

Antalyaspor v Kayserispor
Antalyaspor
Kayserispor1. Lig · WED 14 OCT · Corendon Airlines Park
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Kayserispor win at 42%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Kayserispor 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 33–25–42
- 1′KICK-OFF Antalyaspor v Kayserispor
- 2′2′ and it is 0–0: Kayserispor have scored. 0–0 · 33–25–42
- 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Antalyaspor 0–1 Kayserispor
- 3′We said Kayserispor at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 67%. 0–1 · 14–18–67
- 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' Kayserispor win: 42% at kick-off, 67% now
- 23′Kayserispor ahead on 24′ through Taulant Seferi. 0–1. 0–1 · 12–20–69
- 25′We said Kayserispor at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 0–2 · 3–8–89
- 25′⚽ GOAL · 24' Antalyaspor 0–2 Kayserispor · Taulant Seferi
- 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Kayserispor win: 42% at kick-off, 89% now
- 28′SUBSTITUTION · 29' Antalyaspor · On: Mevlüt Şimşek · Off: Güray Vural
- 31′We said Kayserispor at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–2 · 3–8–90
- 38′Manadi Camara scores for Kayserispor on 37′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 2–7–91
- 40′SUBSTITUTION · 42' Antalyaspor · On: Abdullah Yigiter · Off: Fotios Pseftis
- 40′GOAL DISALLOWED · 40' Kayserispor
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 37' Antalyaspor 0–3 Kayserispor · Manadi Camara (assist Jemal Tabidze)
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Antalyaspor 0–3 Kayserispor · Manadi Camara
- 42′We said Kayserispor at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 0–3 · 0–2–98
- 42′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 0–3 · 0–2–98
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Kayserispor win: 42% at kick-off, 98% now
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Antalyaspor · On: Jesper Ceesay · Off: Soner Dikmen
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Kayserispor · On: Ensar Kemaloglu · Off: Manadi Camara
- 45′SECOND HALF Antalyaspor 0–3 Kayserispor
- 50′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Manadi Camara · Kayserispor
- 50′SECOND HALF Antalyaspor 0–3 Kayserispor
- 51′SECOND HALF Antalyaspor 0–3 Kayserispor
- 52′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Antalyaspor · On: Ahmet Sağat · Off: Doğukan Sinik
- 53′53′ and it is 0–4: Taulant Seferi on the scoresheet for Kayserispor. 0–4 · 0–0–100
- 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Antalyaspor 0–4 Kayserispor · Taulant Seferi
- 54′We said Kayserispor at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 0–4 · 0–0–100
- 55′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 0–4 · 0–0–100
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Kayserispor · On: Florent Hasani · Off: Benhur Keser
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Kayserispor · On: Murat Cem Akpinar · Off: Görkem Sağlam
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Kayserispor · On: Oğulcan Çağlayan · Off: Daniel Moreno
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Kayserispor · On: Marco Dulca · Off: Sinan Kurt
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Antalyaspor · On: Samet Yalcin · Off: Pedrinho
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Antalyaspor · On: Hasan Yakub İlçin · Off: Sander van de Streek
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Kayserispor · On: Ataol Taylan Karapınar · Off: Taulant Seferi
- FTFULL TIME Antalyaspor 0–4 Kayserispor
- FTAntalyaspor 0–4 Kayserispor · Kayserispor win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 17:28 · locked at kick-off
Antalyaspor win33%
Kayserispor win42%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 18:00
VenueCorendon Airlines Park
RefereeAltindas, Birkan
Match timeline
All events
AntalyasporMIN
KayserisporEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Antalyaspor
4-2-3-1
Kayserispor
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Antalyaspor
