

Bodrum FK v Bandırmaspor
Bodrum FK
Bandırmaspor1. Lig · SAT 17 OCT · Bodrum Ilce Stadi
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Bodrum FK win at 42%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Bodrum FK 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–32–26
- 1′KICK-OFF Bodrum FK v Bandırmaspor
- 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Bodrum FK win 35%)
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Bodrum FK win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
- 45′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Bodrum FK
- 45′HALF-TIME Bodrum FK 0–0 Bandırmaspor
- 46′SECOND HALF Bodrum FK 0–0 Bandırmaspor
- 50′We said Bodrum FK at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–49–21
- 52′We said Bodrum FK at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–50–20
- 57′We said Bodrum FK at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 0–1 · 5–22–73
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Bodrum FK 0–1 Bandırmaspor
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Bodrum FK win: 42% at kick-off, 5% now
- 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Bandırmaspor win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 22%)
- 59′Bandırmaspor ahead on 57′ through Tosin Kehinde. 0–1. 0–1 · 5–21–74
- 59′The goal count is tracking the 2.1 we expected. 0–1 · 5–21–74
- 62′We said Bodrum FK at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Bodrum FK · On: Florian Loshaj · Off: Boran Baskan
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Bodrum FK · On: Ruben Providence · Off: Berkay Aslan
- 68′We said Bodrum FK at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 1–1 · 21–64–15
- 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Bodrum FK 1–1 Bandırmaspor
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Bodrum FK win: 42% at kick-off, 21% now
- 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Bandırmaspor win 15%)
- 69′Ege Bilsel scores for Bodrum FK on 68′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 20–65–14
- 70′We said Bodrum FK at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–67–14
- 71′We said Bodrum FK at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 2–1 · 87–12–1
- 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Bodrum FK 2–1 Bandırmaspor
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Bodrum FK win: 42% at kick-off, 87% now
- 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Bodrum FK win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 12%)
- 72′3 goals already, more than the 2.1 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 87–12–1
- 74′71′: Vincent Aboubakar on the scoresheet for Bodrum FK, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
- 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Bandırmaspor · On: Gianni Bruno · Off: Dean Lico
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Bandırmaspor · On: Remi Mulumba · Off: Recep Dilek
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Bandırmaspor · On: Enes Cinemre · Off: Emirhan Ayhan
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Bandırmaspor · On: Dame Bamba Seck · Off: Muhammed Gümüşkaya
- 77′We said Bodrum FK at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Bodrum FK win: 42% at kick-off, 92% now
- 80′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Lucas Lima · Bandırmaspor
- 84′We said Bodrum FK at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Bandırmaspor · On: Muhammet Harun Genc · Off: Kerem Dönertaş
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Bodrum FK · On: E. Arslan · Off: Ege Bilsel
- 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Vincent Aboubakar · Bodrum FK
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Bodrum FK · On: Ismail Tarim · Off: Tomas Cruz
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Bodrum FK · On: Mustafa Erdilman · Off: Vincent Aboubakar
- 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Yusuf Sertkaya · Bodrum FK
- 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Remi Mulumba · Bandırmaspor
- FTFULL TIME Bodrum FK 2–1 Bandırmaspor
