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Model 1.1
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Phrae United v Kanchanaburi

Phrae United
2–1Full time
Kanchanaburi

Thai League 2 · FRI 9 OCT · Huai Ma Stadium

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 15:49
Phrae United 2–1 Kanchanaburi PHRAE UNITED WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Phrae United win40%
The market said30%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.549
The market’s Brier score0.753

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Phrae United win40%
Draw25%
Kanchanaburi win35%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 13:00

Venue · Huai Ma Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · phrae united winPublished 9 Oct 13:02
40% The market30%
Us40%
Market30%

We make Phrae United a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.5.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:219 OCT 10:10
Our probability · phrae united win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 34% to 30% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Phrae United win40%30%+10
Draw25%29%−4
Kanchanaburi win35%42%−6
Over 2.5 goals57%48%+10
Both teams to score60%53%+7
Over 1.5 goals80%71%+9
Over 3.5 goals36%28%+7
Phrae United or draw65%58%+6
Phrae United clean sheet24%––
Kanchanaburi clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%
0123450 5.8 6.8 5.2 2.6 1 7.4 11.3 7.7 3.8 2 6.0 8.3 5.9 2.9 3 3.2 4.4 3.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Phrae United down, Kanchanaburi across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.55 of 6
Both scored5 of 6
Last meetingsPHR 2–2 KAN · KAN 3–2 PHR · KAN 2–3 PHR · PHR 3–4 KAN

Form · last six in Thai League 2

PHRAE UNITED

LLLDLW1–3 · 0–2 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 3–0

KANCHANABURI

WDWDDD3–2 · 2–2 · 4–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Khon Kaen United4+49
2Uttaradit4+38
3Muang Loei United4+47
4Nong Bua Pitchaya4+27
5Chainat407
6Muangthong United4−17
7Satun4+26
8Kanchanaburi4+26
9Chiangmai United4+16
10Police Tero4−16
11Songkhla4+15
12Chanthaburi404
13Nakhon Pathom404
14Phrae United4−14
15Esan Pattaya4−54
16Mahasarakham United4−33
17Nakhon Ratchasima FC4−22
18Kasetsart FC4−61

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.