Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer v Club Africain prediction · Ligue 1

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Club Africain are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 28%, draw 33%, Club Africain 39%. Over 2.5 goals 22%, both teams to score 28%.

The AI’s read on Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer v Club AfricainBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · postponed, not graded

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer win28%

Draw33%

Club Africain win39%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:30

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer

Club Africain

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Ligue 1 (Tunisia)

Last match: 17 Oct · CAF Champions League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	6	+3	11
5	Club Africain	4	+2	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · club africain winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · postponed, not graded

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Club Africain a 39% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 20%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer v Club Africain~~0.69 – 0.90

~~Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 22 Aug~~W3 D2 L1 · W3 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 11 v 9~~4 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer win	28%	–	–
Draw	33%	–	–
Club Africain win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	22%	–	–
Both teams to score	28%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	46%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	8%	–	–
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer or draw	61%	–	–
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer clean sheet	41%	–	–
Club Africain clean sheet	51%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 19.9%

0123450 19.9 19.0 8.3 2.7 1 14.9 11.2 5.4 2 5.0 4.2 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer down, Club Africain across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,046 Ligue 1 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 34.1% of games this season, across 44 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2024/25.

Home and away form

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer at home: 1.33 scored, 0.00 conceded a game (last 3). Club Africain away: 0.83 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.69 goals for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, 0.90 for Club Africain. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 22 Aug

PROGRÈS SAKIET EDDAÏER

WDWDWL2–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–1

CLUB AFRICAIN

WWWL1–0 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	US Ben Guerdane	6	+5	14
2	ES Tunis	5	+3	12
4	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	6	+3	11
5	Club Africain	4	+2	9
6	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	6	+1	9
7	CS Sfaxien	5	+2	8
8	CA Bizertin	5	0	8
9	AS Marsa	6	+2	8
10	Stade Tunisien	4	+2	7
11	ES Sahel	6	−1	7
12	ES Zarzis	5	0	6
13	CS Hammam-Lif	6	−3	4
14	ES Metlaoui	6	−6	3
15	Olympique Béja	6	−5	2
16	ES Hammam-Sousse	6	−8	1