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Batman Petrolspor v İstanbulspor

Batman Petrolspor
4–2Full time
İstanbulspor

1. Lig · WED 14 OCT · 16 Mayis Sehir Stadyumu

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 15:01
Batman Petrolspor 4–2 İstanbulspor BATMAN PETROLSPOR WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Batman Petrolspor win49%
The market said56%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.392
The market’s Brier score0.287

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 52 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Batman Petrolspor win at 49%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Batman Petrolspor 49% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–22–28
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Batman Petrolspor v İstanbulspor
  4. 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Batman Petrolspor 1–0 İstanbulspor
  5. 9′Mickael Biron scores for Batman Petrolspor on 8′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 72–16–12
  6. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Batman Petrolspor win: 49% at kick-off, 72% now
  7. 10′We said Batman Petrolspor at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–0 · 72–16–12
  8. 10′GOAL DISALLOWED · 8' Mickael Biron · Batman Petrolspor
  9. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' Batman Petrolspor win: 49% at kick-off, 48% now
  10. 18′Batman Petrolspor are down to ten from 18′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 47–25–28
  11. 18′🟥 RED CARD · 18' Batman Petrolspor
  12. 19′🟥 RED CARD · 18' Muhammed Birkan Tetik · Batman Petrolspor
  13. 30′Buğra Çağıran scores for Batman Petrolspor on 31′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 73–18–9
  14. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Batman Petrolspor 1–0 İstanbulspor
  15. 31′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 1–0 · 73–18–9
  16. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Batman Petrolspor win: 49% at kick-off, 73% now
  17. 42′42′ and it is 1–0: Sami Gokhan Altiparmak on the scoresheet for Batman Petrolspor. 1–0 · 74–18–8
  18. 43′We said Batman Petrolspor at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 2–0 · 92–6–2
  19. 43′⚽ GOAL · 42' Batman Petrolspor 2–0 İstanbulspor · Sami Gokhan Altiparmak (assist Mickael Biron)
  20. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Batman Petrolspor win: 49% at kick-off, 92% now
  21. 45′Batman Petrolspor ahead on 45′ through Mickael Biron. 3–0. 3–0 · 98–1–0
  22. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Batman Petrolspor 3–0 İstanbulspor · Sami Gokhan Altiparmak
  23. 45′SECOND HALF Batman Petrolspor 2–0 İstanbulspor
  24. 45′SECOND HALF Batman Petrolspor 3–0 İstanbulspor
  25. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' İstanbulspor · On: Yusuf Ozer · Off: Turan Deni̇z Tuncer
  26. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' İstanbulspor · On: Mustafa Sol · Off: Michael Ologo
  27. 46′We said Batman Petrolspor at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–0 · 99–1–0
  28. 46′Batman Petrolspor ahead on 46′ through Sami Gokhan Altiparmak. 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
  29. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Batman Petrolspor win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
  30. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' İstanbulspor · On: Abdullah Dijlan Aydin · Off: Kubilay Sönmez
  31. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Batman Petrolspor 3–1 İstanbulspor
  32. 47′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 93–6–1
  33. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Batman Petrolspor win: 49% at kick-off, 93% now
  34. 48′Alieu Cham scores for İstanbulspor on 47′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 93–5–1
  35. 48′GOAL DISALLOWED · 48' Batman Petrolspor
  36. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Batman Petrolspor win: 49% at kick-off, 93% now
  37. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Batman Petrolspor · On: Mamadou Cissokho · Off: Buğra Çağıran
  38. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Batman Petrolspor 4–1 İstanbulspor · Sami Gokhan Altiparmak
  39. 66′We said Batman Petrolspor at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  40. 66′65′ and it is 4–1: Mickael Biron on the scoresheet for Batman Petrolspor. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  41. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Batman Petrolspor win: 49% at kick-off, 100% now
  42. 68′5 goals already, more than the 3.3 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  43. 69′Batman Petrolspor are down to ten from 21′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  44. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Batman Petrolspor 4–2 İstanbulspor · Alieu Cham
  45. 72′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 98–2–0
  46. 72′İstanbulspor pull one back on 72′ through Mamadou Fall. 4–2. 4–2 · 98–2–0
  47. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Batman Petrolspor win: 49% at kick-off, 98% now
  48. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Batman Petrolspor · On: Gökhan Karadeniz · Off: Sami Gokhan Altiparmak
  49. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Batman Petrolspor · On: David Kaiki Flores da Silva · Off: Bernardo Sousa
  50. 74′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45' M. Biron · Batman Petrolspor
  51. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 46' İstanbulspor · On: Y. Ozer · Off: D. Tuncer Corrected
  52. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 46' İstanbulspor · On: M. Sol · Off: M. Ologo Inainfe Corrected
  53. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 46' İstanbulspor · On: D. Aydin · Off: K. Sonmez Corrected
  54. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 75' İstanbulspor · On: I. Iliev · Off: O. Duymaz Corrected
  55. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' İstanbulspor · On: I. Iliev · Off: O. Duymaz Corrected
  56. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Batman Petrolspor win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
  57. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 45' İstanbulspor · On: Yusuf Ozer · Off: Turan Deni̇z Tuncer
  58. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 45' İstanbulspor · On: Mustafa Sol · Off: Michael Ologo
  59. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 45' İstanbulspor · On: Abdullah Dijlan Aydin · Off: Kubilay Sönmez
  60. 79′GOAL DISALLOWED · 49' Matheus Doria · Batman Petrolspor
  61. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' İstanbulspor · On: Aytaç Kara · Off: Mamadou Fall
  62. 80′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45' M. Biron · Batman Petrolspor
  63. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 46' İstanbulspor · On: Y. Ozer · Off: D. Tuncer Corrected
  64. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 46' İstanbulspor · On: M. Sol · Off: M. Ologo Inainfe Corrected
  65. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 46' İstanbulspor · On: D. Aydin · Off: K. Sonmez Corrected
  66. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Batman Petrolspor · On: E. Aydogan · Off: Jo Jin-ho Corrected
  67. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Batman Petrolspor · On: K. Topdemir · Off: O. Gurbulak Corrected
  68. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 45' İstanbulspor · On: Yusuf Ozer · Off: Turan Deni̇z Tuncer
  69. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 45' İstanbulspor · On: Mustafa Sol · Off: Michael Ologo
  70. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 45' İstanbulspor · On: Abdullah Dijlan Aydin · Off: Kubilay Sönmez
  71. 83′GOAL DISALLOWED · 49' Matheus Doria · Batman Petrolspor
  72. FTFULL TIME Batman Petrolspor 4–2 İstanbulspor
  73. FTBatman Petrolspor 4–2 İstanbulspor · Batman Petrolspor win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Batman Petrolspor v İstanbulsporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 12:01 · locked at kick-off

