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Kasetsart FC v Satun
Kasetsart FCSatunThai League 2 · SAT 24 OCT · Insee Chantarasatit Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Satun win at 39%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Satun 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 35–26–39
- 1′KICK-OFF Kasetsart FC v Satun
- 11′Satun find the net on 11′. 0–1. 0–1 · 15–19–66
- 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Kasetsart FC 0–1 Satun
- 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Satun win: 39% at kick-off, 66% now
- 12′We said Satun at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 0–1 · 15–20–66
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 12–21–68
- 30′A goal for Satun on 30′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 3–8–88
- 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Kasetsart FC 0–2 Satun
- 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Satun win: 39% at kick-off, 88% now
- 31′We said Satun at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 0–2 · 3–8–89
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Satun win: 39% at kick-off, 89% now
- 36′We said Satun at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–2 · 3–8–90
- 45′HALF-TIME Kasetsart FC 0–2 Satun
- 46′SECOND HALF Kasetsart FC 0–2 Satun
- 58′Kasetsart FC score on 58′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 6–20–74
- 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Kasetsart FC 1–2 Satun
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Satun win: 39% at kick-off, 74% now
- 59′We said Satun at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–2 · 5–20–75
- 59′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 5–20–75
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Satun win: 39% at kick-off, 79% now
- 69′We said Satun at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Satun win: 39% at kick-off, 89% now
- 87′Satun find the net on 87′. 1–3. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Kasetsart FC 1–3 Satun
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Satun win: 39% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 88′We said Satun at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- 88′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Kasetsart FC 1–3 Satun
- FTKasetsart FC 1–3 Satun · Satun win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Satun just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Kasetsart FC 35%, draw 26%, Satun 39%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Kasetsart FC win35%Satun win39%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00
RoundMatchday 8
VenueInsee Chantarasatit Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Kasetsart FCMINSatunEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Kasetsart FC
Satun
Last match: 21 Oct · FA Cup (Thailand)
Last match: 18 Oct · Thai League 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Satun | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 18 | Kasetsart FC | 7 | −8 | 4 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Satun a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 40%, 39% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kasetsart FC win | 35% | 32% | +3 |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | −1 |
| Satun win | 39% | 40% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 50% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 55% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 73% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 30% | +1 |
| Kasetsart FC or draw | 61% | 60% | +1 |
| Kasetsart FC clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
| Satun clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Thai League 2 this season · since 12 Sept
KASETSART FC
SATUN
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Khon Kaen United | 7 | +6 | 15 |
| 2 |  Chainat | 7 | +2 | 13 |
| 3 |  Uttaradit | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 4 |  Nong Bua Pitchaya | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 5 | Satun | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Kanchanaburi | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Chiangmai United | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Police Tero | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Phrae United | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Nakhon Pathom | 7 | −1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Muang Loei United | 7 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 |  Chanthaburi | 7 | +3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |  Muangthong United | 7 | −3 | 8 |
| 15 |  Esan Pattaya | 7 | −6 | 8 |
| 16 |  Songkhla | 7 | −2 | 6 |
| 17 |  Mahasarakham United | 7 | −6 | 4 |
| 18 | Kasetsart FC | 7 | −8 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.