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Rayong FC v Uthai Thani
Rayong FC
Uthai ThaniThai League 1 · SAT 17 OCT · Rayong Province Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Rayong FC win at 46%.
- 0′KICK-OFF Rayong FC v Uthai Thani
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Rayong FC 46% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–26–29
- 6′We said Rayong FC at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–21–55
- 6′A goal for Uthai Thani on 6′. 0–0 · 45–26–29
- 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Rayong FC 0–1 Uthai Thani
- 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 6' Rayong FC win: 46% at kick-off, 24% now
- 6′THE CALL SWINGS · 6' Uthai Thani win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Rayong FC win 24%)
- 6′GOAL DISALLOWED · 6' Uthai Thani
- 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' Rayong FC win: 46% at kick-off, 45% now
- 6′THE CALL SWINGS · 6' Rayong FC win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Uthai Thani win 29%)
- 13′We said Rayong FC at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 1–0 · 71–17–12
- 13′Rayong FC find the net on 13′. 1–0. 1–0 · 71–17–12
- 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Rayong FC 1–0 Uthai Thani
- 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Rayong FC win: 46% at kick-off, 71% now
- 15′Rayong FC ahead on 14′ through João Felipe Proscinski Giaccomoni. 1–0. 1–0 · 71–17–12
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 72–18–10
- 43′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Jeong Tae-Wook · Uthai Thani
- 45′SECOND HALF Rayong FC 1–0 Uthai Thani
- 48′HALF-TIME Rayong FC 1–0 Uthai Thani
- 49′We said Rayong FC at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–7
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Rayong FC win: 46% at kick-off, 76% now
- 55′We said Rayong FC at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–42–24
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Rayong FC 1–1 Uthai Thani
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Rayong FC win: 46% at kick-off, 34% now
- 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Rayong FC win 34%)
- 56′12 shots for Rayong FC, 5 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 33–43–24
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Rayong FC win: 46% at kick-off, 33% now
- 57′An own goal by Rayong FC's Antonio Abreu Lara on 56′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 33–44–24
- 59′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Wattana Playnum · Uthai Thani
- 65′We said Rayong FC at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 1–1 · 28–51–21
- 65′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Mayron Marques Barboza da Rocha · Rayong FC
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Rayong FC · On: Yeo Hong-Gyu · Off: Renan Gorne
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Uthai Thani · On: Possawee Muanmart · Off: Wattana Playnum
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Uthai Thani · On: William Gabriel Weidersjö · Off: Trent Buhagiar
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Rayong FC win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
- 77′We said Rayong FC at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–67–14
- 78′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Charalampos Charalampous · Uthai Thani
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Rayong FC win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
- 80′16 shots for Rayong FC, 7 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 15–73–12
- 81′We said Rayong FC at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–75–11
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Rayong FC · On: Matee Sarakum · Off: Supawit Romphopak
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Rayong FC · On: Thanaset Sujarit · Off: Natcha Promsomboon
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Rayong FC · On: Patipanchai Phothep · Off: Cristian·Magerusan
- 85′We said Rayong FC at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–7
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Uthai Thani · On: Itsuki Enomoto · Off: Willian Lira Sousa Corrected
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Uthai Thani · On: Santipap Yaemsaen · Off: Benjamin Davis
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Rayong FC win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Uthai Thani · On: Siroch Chatthong · Off: Kelvin
