Béni-Khalled v AS Gabes prediction · Ligue 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Béni-KhalledDrawAS Gabes

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Béni-Khalled 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Béni-Khalled are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Béni-Khalled 46%, draw 30%, AS Gabes 24%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on Béni-Khalled v AS GabesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 15:31 · locked at kick-off

Béni-Khalled win46%

Draw30%

AS Gabes win24%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Béni-Khalled

AS Gabes

8Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Ligue 2 (Tunisia)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
24	Béni-Khalled	4	−2	2
25	AS Gabes	4	−3	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · béni-khalled winFirst published 21 Oct 15:31 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Béni-Khalled a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Béni-Khalled v AS Gabes~~1.27 – 0.82

~~Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 26 Sept~~W0 D2 L2 · W0 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 2 v 1~~24 v 25

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Béni-Khalled win	46%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
AS Gabes win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	35%	–	–
Both teams to score	40%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	62%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Béni-Khalled or draw	76%	–	–
Béni-Khalled clean sheet	45%	–	–
AS Gabes clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.1%

0123450 13.5 9.7 4.2 1 15.1 13.0 5.1 2 9.8 7.8 3.2 3 4.2 3.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Béni-Khalled down, AS Gabes across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,505 Ligue 2 matches up to 19 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.2% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Béni-Khalled at home: 0.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 2). AS Gabes away: 0.83 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.27 goals for Béni-Khalled, 0.82 for AS Gabes. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 26 Sept

BÉNI-KHALLED

LDDL1–2 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–1

AS GABES

LDLL1–2 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	AS Kasserine	4	+6	12
2	Mégrine	4	+4	10
3	Korba	4	+4	9
4	EM Mahdia	4	+2	8
5	M'saken	4	+2	8
6	Ksour Essef	4	+2	8
7	CS Chebba	4	+1	7
8	Jendouba Sport	4	+1	7
9	US Tataouine	4	−1	7
10	Bouchamma	4	−1	7
11	Redeyef	4	+4	6
12	Kalaâ Sport	4	+1	6
13	Sfax Railways	4	+1	6
14	JS Kairouanaise	4	0	6
15	AS Soliman	4	+2	5
16	Sporting Ben Arous	4	+2	5
17	Ariana	4	+1	5
18	Stade Gabesien	4	0	5
19	BS Bouhajla	4	−2	5
20	Stade Soussien	4	0	4
21	Olympique du Kef	4	−1	4
22	EGS Gafsa	4	−2	3
23	AS Agareb	4	−3	3
24	Béni-Khalled	4	−2	2
25	AS Gabes	4	−3	1
26	Kerkennah	4	−3	1
27	Moknine	4	−7	1
28	CO Medenine	4	−8	0