Sisaket United v Ratchaburi prediction · Thai League 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sisaket UnitedDrawRatchaburi

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Ratchaburi 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ratchaburi are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sisaket United 31%, draw 26%, Ratchaburi 43%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Sisaket United v RatchaburiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Sisaket United win31%

Draw26%

Ratchaburi win43%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 7

VenueSri Nakhon Lamduan Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sisaket United

Ratchaburi

6Days since last match6

Last match: 24 Oct · Thai League 1

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Ratchaburi	6	+6	10
6	Sisaket United	6	0	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ratchaburi winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 25 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Ratchaburi a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sisaket United v Ratchaburi~~1.29 – 1.58

~~Form · Thai League 1 this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 10 v 10~~6 v 4

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Ratchaburi win

Published at 46%, 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sisaket United win	31%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Ratchaburi win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Sisaket United or draw	57%	–	–
Sisaket United clean sheet	22%	–	–
Ratchaburi clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%

0123450 7.0 8.0 7.0 3.8 1 6.5 12.4 8.7 4.6 2 4.9 7.3 5.6 2.9 3 2.2 3.2 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sisaket United down, Ratchaburi across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,244 Thai League 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Thai League 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.8% of games this season, across 44 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sisaket United at home: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 3). Ratchaburi away: 1.17 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.29 goals for Sisaket United, 1.58 for Ratchaburi. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~SIS 1–3 RAT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Thai League 1 this season · since 5 Sept

SISAKET UNITED

LLWWDW1–3 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 3–2

RATCHABURI

LWDWWL1–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 6–0 · 2–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Port FC	6	+7	15
2	Buriram United	6	+4	13
3	Prachuap	5	+5	12
4	Ratchaburi	6	+6	10
5	Uthai Thani	5	+5	10
6	Sisaket United	6	0	10
7	BG Pathum United	6	+2	9
8	Bangkok United	5	+2	9
9	Rayong FC	6	−2	8
10	Ayutthaya FC	5	−1	7
11	Sukhothai FC	5	−4	6
12	Lamphun Warrior	5	−4	4
13	Chiangrai United	6	−4	4
14	Pattani	5	−4	4
15	Chonburi FC	6	−4	3
16	Rasi Salai United	5	−8	1