recep Niyaz · Off: Mikail Okyar
33. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Esenler Erokspor · On: Altin Zeqiri · Off: Enes Alıç
34. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Esenler Erokspor · On: Ferhat Yazgan · Off: Guélor Kanga
35. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Esenler Erokspor win: 45% at kick-off, 25% now
36. 66′We said Esenler Erokspor at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–59–16
37. 73′We said Esenler Erokspor at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–68–13
38. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Esenler Erokspor · On: Erkan Kaş · Off: Kubilay Kanatsızkuş
39. 77′We said Esenler Erokspor at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 3–2 · 89–10–1
40. 77′Esenler Erokspor ahead on 77′ through Mame Mor Faye. 3–2. 3–2 · 89–10–1
41. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Esenler Erokspor 3–2 Mardin 1969
42. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Esenler Erokspor win: 45% at kick-off, 89% now
43. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Esenler Erokspor win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 74%)
44. 78′We said Esenler Erokspor at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 3–2 · 90–9–1
45. 79′5 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 91–9–1
46. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Mardin 1969 · On: O. Yıldırım · Off: Eray Korkmaz
47. 85′We said Esenler Erokspor at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
48. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Esenler Erokspor win: 45% at kick-off, 95% now
49. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Ferhat Yazgan · Esenler Erokspor
50. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Furkan Orak · Esenler Erokspor
51. 93′We said Esenler Erokspor at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
52. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Esenler Erokspor 4–2 Mardin 1969
53. FTFULL TIME Esenler Erokspor 4–2 Mardin 1969
54. FTEsenler Erokspor 4–2 Mardin 1969 · Esenler Erokspor win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.