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Uttaradit v Nakhon Pathom
Uttaradit
Nakhon PathomThai League 2 · SAT 24 OCT · Uttaradit Provincial Sport Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Uttaradit win at 51%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Uttaradit was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–27–22
- 1′KICK-OFF Uttaradit v Nakhon Pathom
- 18′Uttaradit find the net on 17′. 1–0. 1–0 · 79–15–6
- 18′We published Uttaradit at 51%. Our model now makes it 79%. 1–0 · 79–15–6
- 18′⚽ GOAL · 17' Uttaradit 1–0 Nakhon Pathom
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Uttaradit win: 51% at kick-off, 79% now
- 31′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 79–16–5
- 36′We published Uttaradit at 51%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–5
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Uttaradit win: 51% at kick-off, 81% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Uttaradit 1–0 Nakhon Pathom
- 46′SECOND HALF Uttaradit 1–0 Nakhon Pathom
- 64′We published Uttaradit at 51%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
- 76′We published Uttaradit at 51%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Uttaradit win: 51% at kick-off, 91% now
- 83′A goal for Uttaradit on 83′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 83′We published Uttaradit at 51%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Uttaradit 2–0 Nakhon Pathom
- FTFULL TIME Uttaradit 2–0 Nakhon Pathom
- FTUttaradit 2–0 Nakhon Pathom · Uttaradit win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Uttaradit are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Uttaradit 51%, draw 27%, Nakhon Pathom 22%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 46%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Uttaradit win51%
Nakhon Pathom win22%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30
RoundMatchday 8
VenueUttaradit Provincial Sport Stadium
Match timeline
All events
UttaraditMIN
Nakhon PathomEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Uttaradit
Nakhon Pathom
Last match: 18 Oct · Thai League 2
Last match: 20 Oct · FA Cup (Thailand)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Uttaradit a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 52%, 51% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uttaradit win | 51% | 54% | −3 |
| Draw | 27% | 25% | +2 |
| Nakhon Pathom win | 22% | 21% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 50% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 46% | 51% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 73% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 29% | −6 |
| Uttaradit or draw | 78% | 79% | −1 |
| Uttaradit clean sheet | 41% | – | – |
| Nakhon Pathom clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Thai League 2 this season · since 13 Sept
UTTARADIT
NAKHON PATHOM
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khon Kaen United | 7 | +6 | 15 |
| 2 | Chainat | 7 | +2 | 13 |
| 3 | Uttaradit | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 5 | Satun | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Kanchanaburi | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Chiangmai United | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Police Tero | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Phrae United | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Nakhon Pathom | 7 | −1 | 10 |
| 11 | Muang Loei United | 7 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 | Chanthaburi | 7 | +3 | 9 |
| 13 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Muangthong United | 7 | −3 | 8 |
| 15 | Esan Pattaya | 7 | −6 | 8 |
| 16 | Songkhla | 7 | −2 | 6 |
| 17 | Mahasarakham United | 7 | −6 | 4 |
| 18 | Kasetsart FC | 7 | −8 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Khon Kaen United
Chainat
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Satun
Kanchanaburi
Chiangmai United
Police Tero
Phrae United
Muang Loei United
Chanthaburi
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Muangthong United
Esan Pattaya
Songkhla
Mahasarakham United
Kasetsart FC