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Antalyaspor v Kayserispor

Antalyaspor
0–4Full time
Kayserispor

1. Lig · WED 14 OCT · Corendon Airlines Park

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 20:30
Antalyaspor 0–4 Kayserispor KAYSERISPOR WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Kayserispor win42%
The market said40%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.512
The market’s Brier score0.537

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 27 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kayserispor win at 42%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Kayserispor 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 33–25–42
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Antalyaspor v Kayserispor
  4. 2′2′ and it is 0–0: Kayserispor have scored. 0–0 · 33–25–42
  5. 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Antalyaspor 0–1 Kayserispor
  6. 3′We said Kayserispor at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 67%. 0–1 · 14–18–67
  7. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' Kayserispor win: 42% at kick-off, 67% now
  8. 23′Kayserispor ahead on 24′ through Taulant Seferi. 0–1. 0–1 · 12–20–69
  9. 25′We said Kayserispor at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 0–2 · 3–8–89
  10. 25′⚽ GOAL · 24' Antalyaspor 0–2 Kayserispor · Taulant Seferi
  11. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Kayserispor win: 42% at kick-off, 89% now
  12. 28′SUBSTITUTION · 29' Antalyaspor · On: Mevlüt Şimşek · Off: Güray Vural
  13. 31′We said Kayserispor at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–2 · 3–8–90
  14. 38′Manadi Camara scores for Kayserispor on 37′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 2–7–91
  15. 40′SUBSTITUTION · 42' Antalyaspor · On: Abdullah Yigiter · Off: Fotios Pseftis
  16. 40′GOAL DISALLOWED · 40' Kayserispor
  17. 41′⚽ GOAL · 37' Antalyaspor 0–3 Kayserispor · Manadi Camara (assist Jemal Tabidze)
  18. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Antalyaspor 0–3 Kayserispor · Manadi Camara
  19. 42′We said Kayserispor at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 0–3 · 0–2–98
  20. 42′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 0–3 · 0–2–98
  21. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Kayserispor win: 42% at kick-off, 98% now
  22. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Antalyaspor · On: Jesper Ceesay · Off: Soner Dikmen
  23. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Kayserispor · On: Ensar Kemaloglu · Off: Manadi Camara
  24. 45′SECOND HALF Antalyaspor 0–3 Kayserispor
  25. 50′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Manadi Camara · Kayserispor
  26. 50′SECOND HALF Antalyaspor 0–3 Kayserispor
  27. 51′SECOND HALF Antalyaspor 0–3 Kayserispor
  28. 52′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Antalyaspor · On: Ahmet Sağat · Off: Doğukan Sinik
  29. 53′53′ and it is 0–4: Taulant Seferi on the scoresheet for Kayserispor. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  30. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Antalyaspor 0–4 Kayserispor · Taulant Seferi
  31. 54′We said Kayserispor at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  32. 55′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  33. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Kayserispor · On: Florent Hasani · Off: Benhur Keser
  34. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Kayserispor · On: Murat Cem Akpinar · Off: Görkem Sağlam
  35. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Kayserispor · On: Oğulcan Çağlayan · Off: Daniel Moreno
  36. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Kayserispor · On: Marco Dulca · Off: Sinan Kurt
  37. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Antalyaspor · On: Samet Yalcin · Off: Pedrinho
  38. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Antalyaspor · On: Hasan Yakub İlçin · Off: Sander van de Streek
  39. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Kayserispor · On: Ataol Taylan Karapınar · Off: Taulant Seferi
  40. FTFULL TIME Antalyaspor 0–4 Kayserispor
  41. FTAntalyaspor 0–4 Kayserispor · Kayserispor win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Antalyaspor v KayserisporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 17:28 · locked at kick-off

Antalyaspor win33%
Draw26%
Kayserispor win42%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 18:00

VenueCorendon Airlines Park

RefereeAltindas, Birkan

Line-ups

Antalyaspor

4-2-3-1

Kayserispor

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Antalyaspor

Kayserispor

4Days since last match4
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Kayserispor91322
7Antalyaspor9215

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Antalyaspor

4-2-3-1

77 F. Pseftis

7 B. Balcı

4 Bugra Tivsiz Ensar

19 S. Karakoç

11 G. Vural

6 S. Dikmen

14 Pedrinho

17 E. Yeşilyurt

22 S. van de Streek

70 D. Sinik

9 Nuno da Costa

Coach · O. Özköylü

Substitutes

97 · M. Şimşek

15 · F. Nzaba

44 · Ismail Chehaima

35 · J. Ceesay

5 · Ö. Beyaz

89 · V. Sarı

23 · A. Sağat

18 · S. Yalçın

21 · A. Yiğiter

20 · Hasan Yakub İlçin

Kayserispor

4-2-3-1

35 G. Değirmenci

7 M. Uçar

5 K. Cihan

3 J. Tabidze

17 M. Göçkan

8 S. Kurt

61 G. Sağlam

10 B. Keser

28 Mamadi Camará

97 T. Seferi

27 D. Moreno

Coach · A. Gerin

Substitutes

20 · J. Brenet

88 · M. Dulca

16 · Deniz Eren Donmezer

9 · F. Hasani

19 · M. Hayvali

38 · Ataol Karapinar

11 · E. Kemaloğlu

99 · T. Sarıarslan

71 · O. Çağlayan

6 · C. Akpınar

Our number · kayserispor winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 17:28 · locked at kick-off
42% The market40%
Us42%
Market40%

We make Kayserispor a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.6.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Antalyaspor v Kayserispor1.36 – 1.57
Last six in 1. LigW4 D0 L2 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 15 v 227 v 1
The market · Kayserispor win40% · ours 42%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:2114 OCT 04:53
Our probability · kayserispor win The market, margin stripped

Published at 43%, 42% now. The market has gone from 41% to 40% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Antalyaspor win33%31%+1
Draw26%28%−3
Kayserispor win42%40%+2
Over 2.5 goals55%49%+6
Both teams to score58%54%+4
Over 1.5 goals79%73%+6
Over 3.5 goals34%29%+5
Antalyaspor or draw58%60%−2
Antalyaspor clean sheet22%––
Kayserispor clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%
0123450 6.5 7.9 6.6 3.5 1 6.9 11.8 8.5 4.5 2 5.0 7.4 5.7 3.0 3 2.3 3.4 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Antalyaspor down, Kayserispor across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in 1. Lig since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in 1. Lig

ANTALYASPOR

LWLWWW1–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 1–0

KAYSERISPOR

LDWWWW1–2 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 4–0 · 1–0 · 3–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Kayserispor91322
2Bursaspor9819
3Iğdır FK9619
4Keçiörengücü9916
5Batman Petrolspor9116
6Mardin 19699515
7Antalyaspor9215
8Sarıyer10-115
9Bandırmaspor10914
10Fatih Karagümrük9113
11Sivasspor10112
12Muğlaspor9112
13Bodrum FK10211
14Pendikspor10-710
15Manisa F.K.9-19
16Esenler Erokspor9-58
17Ümraniyespor9-37
18Vanspor FK10-107
19İstanbulspor9-135
20Boluspor9-181

The competition's standings.