Kayserispor
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Antalyaspor
4-2-3-1
77 F. Pseftis
7 B. Balcı
4 Bugra Tivsiz Ensar
19 S. Karakoç
11 G. Vural
6 S. Dikmen
14 Pedrinho
17 E. Yeşilyurt
22 S. van de Streek
70 D. Sinik
9 Nuno da Costa
Coach · O. Özköylü
Substitutes
97 · M. Şimşek
15 · F. Nzaba
44 · Ismail Chehaima
35 · J. Ceesay
5 · Ö. Beyaz
89 · V. Sarı
23 · A. Sağat
18 · S. Yalçın
21 · A. Yiğiter
20 · Hasan Yakub İlçin
Kayserispor
4-2-3-1
35 G. Değirmenci
7 M. Uçar
5 K. Cihan
3 J. Tabidze
17 M. Göçkan
8 S. Kurt
61 G. Sağlam
10 B. Keser
28 Mamadi Camará
97 T. Seferi
27 D. Moreno
Coach · A. Gerin
Substitutes
20 · J. Brenet
88 · M. Dulca
16 · Deniz Eren Donmezer
9 · F. Hasani
19 · M. Hayvali
38 · Ataol Karapinar
11 · E. Kemaloğlu
99 · T. Sarıarslan
71 · O. Çağlayan
6 · C. Akpınar
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Antalyaspor
4-2-3-1
77 F. Pseftis
7 B. Balcı
4 Bugra Tivsiz Ensar
19 S. Karakoç
11 G. Vural
6 S. Dikmen
14 Pedrinho
17 E. Yeşilyurt
22 S. van de Streek
70 D. Sinik
9 Nuno da Costa
Coach · O. Özköylü
Substitutes
97 · M. Şimşek
15 · F. Nzaba
44 · Ismail Chehaima
35 · J. Ceesay
5 · Ö. Beyaz
89 · V. Sarı
23 · A. Sağat
18 · S. Yalçın
21 · A. Yiğiter
20 · Hasan Yakub İlçin
Kayserispor
4-2-3-1
35 G. Değirmenci
7 M. Uçar
5 K. Cihan
3 J. Tabidze
17 M. Göçkan
8 S. Kurt
61 G. Sağlam
10 B. Keser
28 Mamadi Camará
97 T. Seferi
27 D. Moreno
Coach · A. Gerin
Substitutes
20 · J. Brenet
88 · M. Dulca
16 · Deniz Eren Donmezer
9 · F. Hasani
19 · M. Hayvali
38 · Ataol Karapinar
11 · E. Kemaloğlu
99 · T. Sarıarslan
71 · O. Çağlayan
6 · C. Akpınar
We make Kayserispor a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 43%, 42% now. The market has gone from 41% to 40% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 33% | 31% | +1 |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | −3 |
| Kayserispor win | 42% | 40% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 49% | +6 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 54% | +4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 73% | +6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 29% | +5 |
| Antalyaspor or draw | 58% | 60% | −2 |
| Antalyaspor clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
| Kayserispor clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No meetings between these two in 1. Lig since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.
Form · last six in 1. Lig
ANTALYASPOR
KAYSERISPOR
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 9 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 9 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 9 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | Keçiörengücü | 9 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | Batman Petrolspor | 9 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Mardin 1969 | 9 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Antalyaspor | 9 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Sarıyer | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Bandırmaspor | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| 10 | Fatih Karagümrük | 9 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | Sivasspor | 10 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | Muğlaspor | 9 | 1 | 12 |
| 13 | Bodrum FK | 10 | 2 | 11 |
| 14 | Pendikspor | 10 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Manisa F.K. | 9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Esenler Erokspor | 9 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Ümraniyespor | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 10 | -10 | 7 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 9 | -13 | 5 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 9 | -18 | 1 |
The competition's standings.
Bursaspor
Iğdır FK
Keçiörengücü
Batman Petrolspor
Mardin 1969
Sarıyer
Bandırmaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Sivasspor
Muğlaspor
Bodrum FK
Pendikspor
Manisa F.K.
Esenler Erokspor
Ümraniyespor
Vanspor FK
İstanbulspor
Boluspor