Nong Bua Pitchaya v Chiangmai United

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Nong Bua Pitchaya win at 55%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Nong Bua Pitchaya was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–20–24
3. 1′KICK-OFF Nong Bua Pitchaya v Chiangmai United
4. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Nong Bua Pitchaya win: 55% at kick-off, 45% now
5. 45′HALF-TIME Nong Bua Pitchaya 0–0 Chiangmai United
6. 46′SECOND HALF Nong Bua Pitchaya 0–0 Chiangmai United
7. 50′We said Nong Bua Pitchaya at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 43%. 0–0 · 43–34–23
8. 55′We expected about 3.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 41–37–22
9. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Nong Bua Pitchaya 1–0 Chiangmai United
10. 56′Nong Bua Pitchaya find the net on 55′. 1–0. 1–0 · 78–17–5
11. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Nong Bua Pitchaya win: 55% at kick-off, 78% now
12. 57′We published Nong Bua Pitchaya at 55%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–0 · 78–17–5
13. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Nong Bua Pitchaya 1–1 Chiangmai United
14. 63′A goal for Chiangmai United on 62′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 36–43–21
15. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Nong Bua Pitchaya win: 55% at kick-off, 36% now
16. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Nong Bua Pitchaya win 36%)
17. 64′We said Nong Bua Pitchaya at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 1–1 · 36–44–20
18. 65′W. Noisri scores for Chiangmai United on 64′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 35–45–20
19. 65′⚽ GOAL · 6' Nong Bua Pitchaya 1–2 Chiangmai United · W. Noisri
20. 65′GOAL DISALLOWED · 65' Chiangmai United
21. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Nong Bua Pitchaya win: 55% at kick-off, 35% now
22. 66′We said Nong Bua Pitchaya at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–46–20
23. 68′⚽ GOAL · 67' Nong Bua Pitchaya 2–1 Chiangmai United
24. 69′67′ and it is 2–1: Nong Bua Pitchaya have scored. 2–1 · 82–16–3
25. 69′We published Nong Bua Pitchaya at 55%. Our model now makes it 82%. 2–1 · 82–16–3
26. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Nong Bua Pitchaya win: 55% at kick-off, 82% now
27. 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Nong Bua Pitchaya win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 16%)
28. 71′Goals are coming at about the 3.7 we expected. 2–1 · 82–15–3
29. 75′We published Nong Bua Pitchaya at 55%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
30. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Nong Bua Pitchaya win: 55% at kick-off, 85% now
31. 82′We published Nong Bua Pitchaya at 55%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
32. 89′We published Nong Bua Pitchaya at 55%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
33. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Nong Bua Pitchaya win: 55% at kick-off, 95% now
34. 90′Nong Bua Pitchaya find the net on 90′. 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
35. 90′A red card for Chiangmai United on 90′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 3–1 · 100–0–0
36. 90′🟥 RED CARD · 95' Chiangmai United
37. 90′⚽ GOAL · 96' Nong Bua Pitchaya 3–1 Chiangmai United
38. FTFULL TIME Nong Bua Pitchaya 3–1 Chiangmai United
39. FTNong Bua Pitchaya 3–1 Chiangmai United · Nong Bua Pitchaya win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.