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Jeunesse Sportive Omrane v Olympique Béja

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane

0–0Full time

Olympique Béja

Ligue 1 · FRI 23 OCT · Stade Chedly Zouiten

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 17:02

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0–0 Olympique Béja JEUNESSE SPORTIVE OMRANE WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win~~51%

~~The market said~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.844

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.745

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 24 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win at 51%.
1′Much as we predicted: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–27–22
1′KICK-OFF Jeunesse Sportive Omrane v Olympique Béja
28′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
38′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Olympique Béja
40′We said Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–42–19
42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win 40%)
45′HALF-TIME Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0–0 Olympique Béja
46′SECOND HALF Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0–0 Olympique Béja
51′We said Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–48–17
57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
60′We said Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–56–15
62′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
64′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Olympique Béja · On: B. Hasni · Off: E. H. Gafsi
64′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Jeunesse Sportive Omrane · On: C. Zoughlami · Off: B. Touati
66′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Jeunesse Sportive Omrane · On: S. Abdelli · Off: M. Jammel
66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Olympique Béja
67′We said Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–63–13
71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
74′We said Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–71–10
76′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Olympique Béja
76′PENALTY MISSED · 76' Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
77′🟨 YELLOW · 75' S. Abdelli · Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
79′We said Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–79–8
82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win: 51% at kick-off, 10% now
83′We said Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–86–5
86′🟨 YELLOW · 77' M. Ammar · Olympique Béja
90′We said Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–2
91′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Olympique Béja · On: F. Ben Hassine · Off: O. Sayari
91′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Jeunesse Sportive Omrane · On: H. Guezmir · Off: A. Jouini
92′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Olympique Béja · On: M. Hedhli · Off: M. Ammar
94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win: 51% at kick-off, 1% now
FTFULL TIME Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0–0 Olympique Béja
FTJeunesse Sportive Omrane 0–0 Olympique Béja · Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 51%, draw 27%, Olympique Béja 22%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on Jeunesse Sportive Omrane v Olympique BéjaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win51%

Draw27%

Olympique Béja win22%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 14:30

RoundMatchday 7

VenueStade Chedly Zouiten

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane

Olympique Béja

5Days since last match5

Last match: 18 Oct · Ligue 1 (Tunisia)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	6	+1	9
15	Olympique Béja	6	−5	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · jeunesse sportive omrane winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off

51% The market47%

Us51%

~~Market~~47%

We make Jeunesse Sportive Omrane a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–0.8.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Jeunesse Sportive Omrane v Olympique Béja~~1.33 – 0.76

~~Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 22 Aug~~W2 D3 L1 · W0 D2 L4

~~Table places · points 9 v 2~~6 v 15

~~The market · Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win~~47% · ours 51%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win The market, margin stripped

Published at 50%, 51% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win	51%	47%	+4
Draw	27%	31%	−4
Olympique Béja win	22%	22%	0
Over 2.5 goals	35%	36%	−1
Both teams to score	38%	42%	−4
Over 1.5 goals	60%	61%	−1
Over 3.5 goals	16%	18%	−2
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane or draw	78%	78%	0
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane clean sheet	47%	–	–
Olympique Béja clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.3%

0123450 11.9 10.4 3.6 1 17.3 11.4 4.7 2 10.8 8.0 3.1 3 4.9 3.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Jeunesse Sportive Omrane down, Olympique Béja across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,046 Ligue 1 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 34.1% of games this season, across 44 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.75 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at home: 1.00 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Olympique Béja away: 0.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.33 goals for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane, 0.76 for Olympique Béja. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.75

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~OLY 2–1 JEU · JEU 0–1 OLY · JEU 2–2 OLY · OLY 2–1 JEU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 22 Aug

JEUNESSE SPORTIVE OMRANE

LWDWDD0–2 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–1

OLYMPIQUE BÉJA

LLDDLL0–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	US Ben Guerdane	6	+5	14
2	ES Tunis	5	+3	12
4	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	6	+3	11
5	Club Africain	4	+2	9
6	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	6	+1	9
7	CS Sfaxien	5	+2	8
8	CA Bizertin	5	0	8
9	AS Marsa	6	+2	8
10	Stade Tunisien	4	+2	7
11	ES Sahel	6	−1	7
12	ES Zarzis	5	0	6
13	CS Hammam-Lif	6	−3	4
14	ES Metlaoui	6	−6	3
15	Olympique Béja	6	−5	2
16	ES Hammam-Sousse	6	−8	1