Club Africain v CA Bizertin prediction · Ligue 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Club AfricainDrawCA Bizertin

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Club Africain 58%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Club Africain are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Club Africain 58%, draw 28%, CA Bizertin 14%. Over 2.5 goals 27%, both teams to score 27%.

The AI’s read on Club Africain v CA BizertinBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Club Africain win58%

Draw28%

CA Bizertin win14%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 6

VenueStade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Club Africain

CA Bizertin

12Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · CAF Champions League

Last match: 23 Oct · Ligue 1 (Tunisia)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	CA Bizertin	6	+2	11
7	Club Africain	4	+2	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · club africain winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

58% The market–

Us58%

We make Club Africain a 58% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.5, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 22%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Club Africain v CA Bizertin~~1.33 – 0.47

~~Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 23 Aug~~W3 D0 L1 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 9 v 11~~7 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Club Africain win	58%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
CA Bizertin win	14%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	27%	–	–
Both teams to score	27%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	53%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	11%	–	–
Club Africain or draw	86%	–	–
Club Africain clean sheet	63%	–	–
CA Bizertin clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 22.4%

0123450 16.3 8.5 1 22.4 9.5 2.4 2 14.4 6.6 3 6.5 3.0 4 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Club Africain down, CA Bizertin across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,050 Ligue 1 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 33.3% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.25 goals a meeting; 0 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Club Africain at home: 1.50 scored, 0.17 conceded a game (last 6). CA Bizertin away: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.33 goals for Club Africain, 0.47 for CA Bizertin. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.25

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~CLU 1–0 CAB · CAB 1–0 CLU · CLU 1–0 CAB · CAB 1–1 CLU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 23 Aug

CLUB AFRICAIN

WWWL1–0 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–2

CA BIZERTIN

WWDLDW1–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	US Ben Guerdane	7	+6	17
2	ES Tunis	5	+3	12
4	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	6	+3	11
5	CA Bizertin	6	+2	11
6	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	7	+1	10
7	Club Africain	4	+2	9
8	AS Marsa	7	+2	9
9	CS Sfaxien	5	+2	8
10	Stade Tunisien	5	+1	7
11	ES Sahel	6	−1	7
12	ES Zarzis	5	0	6
13	CS Hammam-Lif	7	−3	5
14	Olympique Béja	7	−5	3
15	ES Metlaoui	6	−6	3
16	ES Hammam-Sousse	7	−10	1