- 92′We said Rayong FC at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–3
- 95′1–1 at the end. Our 46% on Rayong FC misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME Rayong FC 1–1 Uthai Thani
- FTRayong FC 1–1 Uthai Thani · Rayong FC win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassRayong FC are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Rayong FC 46%, draw 25%, Uthai Thani 29%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Rayong FC win46%
Uthai Thani win29%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 5
VenueRayong Province Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Rayong FCMIN
Uthai ThaniEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rayong FC
4-3-3
Uthai Thani
4-3-3
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Rayong FC
Uthai Thani
Last match: 10 Oct · Thai League 1
Last match: 10 Oct · Thai League 1
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Rayong FC
4-3-3
30 W. Ganthong
19 S. Romphopak
94 Antonio Abreu Lara
37 Mayron Marques
3 Thanawat Pimyotha
8 Natcha Promsomboon
6 João Afonso
17 Bruno Leite
26 Renan Gorne
99 C. Măgerușan
98 João Felipe Proscinski Giaccomoni
Coach · A. Chalitaporn
Substitutes
4 · H. Katano
2 · Noppol Kerdkaew
18 · P. Ngernprasert
5 · P. Phatthaphon
79 · P. Phothep
22 · C. Pombubpha
7 · M. Sarakum
36 · Worawut Srisupha
15 · Thanaset Sujarit
80 · W. Withunat
77 · Yeo Hong-Gyu
10 · João Vitor Coutinho Maia
Uthai Thani
4-3-3
97 Caíque
5 S. Peenagatapho
13 Jeong Tae-Wook
19 W. Playnum
3 C. Charalampous
25 R. Maikami
10 B. Davis
77 Robertinho
22 Kelvin
99 Willian Lira Sousa
7 T. Buhagiar
Coach · Alexandre Gama
Substitutes
6 · Pablo Dias De Souza Almeida
35 · S. Chatthong
29 · A. Boodjinda
62 · A. Doloh
9 · I. Enomoto
92 · A. Meethoum
4 · Possawee Muanmart
20 · N. Naksawat
21 · T. Rattanapoom
1 · C. Wangthaphan
8 · William Gabriel Weidersjö
24 · S. Yaemsaen
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Rayong FC
4-3-3
30 W. Ganthong
19 S. Romphopak
94 Antonio Abreu Lara
37 Mayron Marques
3 Thanawat Pimyotha
8 Natcha Promsomboon
6 João Afonso
17 Bruno Leite
26 Renan Gorne
99 C. Măgerușan
98 João Felipe Proscinski Giaccomoni
Coach · A. Chalitaporn
Substitutes
4 · H. Katano
2 · Noppol Kerdkaew
18 · P. Ngernprasert
5 · P. Phatthaphon
79 · P. Phothep
22 · C. Pombubpha
7 · M. Sarakum
36 · Worawut Srisupha
15 · Thanaset Sujarit
80 · W. Withunat
77 · Yeo Hong-Gyu
10 · João Vitor Coutinho Maia
Uthai Thani
4-3-3
97 Caíque
5 S. Peenagatapho
13 Jeong Tae-Wook
19 W. Playnum
3 C. Charalampous
25 R. Maikami
10 B. Davis
77 Robertinho
22 Kelvin
99 Willian Lira Sousa
7 T. Buhagiar
Coach · Alexandre Gama
Substitutes
6 · Pablo Dias De Souza Almeida
35 · S. Chatthong
29 · A. Boodjinda
62 · A. Doloh
9 · I. Enomoto
92 · A. Meethoum
4 · Possawee Muanmart
20 · N. Naksawat
21 · T. Rattanapoom
1 · C. Wangthaphan
8 · William Gabriel Weidersjö
24 · S. Yaemsaen
We make Rayong FC a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayong FC win | 46% | 35% | +11 |
| Draw | 25% | 28% | −3 |
| Uthai Thani win | 29% | 38% | −9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 55% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 60% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 77% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 36% | +1 |
| Rayong FC or draw | 71% | 62% | +9 |
| Rayong FC clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Uthai Thani clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Thai League 1 this season · since 5 Sept
RAYONG FC
UTHAI THANI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 2 | Uthai Thani | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 | Bangkok United | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 | Prachuap | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 | Port FC | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 | Ratchaburi | 4 | +6 | 7 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya FC | 5 | −1 | 7 |
| 9 | Sisaket United | 4 | −1 | 6 |
| 10 | BG Pathum United | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Chiangrai United | 4 | −1 | 4 |
| 12 | Pattani | 4 | −3 | 4 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 5 | −4 | 4 |
| 14 | Sukhothai FC | 4 | −8 | 3 |
| 15 | Rasi Salai United | 4 | −4 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi FC | 4 | −4 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Buriram United
Bangkok United
Prachuap
Port FC
Ratchaburi
Ayutthaya FC
Sisaket United
BG Pathum United
Chiangrai United
Pattani
Lamphun Warrior
Sukhothai FC
Rasi Salai United
Chonburi FC