CO Medenine v Olympique du Kef prediction · Ligue 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CO MedenineDrawOlympique du Kef

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Olympique du Kef 35%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Olympique du Kef just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: CO Medenine 35%, draw 31%, Olympique du Kef 35%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on CO Medenine v Olympique du KefBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 15:31 · locked at kick-off

CO Medenine win35%

Draw31%

Olympique du Kef win35%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CO Medenine

Olympique du Kef

8Days since last match8

Last match: 19 Oct · Ligue 2 (Tunisia)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
21	Olympique du Kef	4	−1	4
28	CO Medenine	4	−8	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · olympique du kef winFirst published 21 Oct 15:31 · locked at kick-off

35% The market–

Us35%

We make Olympique du Kef a 35% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · CO Medenine v Olympique du Kef~~1.04 – 1.05

~~Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 27 Sept~~W0 D0 L4 · W1 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 0 v 4~~28 v 21

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CO Medenine win	35%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Olympique du Kef win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	35%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	62%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
CO Medenine or draw	65%	–	–
CO Medenine clean sheet	36%	–	–
Olympique du Kef clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.5%

0123450 13.5 12.4 6.8 2.5 1 12.3 13.5 6.7 2.4 2 6.8 6.8 3.5 3 2.5 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CO Medenine down, Olympique du Kef across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,505 Ligue 2 matches up to 19 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.2% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

CO Medenine at home: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Olympique du Kef away: 0.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.04 goals for CO Medenine, 1.05 for Olympique du Kef. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 27 Sept

CO MEDENINE

LLLL1–2 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 0–3

OLYMPIQUE DU KEF

DLWL0–0 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	AS Kasserine	4	+6	12
2	Mégrine	4	+4	10
3	Korba	4	+4	9
4	EM Mahdia	4	+2	8
5	M'saken	4	+2	8
6	Ksour Essef	4	+2	8
7	CS Chebba	4	+1	7
8	Jendouba Sport	4	+1	7
9	US Tataouine	4	−1	7
10	Bouchamma	4	−1	7
11	Redeyef	4	+4	6
12	Kalaâ Sport	4	+1	6
13	Sfax Railways	4	+1	6
14	JS Kairouanaise	4	0	6
15	AS Soliman	4	+2	5
16	Sporting Ben Arous	4	+2	5
17	Ariana	4	+1	5
18	Stade Gabesien	4	0	5
19	BS Bouhajla	4	−2	5
20	Stade Soussien	4	0	4
21	Olympique du Kef	4	−1	4
22	EGS Gafsa	4	−2	3
23	AS Agareb	4	−3	3
24	Béni-Khalled	4	−2	2
25	AS Gabes	4	−3	1
26	Kerkennah	4	−3	1
27	Moknine	4	−7	1
28	CO Medenine	4	−8	0