Redeyef v Jendouba Sport prediction · Ligue 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

RedeyefDrawJendouba Sport

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Redeyef 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Redeyef are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Redeyef 39%, draw 31%, Jendouba Sport 31%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Redeyef v Jendouba SportBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 15:31 · locked at kick-off

Redeyef win39%

Draw31%

Jendouba Sport win31%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Redeyef

Jendouba Sport

8Days since last match8

Last match: 19 Oct · Ligue 2 (Tunisia)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Jendouba Sport	4	+1	7
11	Redeyef	4	+4	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · redeyef winFirst published 21 Oct 15:31 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Redeyef a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Redeyef v Jendouba Sport~~1.14 – 0.99

~~Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 27 Sept~~W2 D0 L2 · W2 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 6 v 7~~11 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Redeyef win	39%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Jendouba Sport win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Redeyef or draw	69%	–	–
Redeyef clean sheet	38%	–	–
Jendouba Sport clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.6%

0123450 12.9 11.2 5.8 1 13.0 13.6 6.4 2.2 2 7.7 7.4 3.7 3 3.0 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Redeyef down, Jendouba Sport across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,505 Ligue 2 matches up to 19 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.2% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Redeyef at home: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Jendouba Sport away: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.14 goals for Redeyef, 0.99 for Jendouba Sport. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~JEN 3–0 RED · RED 1–2 JEN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 27 Sept

REDEYEF

WWLL3–0 · 3–0 · 0–1 · 0–1

JENDOUBA SPORT

LWWD0–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	AS Kasserine	4	+6	12
2	Mégrine	4	+4	10
3	Korba	4	+4	9
4	EM Mahdia	4	+2	8
5	M'saken	4	+2	8
6	Ksour Essef	4	+2	8
7	CS Chebba	4	+1	7
8	Jendouba Sport	4	+1	7
9	US Tataouine	4	−1	7
10	Bouchamma	4	−1	7
11	Redeyef	4	+4	6
12	Kalaâ Sport	4	+1	6
13	Sfax Railways	4	+1	6
14	JS Kairouanaise	4	0	6
15	AS Soliman	4	+2	5
16	Sporting Ben Arous	4	+2	5
17	Ariana	4	+1	5
18	Stade Gabesien	4	0	5
19	BS Bouhajla	4	−2	5
20	Stade Soussien	4	0	4
21	Olympique du Kef	4	−1	4
22	EGS Gafsa	4	−2	3
23	AS Agareb	4	−3	3
24	Béni-Khalled	4	−2	2
25	AS Gabes	4	−3	1
26	Kerkennah	4	−3	1
27	Moknine	4	−7	1
28	CO Medenine	4	−8	0