- FTBodrum FK 2–1 Bandırmaspor · Bodrum FK win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassBodrum FK are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Bodrum FK 42%, draw 31%, Bandırmaspor 27%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 41%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Bodrum FK win42%
Bandırmaspor win27%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 11
VenueBodrum Ilce Stadi
RefereeSuleyman Bahadir
Match timeline
All events
Bodrum FKMIN
BandırmasporEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Bodrum FK
4-2-3-1
Bandırmaspor
4-1-4-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Bodrum FK
Bandırmaspor
Last match: 13 Oct · 1. Lig
Last match: 13 Oct · 1. Lig
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Bodrum FK
4-2-3-1
1 Diogo Sousa
77 B. Yavuzay
5 A. Ajeti
4 A. Yılmaz
23 F. Apaydın
20 Yusuf Sertkaya
6 J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz
11 E. Bilsel
82 B. Başkan
19 Berkay Aslan
26 V. Aboubakar
Coach · Burhan Eşer
Substitutes
8 · M. Erdilman
27 · K. Cengizer
17 · E. Arslan
30 · Elvir Gashijani
75 · E. Kaplan
9 · Kerem Kayaarasi
14 · F. Loshaj
80 · R. Providence
68 · I. Tarim
32 · B. Tosun
Bandırmaspor
4-1-4-1
16 A. Alkan
22 A. Ülgen
14 Y. Kocatürk
34 Enes Aydın
6 Lucas Lima
8 D. Liço
17 Emirhan Ayhan
23 K. Donertas
10 M. Gümüşkaya
11 T. Kehinde
90 Recep Yalın Dilek
Coach · Ertuğrul Arslan
Substitutes
27 · Dame Seck
86 · B. Bekaroğlu
99 · F. Bekleviç
3 · A. Biler
77 · H. Bilgiç
9 · G. Bruno
7 · M. Genç
19 · Yasin Midilic
92 · R. Mulumba
20 · E. Çinemre
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Bodrum FK
4-2-3-1
1 Diogo Sousa
77 B. Yavuzay
5 A. Ajeti
4 A. Yılmaz
23 F. Apaydın
20 Yusuf Sertkaya
6 J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz
11 E. Bilsel
82 B. Başkan
19 Berkay Aslan
26 V. Aboubakar
Coach · Burhan Eşer
Substitutes
8 · M. Erdilman
27 · K. Cengizer
17 · E. Arslan
30 · Elvir Gashijani
75 · E. Kaplan
9 · Kerem Kayaarasi
14 · F. Loshaj
80 · R. Providence
68 · I. Tarim
32 · B. Tosun
Bandırmaspor
4-1-4-1
16 A. Alkan
22 A. Ülgen
14 Y. Kocatürk
34 Enes Aydın
6 Lucas Lima
8 D. Liço
17 Emirhan Ayhan
23 K. Donertas
10 M. Gümüşkaya
11 T. Kehinde
90 Recep Yalın Dilek
Coach · Ertuğrul Arslan
Substitutes
27 · Dame Seck
86 · B. Bekaroğlu
99 · F. Bekleviç
3 · A. Biler
77 · H. Bilgiç
9 · G. Bruno
7 · M. Genç
19 · Yasin Midilic
92 · R. Mulumba
20 · E. Çinemre
We make Bodrum FK a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 41%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodrum FK win | 42% | 37% | +5 |
| Draw | 31% | 29% | +2 |
| Bandırmaspor win | 27% | 34% | −7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 47% | −13 |
| Both teams to score | 41% | 52% | −11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% | 71% | −10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 27% | −11 |
| Bodrum FK or draw | 73% | 66% | +7 |
| Bodrum FK clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
| Bandırmaspor clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 1. Lig this season · since 1 Sept
BODRUM FK
BANDIRMASPOR
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 10 | +17 | 25 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 10 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 10 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 10 | +3 | 19 |
| 5 | Mardin 1969 | 10 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Keçiörengücü | 10 | +9 | 17 |
| 7 | Sarıyer | 10 | −1 | 15 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 10 | −2 | 15 |
| 9 | Bandırmaspor | 10 | +9 | 14 |
| 10 | Fatih Karagümrük | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Sivasspor | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 | Muğlaspor | 10 | −2 | 12 |
| 13 | Bodrum FK | 10 | +2 | 11 |
| 14 | Manisa F.K. | 10 | −1 | 10 |
| 15 | Pendikspor | 10 | −7 | 10 |
| 16 | Esenler Erokspor | 10 | −5 | 9 |
| 17 | Ümraniyespor | 9 | −3 | 7 |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 10 | −10 | 7 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 10 | −15 | 5 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 9 | −18 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Kayserispor
Bursaspor
Iğdır FK
Batman Petrolspor
Mardin 1969
Keçiörengücü
Sarıyer
Antalyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Sivasspor
Muğlaspor
Manisa F.K.
Pendikspor
Esenler Erokspor
Ümraniyespor
Vanspor FK
İstanbulspor
Boluspor