Batman Petrolspor win49%
Draw23%
İstanbulspor win28%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 12:30

Venue16 Mayis Sehir Stadyumu

RefereeOmer Tolga Guldibi

Line-ups

Batman Petrolspor

4-1-4-1

İstanbulspor

5-3-2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Batman Petrolspor

İstanbulspor

4Days since last match4
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Batman Petrolspor9116
19İstanbulspor9-135

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Batman Petrolspor

4-1-4-1

13 B. Tetik

27 Ö. Artan

4 M. Mert

21 Dória

3 Y. Subaşı

6 Jo Jin-Ho

77 Benny

8 O. Gürbulak

26 B. Çağıran

7 M. Biron

79 G. Altıparmak

Coach · Selçuk Şahin

Substitutes

11 · O. Imeri

84 · A. Gurylev

15 · David

34 · M. Cissokho

5 · E. Aydoğan

46 · Devran Bozardic

17 · G. Karadeniz

72 · P. Yaldır

18 · Karan Topdemir

25 · Ç. Akbaba

İstanbulspor

5-3-2

28 A. Tutar

11 B. Nızam

5 M. Ologo

4 D. Sahin

89 E. Uzunhan

18 Turan Tuncer

15 E. Mendy

12 K. Sönmez

52 Ö. Duymaz

27 M. Fall

30 Alieu Cham

Coach · Olcay Demir

Substitutes

81 · A. Akman

21 · D. Aydın

6 · I. Dayakli

1 · I. Dogan

10 · I. Iliev

34 · A. Kara

61 · E. Sarıalioğlu

9 · M. Sol

25 · Batuhan Yavuz

3 · Y. Özer

Our number · batman petrolspor winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 12:01 · locked at kick-off
49% The market56%
Us49%
Market56%

We make Batman Petrolspor a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Batman Petrolspor v İstanbulspor1.93 – 1.40
Last six in 1. LigW3 D0 L3 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 16 v 55 v 19
The market · Batman Petrolspor win56% · ours 49%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60%65% 9 OCT 06:2114 OCT 10:05
Our probability · batman petrolspor win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 57% to 56% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Batman Petrolspor win49%56%−7
Draw23%24%−1
İstanbulspor win28%20%+8
Over 2.5 goals64%55%+9
Both teams to score64%55%+9
Over 1.5 goals84%77%+7
Over 3.5 goals42%33%+9
Batman Petrolspor or draw72%80%−8
Batman Petrolspor clean sheet25%––
İstanbulspor clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.1%
0123450 4.6 4.7 3.7 1 6.5 10.1 6.6 3.1 2 6.6 8.9 6.1 2.9 3 4.2 5.7 3.9 4 2.1 2.8 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Batman Petrolspor down, İstanbulspor across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in 1. Lig since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in 1. Lig

BATMAN PETROLSPOR

WWWLLL2–1 · 2–0 · 4–3 · 0–4 · 1–2 · 1–2

İSTANBULSPOR

DLLLWL1–1 · 0–4 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 1–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Kayserispor91322
2Bursaspor9819
3Iğdır FK9619
4Keçiörengücü9916
5Batman Petrolspor9116
6Mardin 19699515
7Antalyaspor9215
8Sarıyer10-115
9Bandırmaspor10914
10Fatih Karagümrük9113
11Sivasspor10112
12Muğlaspor9112
13Bodrum FK10211
14Pendikspor10-710
15Manisa F.K.9-19
16Esenler Erokspor9-58
17Ümraniyespor9-37
18Vanspor FK10-107
19İstanbulspor9-135
20Boluspor9-181

The competition's standings.